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The role of public policies in reducing smoking and deaths caused by smoking in Vietnam: Results from the Vietnam tobacco policy simulation model

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  • Levy, David T.
  • Bales, Sarah
  • Lam, Nguyen T.
  • Nikolayev, Leonid

Abstract

A simulation model is developed for Vietnam to project smoking prevalence and associated premature mortality. The model examines independently and as a package the effects of five types of tobacco control policies: tax increases, clean air laws, mass media campaigns, advertising bans, and youth access policies. Predictions suggest that the largest reductions in smoking rates will result from implementing a comprehensive tobacco control policy package. Significant inroads may be achieved through tax increases. A media campaign along with programs to publicize and enforce clean air laws, advertising bans and youth access laws would further reduce smoking rates. Tobacco control policies have the potential to make large dents in smoking rates, which in turn could lead to many lives saved. In the absence of these measures, deaths from smoking will increase. The model also helps to identify information gaps pertinent both to modeling and policymaking.

Suggested Citation

  • Levy, David T. & Bales, Sarah & Lam, Nguyen T. & Nikolayev, Leonid, 2006. "The role of public policies in reducing smoking and deaths caused by smoking in Vietnam: Results from the Vietnam tobacco policy simulation model," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 62(7), pages 1819-1830, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:socmed:v:62:y:2006:i:7:p:1819-1830
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. G. Guindon, 2014. "The impact of tobacco prices on smoking onset in Vietnam: duration analyses of retrospective data," The European Journal of Health Economics, Springer;Deutsche Gesellschaft für Gesundheitsökonomie (DGGÖ), vol. 15(1), pages 19-39, January.
    2. Salti, Nisreen & Brouwer, Elizabeth & Verguet, Stéphane, 2016. "The health, financial and distributional consequences of increases in the tobacco excise tax among smokers in Lebanon," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 161-169.
    3. Frida Ngalesoni & George Ruhago & Mary Mayige & Tiago Cravo Oliveira & Bjarne Robberstad & Ole Frithjof Norheim & Hideki Higashi, 2017. "Cost-effectiveness analysis of population-based tobacco control strategies in the prevention of cardiovascular diseases in Tanzania," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(8), pages 1-20, August.
    4. Alfredo Palacios & Andrea Alcaraz & Agustín Casarini & Federico Rodriguez Cairoli & Natalia Espinola & Dario Balan & Lucas Perelli & Federico Augustovski & Ariel Bardach & Andrés Pichon‐Riviere, 2023. "The health, economic and social burden of smoking in Argentina, and the impact of increasing tobacco taxes in a context of illicit trade," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(11), pages 2655-2672, November.
    5. Hideki Higashi & Khoa Truong & Jan Barendregt & Phuong Nguyen & Mai Vuong & Thuy Nguyen & Phuong Hoang & Angela Wallace & Tien Tran & Cuong Le & Christopher Doran, 2011. "Cost effectiveness of tobacco control policies in Vietnam," Applied Health Economics and Health Policy, Springer, vol. 9(3), pages 183-196, May.
    6. Eric J. Feuer & David T. Levy & William J. McCarthy, 2012. "Chapter 1: The Impact of the Reduction in Tobacco Smoking on U.S. Lung Cancer Mortality, 1975–2000: An Introduction to the Problem," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 32(s1), pages 6-13, August.
    7. Michelle Inness & Julian Barling & Keith Rogers & Nick Turner, 2008. "De-marketing Tobacco Through Price Changes and Consumer Attempts Quit Smoking," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 77(4), pages 405-416, February.

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