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European exchange rate regimes and purchasing power parity: An empirical study on eleven eurozone countries

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  • Huang, Chao-Hsi
  • Yang, Chih-Yuan

Abstract

It is widely believed that following the adoption of the euro, long run purchasing power parity (PPP) is more likely to hold within the euro countries. By applying the panel unit root test of Pesaran (2007) to real exchange rate data of eleven euro countries for the sample period of January 1957 to May 2013, we find that, contrary to the above intuition, the evidence for the mean-reverting in real exchange rates is much weaker in the post-1998 euro period than in the pre-euro period. In contrast, we find that for the four countries not using the euro: Norway, Sweden, Switzerland, and the UK, the evidence for the mean-reverting in real exchange rates is strong in both the pre- and post-euro (post-1998) periods. Moreover, through our panel estimation of the error correction model using the common correlated effects (CCE) estimators a la Pesaran (2006), we find that the flexibility of nominal exchange rates is crucial for the adjustment of real exchange rates to PPP.

Suggested Citation

  • Huang, Chao-Hsi & Yang, Chih-Yuan, 2015. "European exchange rate regimes and purchasing power parity: An empirical study on eleven eurozone countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 100-109.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reveco:v:35:y:2015:i:c:p:100-109
    DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2014.09.008
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    3. Michael Fidora & Claire Giordano & Martin Schmitz, 2021. "Real Exchange Rate Misalignments in the Euro Area," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 32(1), pages 71-107, February.
    4. Oladunjoye Opeyemi Nathaniel, 2019. "Validity of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) Hypothesis in the Ecowas (1980–2017)," Emerging Economy Studies, International Management Institute, vol. 5(2), pages 141-156, November.
    5. Kai-Hua WANG & Chi-Wei SU & Hsu-Ling CHANG & Ji MA & Cristina IOVU, 2017. "Purchasing Power Parity In China: An Empirical Investigation Based On Bootstrap Rollingwindow Test," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 166-181, December.
    6. Zhang, Zhibai, 2015. "Convergence of absolute purchasing power parity," MPRA Paper 64486, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Morrison, Michael & Fontenla, Matías, 2017. "Purchasing power parity across eight worlds," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 158(C), pages 62-66.
    8. Claire Giordano, 2021. "How frequent a BEER? Assessing the impact of data frequency on real exchange rate misalignment estimation," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 68(3), pages 365-404, July.
    9. Jiang, Chun & Jian, Na & Liu, Tie-Ying & Su, Chi-Wei, 2016. "Purchasing power parity and real exchange rate in Central Eastern European countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 349-358.
    10. Georgios Loukopoulos & Dimitrios Antonopoulos, 2015. "Purchasing Power Parity: A Unit Root, Cointegration and VAR Analysis in Emerging and Advanced Countries," Business and Economic Research, Macrothink Institute, vol. 5(1), pages 262-279, June.
    11. Stewart, Chris, 2023. "The autoregressive distributed lag bounds test generalised to consider a long-run levels relationship when all levels variables are 𝑰(𝟎)," Economics Discussion Papers 2023-2, School of Economics, Kingston University London.
    12. Jabbie, Mohamed & Jackson, Emerson Abraham, 2020. "On the Validity of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP): The Case of Sierra Leone," MPRA Paper 110659, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 05 Jun 2020.
    13. Stoupos, Nikolaos & Kiohos, Apostolos, 2019. "Scandinavia: Towards the European Monetary Union?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 278-291.
    14. Hai Long Vo & Duc Hong Vo, 2023. "The purchasing power parity and exchange‐rate economics half a century on," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(2), pages 446-479, April.
    15. Zhang, Zhibai & Bian, Zhicun, 2015. "Absolute purchasing power parity in industrial countries," MPRA Paper 66241, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Nikolaos Giannellis & Minoas Koukouritakis, 2016. "Eurozone's Leader and its Followers: Are their Markets Integrated Enough?," Working Papers 1607, University of Crete, Department of Economics.
    17. Zhibai Zhang & Zhicun Bian & Minghua Zhan, 2022. "Is absolute purchasing power parity special for Spain?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(2), pages 513-531, February.
    18. Mücahit Aydın, 2019. "Investigation of the Validity of Purchasing Power Parity Hypothesis with Fourier Unit Root Tests: The Case of Turkey," EKOIST Journal of Econometrics and Statistics, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 30(0), pages 35-48, June.
    19. Giannellis, Nikolaos & Koukouritakis, Minoas, 2017. "Competitiveness divergence in the Eurozone: The need for symmetric adjustment," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 39(5), pages 942-962.
    20. Ma, Wei & Li, Haiqi & Park, Sung Y., 2017. "Empirical conditional quantile test for purchasing power parity: Evidence from East Asian countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 211-222.
    21. Reaz, Md & Mahat, Fauziah & Dahir, Ahmed Mohamed & Sahabuddin, Mohammad & Al Mahi, Abu Saad Md Masnun, 2017. "Exchange rate volatility and financial performance of agriculture firms in Malaysia: An empirical analysis using GARCH, wavelet and system GMM," Business and Economic Horizons (BEH), Prague Development Center (PRADEC), vol. 13(3).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Nominal exchange rate regime; Purchasing power parity; Real exchange rate; Panel unit root test; Error correction model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models

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