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Are investors sensitive to climate-related transition and physical risks? Evidence from global stock markets

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  • Zhang, Si Ying

Abstract

We construct indices of climate-related physical and transition risks using newspapers to explore whether global stock market investors are sensitive to the different types of climate risk and whether this sensitivity depends on firms’ environmental performance. Estimates show that stock prices respond negatively to perceived changes in climate risk, and that “green” (“brown”) firms are rewarded (penalised) by the market when climate risks increase. Subsample analyses further reveal that while the effect continues to hold for firms headquartered in advanced economies (AEs), the equity prices of emerging market (EME) firms yield modest, if not insignificant, reactions, pointing to a relatively low level of climate-risk sensitivity in EMEs. As EMEs face significant challenges arising from climate change, this raises the concern of disorderly financial market repricing when investors come to terms with the very real threats that climate change poses to firms in these economies.

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  • Zhang, Si Ying, 2022. "Are investors sensitive to climate-related transition and physical risks? Evidence from global stock markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:62:y:2022:i:c:s0275531922000988
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2022.101710
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    Cited by:

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    3. Misato Sato & Glen Gostlow & Catherine Higham & Joana Setzer & Frank Venmans, 2024. "Impacts of climate litigation on firm value," Nature Sustainability, Nature, vol. 7(11), pages 1461-1468, November.
    4. Ahmed, Walid M.A., 2024. "Attention to climate change and eco-friendly financial-asset prices: A quantile ARDL approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    5. Silva, Florinda & Ferreira, André & Cortez, Maria Céu, 2024. "The performance of green bond portfolios under climate uncertainty: A comparative analysis with conventional and black bond portfolios," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PA).
    6. Garcia-Jorcano, Laura & Sanchis-Marco, Lidia, 2024. "Forecasting the effect of extreme sea-level rise on financial market risk," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PB), pages 1-27.
    7. Wang Gao & Jiajia Wei & Shixiong Yang, 2023. "The Asymmetric Effects of Extreme Climate Risk Perception on Coal Futures Return Dynamics: Evidence from Nonparametric Causality-In-Quantiles Tests," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-19, May.
    8. Dong, Xiyong & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2023. "Effect of weather and environmental attentions on financial system risks: Evidence from Chinese high- and low-carbon assets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    9. Yuqin Zhou & Shan Wu & Zhenhua Liu & Lavinia Rognone, 2023. "The asymmetric effects of climate risk on higher-moment connectedness among carbon, energy and metals markets," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-16, December.
    10. Fagbemi, Fisayo & Oke, Dorcas Funmilola, 2024. "Climate change vulnerability-foreign direct investment linkage: Why climate change preparedness matters in Sub-Saharan Africa," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(1), pages 52-60.
    11. Gianni Guastella & Stefano Pareglio & Caterina Schiavoni, 2023. "An Empirical Approach to Integrating Climate Reputational Risk in Long-Term Scenario Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-17, March.
    12. Yousaf, Imran & Bejaoui, Azza & Ali, Shoaib & Li, Yanshuang, 2024. "Demystifying the dynamic relationship between news sentiment index and ESG stocks: Evidence from time-frequency wavelet analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 96(PB).
    13. Xiao, Jihong & Liu, Hong, 2023. "The time-varying impact of uncertainty on oil market fear: Does climate policy uncertainty matter?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    14. Rong, Xueyun & Chen, Haixin & Liu, Shuhao, 2024. "Nonlinear impact of climate risks on renewable energy stocks in China: A moderating effects study," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 96(PA).
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    17. Liu, Hao & Lin, Chuyin, 2023. "Climate change news risk and corporate bond returns in China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Climate change; Transition risks; Physical risks; Stock returns; Textual analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • H23 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Externalities; Redistributive Effects; Environmental Taxes and Subsidies
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

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