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Change of measure up to a random time: Details

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  • Kreher, Dörte

Abstract

This paper extends results of Mortimer and Williams (1991) about changes of probability measure up to a random time under the assumptions that all martingales are continuous and that the random time avoids stopping times. We consider locally absolutely continuous measure changes up to a random time, changes of probability measure up to and after an honest time, and changes of probability measure up to a pseudo-stopping time. Moreover, we apply our results to construct a change of probability measure that is equivalent to the enlargement formula and to build, for a certain class of pseudo-stopping times, a class of measure changes that preserve the pseudo-stopping time property. Furthermore, we study for a price process modeled by a continuous semimartingale the stability of the No Free Lunch with Vanishing Risk (NFLVR) property up to a random time, that avoids stopping times, in the progressively enlarged filtration and provide sufficient conditions for this stability in terms of the Azéma supermartingale.

Suggested Citation

  • Kreher, Dörte, 2017. "Change of measure up to a random time: Details," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 127(5), pages 1565-1598.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:spapps:v:127:y:2017:i:5:p:1565-1598
    DOI: 10.1016/j.spa.2016.09.001
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Acciaio, Beatrice & Fontana, Claudio & Kardaras, Constantinos, 2016. "Arbitrage of the first kind and filtration enlargements in semimartingale financial models," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 126(6), pages 1761-1784.
    2. Acciaio, Beatrice & Fontana, Claudio & Kardaras, Constantinos, 2016. "Arbitrage of the first kind and filtration enlargements in semimartingale financial models," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 65150, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    3. Jeanblanc, Monique & Song, Shiqi, 2015. "Martingale representation property in progressively enlarged filtrations," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 125(11), pages 4242-4271.
    4. Claudio Fontana & Monique Jeanblanc & Shiqi Song, 2014. "On arbitrages arising with honest times," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 18(3), pages 515-543, July.
    5. P. Collin-Dufresne & R. Goldstein & J. Hugonnier, 2004. "A General Formula for Valuing Defaultable Securities," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 72(5), pages 1377-1407, September.
    6. Anna Aksamit & Tahir Choulli & Jun Deng & Monique Jeanblanc, 2013. "Non-Arbitrage up to Random Horizon for Semimartingale Models," Papers 1310.1142, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2014.
    7. Delia Coculescu & Monique Jeanblanc & Ashkan Nikeghbali, 2012. "Default times, no-arbitrage conditions and changes of probability measures," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 16(3), pages 513-535, July.
    8. Kardaras, Constantinos & Platen, Eckhard, 2011. "On the semimartingale property of discounted asset-price processes," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 121(11), pages 2678-2691, November.
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