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The FEXP estimator for potentially non-stationary linear time series

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  • Hurvich, Clifford M.
  • Moulines, Eric
  • Soulier, Philippe

Abstract

We consider semiparametric fractional exponential (FEXP) estimators of the memory parameter d for a potentially non-stationary linear long-memory time series with additive polynomial trend. We use differencing to annihilate the polynomial trend, followed by tapering to handle the potential non-invertibility of the differenced series. We propose a method of pooling the tapered periodogram which leads to more efficient estimators of d than existing pooled, tapered estimators. We establish asymptotic normality of the tapered FEXP estimator in the Gaussian case with or without pooling. We establish asymptotic normality of the estimator in the linear case if pooling is used. Finally, we consider minimax rate-optimality and feasible nearly rate-optimal estimators in the Gaussian case.

Suggested Citation

  • Hurvich, Clifford M. & Moulines, Eric & Soulier, Philippe, 2002. "The FEXP estimator for potentially non-stationary linear time series," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 97(2), pages 307-340, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:spapps:v:97:y:2002:i:2:p:307-340
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    1. Giraitis, Liudas & Robinson, Peter M. & Samarov, Alexander, 2000. "Adaptive Semiparametric Estimation of the Memory Parameter," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 72(2), pages 183-207, February.
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    5. Clifford M. Hurvich & Bonnie K. Ray, 1995. "Estimation Of The Memory Parameter For Nonstationary Or Noninvertible Fractionally Integrated Processes," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 16(1), pages 17-41, January.
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    7. Clifford M. Hurvich & Rohit Deo & Julia Brodsky, 1998. "The mean squared error of Geweke and Porter‐Hudak's estimator of the memory parameter of a long‐memory time series," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(1), pages 19-46, January.
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    10. Liudas Giraitis & Peter M. Robinson & Alexander Samarov, 1997. "Rate Optimal Semiparametric Estimation Of The Memory Parameter Of The Gaussian Time Series With Long‐Range Dependence," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 18(1), pages 49-60, January.
    11. R J Bhansali & L Giraitis & P Kokoszka, "undated". "Estimation of the long memory parameter by fitting fractionally differenced autoregressive models," Discussion Papers 05/20, Department of Economics, University of York.
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    Cited by:

    1. Hsieh, Meng-Chen & Hurvich, Clifford M. & Soulier, Philippe, 2007. "Asymptotics for duration-driven long range dependent processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 141(2), pages 913-949, December.
    2. Jan Beran & Sucharita Ghosh, 2020. "Estimating the Mean Direction of Strongly Dependent Circular Time Series," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(2), pages 210-228, March.
    3. Willa Chen & Clifford Hurvich, 2004. "Semiparametric Estimation of Fractional Cointegrating Subspaces," Econometrics 0412007, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Chen, Willa W. & Hurvich, Clifford M., 2003. "Estimating fractional cointegration in the presence of polynomial trends," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 117(1), pages 95-121, November.
    5. Yixiao Sun, 2005. "Adaptive Estimation of the Regression Discontinuity Model," Econometrics 0506003, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Faÿ, Gilles & Moulines, Eric & Roueff, François & Taqqu, Murad S., 2009. "Estimators of long-memory: Fourier versus wavelets," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 151(2), pages 159-177, August.

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