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The effect of conflict on Palestine, Israel, and Jordan stock markets

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  • Hassouneh, Islam
  • Couleau, Anabelle
  • Serra, Teresa
  • Al-Sharif, Iqbal

Abstract

This research studies how the Israeli-Palestinian conflict affects Palestine, Israel and Jordan stock markets, as well as the links between these markets on a daily basis. A violence index is built and used as an exogenous variable in a VECM-MGARCH model. Our findings suggest the existence of an equilibrium relationship between the three markets, which is essentially kept through Palestinian and Jordanian stock market adjustments and that does not respond to increases in violence. An increase in violence has short-run direct negative impacts on the Palestinian stock exchange, but does not directly influence the Israeli and Jordanian stock markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Hassouneh, Islam & Couleau, Anabelle & Serra, Teresa & Al-Sharif, Iqbal, 2018. "The effect of conflict on Palestine, Israel, and Jordan stock markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 258-266.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reveco:v:56:y:2018:i:c:p:258-266
    DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2017.10.028
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Stock markets; Volatility; VECM; MGARCH model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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