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How do climate risk and clean energy spillovers, and uncertainty affect U.S. stock markets?

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  • Khalfaoui, Rabeh
  • Mefteh-Wali, Salma
  • Viviani, Jean-Laurent
  • Ben Jabeur, Sami
  • Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul
  • Lucey, Brian M.

Abstract

In this study, we attempt to revisit how dependent the US stock market returns are on climate change related risks (CCRR). In this regard, we use a spillover and connectedness network analysis to assess the strength of the causal effect and transmission pathway of CCRR proxies (green index, carbon price, general and climate uncertainty) on US Small Minus Big (SMB) and High Minus Low (HML) factors. Statically, our findings reveal that the indexes of the clean energy and new energy innovation industry (green companies) and climate policy uncertainty are drivers of the transmission spillover network, especially in extreme market scenarios. Dynamically, CCRR proxies act as net contributors and/or net receipts of shock spillovers over time and across the quantiles of the joint distribution. We further find that the spillover connectedness network is very sensitive to market states and that the strength of the effects of CCRR proxies are more pronounced under bust and boom markets. Our findings are beneficial for environmental investors and policymakers responsible for portfolio diversification strategies.

Suggested Citation

  • Khalfaoui, Rabeh & Mefteh-Wali, Salma & Viviani, Jean-Laurent & Ben Jabeur, Sami & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul & Lucey, Brian M., 2022. "How do climate risk and clean energy spillovers, and uncertainty affect U.S. stock markets?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 185(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:185:y:2022:i:c:s0040162522006047
    DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2022.122083
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Climate uncertainty; Clean energy; Network analysis; Carbon market; US stock market; Risk spillover;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • Q51 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Valuation of Environmental Effects
    • Q53 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Air Pollution; Water Pollution; Noise; Hazardous Waste; Solid Waste; Recycling
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

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