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The criticality of international tourism and technological innovation for carbon neutrality across regional development levels

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  • Ahmad, Munir
  • Zhu, Xiwei
  • Wu, Yiyun

Abstract

This study investigated the role of nonlinear international tourism and technological innovation in limiting carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions across China's provincial development levels. It extends the Kaya identity to introduce international tourism development as an indicator of the affluence factor, employing advanced econometric methods and a principal component analysis of data from 30 Chinese provincial divisions during 2000–2018 to calculate international tourism development and technological innovation indices. We find that international tourism development manifested homogeneous inverted U-shaped curves with CO2 emissions across aggregated panels. In highly developed East China, such development revealed that CO2 emissions reduction (promotion) impacts in eight (two) provincial divisions. Moderately developed Central China exhibited CO2 emissions promotion in half of the provincial divisions, while a reduction in the other half. In the least developed West China, international tourism development promoted CO2 emissions in eight provincial divisions. At aggregated and provincial scales, the negative influence intensity of technological innovation remained superior in highly developed provincial divisions, inferior in the moderately developed, and neutral in the least developed. Mixed causalities were revealed among international tourism development, technological innovation, and CO2 emissions at both the aggregated and provincial scales.

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  • Ahmad, Munir & Zhu, Xiwei & Wu, Yiyun, 2022. "The criticality of international tourism and technological innovation for carbon neutrality across regional development levels," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:182:y:2022:i:c:s0040162522003729
    DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2022.121848
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