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Induced travel demand: Evidence from a pseudo panel data based structural equations model

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  • Weis, Claude
  • Axhausen, Kay W.

Abstract

Induced traffic, defined as additional demand generated by improvements in travel conditions, has been a topic of research for many years. While previous studies have focused on specific and localised changes, the research described in this paper deals with the aggregate effects of changed generalised costs of travel on traffic generation: the propensity of participating in out-of-home activities on a given day, the number of trips and journeys conducted, and the resulting total times out-of-home and distances travelled. The generalised cost and accessibility elasticities estimated with a structural equations model for a pseudo panel constructed with the Swiss National Travel surveys since 1974 are surprisingly substantial even after correcting for age, cohort and other socio-demographic effects.

Suggested Citation

  • Weis, Claude & Axhausen, Kay W., 2009. "Induced travel demand: Evidence from a pseudo panel data based structural equations model," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 8-18.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:retrec:v:25:y:2009:i:1:p:8-18
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    3. Ong, Felita & Loa, Patrick & Nurul Habib, Khandker, 2024. "Is it the trip or the trip-maker? Modelling factors influencing the demand induced by the availability of ride-sourcing services in Metro Vancouver," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 110-119.
    4. Yang, Yang & Liu, Qing & Chang, Chia-Hsun, 2023. "China-Europe freight transportation under the first wave of COVID-19 pandemic and government restriction measures," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    5. Song, Siqi & Diao, Mi & Feng, Chen-Chieh, 2021. "Effects of pricing and infrastructure on car ownership: A pseudo-panel-based dynamic model," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 115-126.
    6. Allister Loder & Fabienne Cantner & Andrea Cadavid & Markus B. Siewert & Stefan Wurster & Sebastian Goerg & Klaus Bogenberger, 2022. "A nation-wide experiment: fuel tax cuts and almost free public transport for three months in Germany -- Report 4 Third wave results," Papers 2210.10538, arXiv.org.
    7. Allister Loder & Fabienne Cantner & Lennart Adenaw & Markus Siewert & Sebastian Goerg & Markus Lienkamp & Klaus Bogenberger, 2022. "A nation-wide experiment: fuel tax cuts and almost free public transport for three months in Germany -- Report 1 Study design, recruiting and participation," Papers 2206.00396, arXiv.org.
    8. Chi-Hong (Patrick) Tsai & Corinne Mulley & Geoffrey Clifton, 2014. "A Review of Pseudo Panel Data Approach in Estimating Short-run and Long-run Public Transport Demand Elasticities," Transport Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(1), pages 102-121, January.
    9. Loder, Allister & Tanner, Reto & Axhausen, Kay W., 2017. "The impact of local work and residential balance on vehicle miles traveled: A new direct approach," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 139-149.
    10. Jahanshahi, Kaveh & Jin, Ying & Williams, Ian, 2015. "Direct and indirect influences on employed adults’ travel in the UK: New insights from the National Travel Survey data 2002–2010," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 288-306.
    11. Siqi Song & Chen-Chieh Feng & Mi Diao, 2020. "Vehicle quota control, transport infrastructure investment and vehicle travel: A pseudo panel analysis," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 57(12), pages 2527-2546, September.
    12. Allister Loder & Fabienne Cantner & Andrea Cadavid & Markus B. Siewert & Stefan Wurster & Sebastian Goerg & Klaus Bogenberger, 2022. "A nation-wide experiment: fuel tax cuts and almost free public transport for three months in Germany -- Report 3 Second wave results," Papers 2208.14902, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2022.
    13. Yusak O. Susilo & Chengxi Liu & Maria Börjesson, 2019. "The changes of activity-travel participation across gender, life-cycle, and generations in Sweden over 30 years," Transportation, Springer, vol. 46(3), pages 793-818, June.
    14. Lennart Adenaw & David Ziegler & Nico Nachtigall & Felix Gotzler & Allister Loder & Markus B. Siewert & Markus Lienkamp & Klaus Bogenberger, 2022. "A nation-wide experiment: fuel tax cuts and almost free public transport for three months in Germany -- Report 5 Insights into four months of mobility tracking," Papers 2211.10328, arXiv.org.
    15. Fabienne Cantner & Nico Nachtigall & Lisa S. Hamm & Andrea Cadavid & Lennart Adenaw & Allister Loder & Markus B. Siewert & Sebastian Goerg & Markus Lienkamp & Klaus Bogenberger, 2022. "A nation-wide experiment: fuel tax cuts and almost free public transport for three months in Germany -- Report 2 First wave results," Papers 2206.10510, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2022.
    16. Allister Loder & Fabienne Cantner & Lennart Adenaw & Nico Nachtigall & David Ziegler & Felix Gotzler & Markus B. Siewert & Stefan Wurster & Sebastian Goerg & Markus Lienkamp & Klaus Bogenberger, 2023. "Germany's nationwide travel experiment in 2022: public transport for 9 Euro per month -- First findings of an empirical study," Papers 2306.08297, arXiv.org.
    17. Susilo, Yusak & Liu, Chengxi & Börjesson, Maria, 2018. "The changes of activity-travel participation across gender, life-cycle, and generations in Sweden over 30 years," Working papers in Transport Economics 2018:8, CTS - Centre for Transport Studies Stockholm (KTH and VTI).
    18. Kasraian, Dena & Maat, Kees & van Wee, Bert, 2018. "Urban developments and daily travel distances: Fixed, random and hybrid effects models using a Dutch pseudo-panel over three decades," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 228-236.

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