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Unified discrete-time factor stochastic volatility and continuous-time Itô models for combining inference based on low-frequency and high-frequency

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  • Kim, Donggyu
  • Song, Xinyu
  • Wang, Yazhen

Abstract

This paper introduces unified models for high-dimensional factor-based Itô process, which can accommodate both continuous-time Itô diffusion and discrete-time stochastic volatility (SV) models by embedding the discrete SV model in the continuous instantaneous factor volatility process. We call it the SV-Itô model. Based on the series of daily integrated factor volatility matrix estimators, we propose quasi-maximum likelihood and least squares estimation methods. Their asymptotic properties are established. We apply the proposed method to predict future vast volatility matrix whose asymptotic behaviors are studied. A simulation study is conducted to check the finite sample performance of the proposed estimation and prediction method. An empirical analysis is carried out to demonstrate the advantage of the SV-Itô model in volatility prediction and portfolio allocation problems.

Suggested Citation

  • Kim, Donggyu & Song, Xinyu & Wang, Yazhen, 2022. "Unified discrete-time factor stochastic volatility and continuous-time Itô models for combining inference based on low-frequency and high-frequency," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jmvana:v:192:y:2022:i:c:s0047259x22000860
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jmva.2022.105091
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