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Are prolonged conflict and tension deterrents for stock market integration? The case of Sri Lanka

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  • Sriananthakumar, Sivagowry
  • Narayan, Seema

Abstract

This paper investigates stock market interdependencies between Sri Lanka and selected economies in the context of its long civil war using the Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) model with monthly indices (1993–2013) and through bilateral analysis. While correlations are weak, in most cases Sri Lanka's conflict and tensions have not been responsible. China is an exception, coinciding with the common observation that its relationship with Sri Lanka has strengthened. Integrations with the US and Pakistan are also marginally accelerated, although both countries are sensitive to types of risks considered. Finally, the low correlations observed imply diversification benefits to Sri Lankan investors.

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  • Sriananthakumar, Sivagowry & Narayan, Seema, 2015. "Are prolonged conflict and tension deterrents for stock market integration? The case of Sri Lanka," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 504-520.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reveco:v:39:y:2015:i:c:p:504-520
    DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2015.08.001
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    Cited by:

    1. Narayan, Seema & Doytch, Nadia & Nguyen, Tri Tung & Kluegel, Karl, 2016. "Trade of goods and services and risk sharing ability in international equity markets: Are these substitutes or complements?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 485-503.
    2. Narayan, S. & Le, T.-H. & Sriananthakumar, S., 2018. "The influence of terrorism risk on stock market integration: Evidence from eight OECD countries," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 247-259.
    3. Seema Narayan, 2019. "The Influence of Domestic and Foreign Shocks on Portfolio Diversification Gains and the Associated Risks," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-26, October.
    4. Shashitha Gimhani Jayakody, 2017. "The Impact of the Sri Lankan Civil War on the Stock Market Performances," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(1), pages 394-402.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Civil war; Market integration; Time changing conditional correlation; Causes of stock markets integration;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • C1 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General

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