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Extreme spillover effect of COVID-19 pandemic-related news and cryptocurrencies on green bond markets: A quantile connectedness analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Rabeh Khalfaoui

    (ICN Business School, CEREFIGE - Centre Européen de Recherche en Economie Financière et Gestion des Entreprises - UL - Université de Lorraine)

  • Salma Mefteh-Wali

    (ESSCA - Ecole Supérieure des Sciences Commerciales d'Angers)

  • Buhari Dogan

    (Suleyman Demiref University - Suleyman Demiref University)

  • Sudeshna Ghosh

    (Post Graduate Department of Botany, Scottish Church College, Kolkata, West Bengal, India)

Abstract

We provide the first empirical study on the role of panic and stress related to the COVID-19 pandemic, including six uncertainties and the four most traded cryptocurrencies, on three green bond market volatilities. Based on daily data covering the period from January 1, 2020 to January 31, 2022, we combine Diebold and Yilmaz's (2012, 2014) time domain spillover approach and Ando et al.'s (2022) quantile regression framework to investigate the time-frequency spillover connectedness among markets and measure the direction and intensity of the net transmission effect under extreme negative and positive event conditions, and normal states. We further provide novel insights into the green finance literature by examining sensitivity to quantile analysis of the net transfer mechanism between green bonds, cryptocurrencies, and pandemic uncertainty. Regarding the network connectedness analysis, the results reveal strong net information spillover transmission among markets under the bearish market. In extremely negative event circumstances, the MSCI Euro green bond acts as the leading net shock receiver in the system, whereas COVID-19 fake news appears as the largest net shock contributor, followed by BTC. According to sensitivity to quantile analysis, the net dynamic shock transfer mechanism is time-varying and quantile-dependent. Overall, our work uncovers crucial implications for investors and policymakers.

Suggested Citation

  • Rabeh Khalfaoui & Salma Mefteh-Wali & Buhari Dogan & Sudeshna Ghosh, 2023. "Extreme spillover effect of COVID-19 pandemic-related news and cryptocurrencies on green bond markets: A quantile connectedness analysis," Post-Print hal-03998228, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03998228
    DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2023.102496
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Ding, Shusheng & Wang, Kaihao & Cui, Tianxiang & Du, Min, 2023. "The time-varying impact of geopolitical risk on natural resource prices: The post-COVID era evidence," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PB).
    2. Peng, Yue & Wang, Wei & Zhen, Shangsong & Liu, Yunqiang, 2024. "Does digitalization help green consumption? Empirical test based on the perspective of supply and demand of green products," Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    3. Mao, Qian & Ma, Xinyuan & Sun, Yunpeng, 2023. "Study of impacts of blockchain technology on renewable energy resource findings," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 211(C), pages 802-808.
    4. Fung, Derrick W.H. & Lee, Wing Yan & Yang, Charles C. & Yeh, Jason J.H., 2024. "Risk taking, performance, and resilience to the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from public property-casualty insurers," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    5. Liang Wang & Xianyan Xiong & Ziqiu Cao, 2023. "Time-frequency volatility spillovers between Chinese renminbi onshore and offshore markets during the COVID-19 crisis," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-14, December.
    6. Hanif, Waqas & Teplova, Tamara & Rodina, Victoria & Alomari, Mohammed & Mensi, Walid, 2023. "Volatility spillovers and frequency dependence between oil price shocks and green stock markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    7. Jiménez, Inés & Mora-Valencia, Andrés & Perote, Javier, 2024. "Bitcoin halving and the integration of cryptocurrency and forex markets: An analysis of the higher-order moment spillovers," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 302-315.
    8. Jareño, Francisco & Yousaf, Imran, 2023. "Artificial intelligence-based tokens: Fresh evidence of connectedness with artificial intelligence-based equities," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    9. Wang, Lu & Guan, Li & Ding, Qian & Zhang, Hongwei, 2023. "Asymmetric impact of COVID-19 news on the connectedness of the green energy, dirty energy, and non-ferrous metal markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    10. Zhao, Mingguo & Park, Hail, 2024. "Quantile time-frequency spillovers among green bonds, cryptocurrencies, and conventional financial markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    11. Xu, Xinkuo & Li, Jingsi, 2023. "Can green bonds reduce the carbon emissions of cities in China?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    12. Nyakurukwa, Kingstone & Seetharam, Yudhvir, 2023. "Quantile and asymmetric return connectedness among BRICS stock markets," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    13. Chen, Yanan & Qi, Haozhi, 2024. "COVID-19 pandemic-related news and Chinese commodities futures: Time-frequency connectedness and causality-in-quantiles approaches," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 286(C).
    14. Mercik, Aleksander & Słoński, Tomasz & Karaś, Marta, 2024. "Understanding crypto-asset exposure: An investigation of its impact on performance and stock sensitivity among listed companies," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    15. Umar, Zaghum & Hadhri, Sinda & Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Usman, Muhammad & Umar, Muhammad, 2024. "Return and volatility spillovers among oil price shocks and international green bond markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    16. Wang, Kai-Hua & Wang, Zu-Shan & Yunis, Manal & Kchouri, Bilal, 2023. "Spillovers and connectedness among climate policy uncertainty, energy, green bond and carbon markets: A global perspective," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    17. Lu, Xunfa & Huang, Nan & Mo, Jianlei, 2024. "Time-varying causalities from the COVID-19 media coverage to the dynamic spillovers among the cryptocurrency, the clean energy, and the crude oil," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    18. Liu, Jianjian & Wang, Shuhan & Xiang, Lijin & Ma, Shiqun & Xiao, Zumian, 2024. "Unveiling hidden connections: Spillover among BRICS' cryptocurrency-implied exchange rate discounts and US financial markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    19. Li, Rongnan & Liu, Zhuang & Li, Shun & Geng, Jiao & Shi, Guanqun & Gu, Xiao, 2023. "Geopolitical risk, green finance and natural resources: A novel analysis of China's national level data," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PB).
    20. Yang, Cai & Zhang, Hongwei & Weng, Futian, 2024. "Effects of COVID-19 vaccination programs on EU carbon price forecasts: Evidence from explainable machine learning," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    21. Shaen Corbet & Les Oxley, 2023. "Investigating the Academic Response to Cryptocurrencies: Insights from Research Diversification as Separated by Journal Ranking," Review of Corporate Finance, now publishers, vol. 3(4), pages 487-528, September.
    22. Mensi, Walid & Selmi, Refk & Al-Kharusi, Sami & Belghouthi, Houssem Eddine & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2024. "Connectedness between green bonds, conventional bonds, oil, heating oil, natural gas, and petrol: new evidence during bear and bull market scenarios," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    23. Oliyide, Johnson A. & Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Marie, Mohamed & Al-Faryan, Mamdouh Abdulaziz Saleh, 2023. "Green finance and commodities: Cross-market connectedness during different COVID-19 episodes," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).

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