IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/renene/v215y2023ics0960148123008388.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A wind speed prediction system based on new data preprocessing strategy and improved multi-objective optimizer

Author

Listed:
  • Tian, Zhirui
  • Wang, Jiyang

Abstract

The way to predict wind speed more accurately has always been one of the most important problems. The current combination prediction models have some limitations in data preprocessing, optimization algorithms and so on, which decreased the accuracy of the model. In order to solve the above problems, a new wind speed prediction system is proposed including a new data preprocessing strategy, combined neural network prediction and an improved multi-objective optimizer based on Halton low-discrepancy sequence and multi-distributed disturbance operator. The main contributions include: Firstly, a new data preprocessing strategy (GMM-ICEE) is proposed, which not only retains the characteristics of the wind speed data, but also removes the noise well. Secondly, Halton low-discrepancy sequence is introduced in the population initialization, which can effectively escape from local optimal solution. Thirdly, a new disturbance operator is proposed, which effectively solve the problem of optimal stagnation. Through six groups of experiments and two groups of discussions, it is verified that the accuracy, stability, generalization ability and advanced nature of the wind speed prediction system are satisfactory. Compared with traditional methods, the proposed wind speed prediction system improved by about 10% in prediction accuracy (MAPE) and by about 5% in CPU operation time.

Suggested Citation

  • Tian, Zhirui & Wang, Jiyang, 2023. "A wind speed prediction system based on new data preprocessing strategy and improved multi-objective optimizer," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:215:y:2023:i:c:s0960148123008388
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2023.118932
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960148123008388
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.renene.2023.118932?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sun, Xifu & Croke, Barry & Roberts, Stephen & Jakeman, Anthony, 2021. "Comparing methods of randomizing Sobol′ sequences for improving uncertainty of metrics in variance-based global sensitivity estimation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
    2. Wang, Shuai & Wang, Jianzhou & Lu, Haiyan & Zhao, Weigang, 2021. "A novel combined model for wind speed prediction – Combination of linear model, shallow neural networks, and deep learning approaches," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    3. Zhang, Ziyuan & Wang, Jianzhou & Wei, Danxiang & Luo, Tianrui & Xia, Yurui, 2023. "A novel ensemble system for short-term wind speed forecasting based on Two-stage Attention-Based Recurrent Neural Network," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 204(C), pages 11-23.
    4. Huang, Xiaoqiao & Li, Qiong & Tai, Yonghang & Chen, Zaiqing & Liu, Jun & Shi, Junsheng & Liu, Wuming, 2022. "Time series forecasting for hourly photovoltaic power using conditional generative adversarial network and Bi-LSTM," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 246(C).
    5. Wang, Jianzhou & Wang, Shuai & Li, Zhiwu, 2021. "Wind speed deterministic forecasting and probabilistic interval forecasting approach based on deep learning, modified tunicate swarm algorithm, and quantile regression," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 1246-1261.
    6. Xiao, Yu-jie & Wang, Xiao-kang & Wang, Jian-qiang & Zhang, Hong-yu, 2021. "An adaptive decomposition and ensemble model for short-term air pollutant concentration forecast using ICEEMDAN-ICA," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).
    7. Tian, Zhirui & Wang, Jiyang, 2022. "Variable frequency wind speed trend prediction system based on combined neural network and improved multi-objective optimization algorithm," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 254(PA).
    8. Hofer, Roswitha, 2018. "Halton-type sequences in rational bases in the ring of rational integers and in the ring of polynomials over a finite field," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 143(C), pages 78-88.
    9. Li, Jingrui & Wang, Jianzhou & Zhang, Haipeng & Li, Zhiwu, 2022. "An innovative combined model based on multi-objective optimization approach for forecasting short-term wind speed: A case study in China," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 201(P1), pages 766-779.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Lin, Shengmao & Wang, Shu & Xu, Xuefang & Li, Ruixiong & Shi, Peiming, 2024. "GAOformer: An adaptive spatiotemporal feature fusion transformer utilizing GAT and optimizable graph matrixes for offshore wind speed prediction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 292(C).
    2. Zheng, Jingwei & Wang, Jianzhou, 2024. "Short-term wind speed forecasting based on recurrent neural networks and Levy crystal structure algorithm," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 293(C).
    3. Tian, Zhirui & Liu, Weican & Jiang, Wenqian & Wu, Chenye, 2024. "CNNs-Transformer based day-ahead probabilistic load forecasting for weekends with limited data availability," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 293(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wu, Binrong & Yu, Sihao & Peng, Lu & Wang, Lin, 2024. "Interpretable wind speed forecasting with meteorological feature exploring and two-stage decomposition," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 294(C).
    2. Yang, Yi & Xing, Qianyi & Wang, Kang & Li, Caihong & Wang, Jianzhou & Huang, Xiaojia, 2024. "A novel combined probabilistic load forecasting system integrating hybrid quantile regression and knee improved multi-objective optimization strategy," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 356(C).
    3. Zhang, Guowei & Zhang, Yi & Wang, Hui & Liu, Da & Cheng, Runkun & Yang, Di, 2024. "Short-term wind speed forecasting based on adaptive secondary decomposition and robust temporal convolutional network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 288(C).
    4. Xiao, Zenan & Huang, Xiaoqiao & Liu, Jun & Li, Chengli & Tai, Yonghang, 2023. "A novel method based on time series ensemble model for hourly photovoltaic power prediction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 276(C).
    5. Wang, Jianzhou & Niu, Xinsong & Zhang, Lifang & Liu, Zhenkun & Wei, Danxiang, 2022. "The influence of international oil prices on the exchange rates of oil exporting countries: Based on the hybrid copula function," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    6. Zhang, Haipeng & Wang, Jianzhou & Qian, Yuansheng & Li, Qiwei, 2024. "Point and interval wind speed forecasting of multivariate time series based on dual-layer LSTM," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 294(C).
    7. Wang, Jianzhou & Wang, Shuai & Li, Zhiwu, 2021. "Wind speed deterministic forecasting and probabilistic interval forecasting approach based on deep learning, modified tunicate swarm algorithm, and quantile regression," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 1246-1261.
    8. Stefenon, Stefano Frizzo & Seman, Laio Oriel & Aquino, Luiza Scapinello & Coelho, Leandro dos Santos, 2023. "Wavelet-Seq2Seq-LSTM with attention for time series forecasting of level of dams in hydroelectric power plants," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 274(C).
    9. Zang, Haixiang & Chen, Dianhao & Liu, Jingxuan & Cheng, Lilin & Sun, Guoqiang & Wei, Zhinong, 2024. "Improving ultra-short-term photovoltaic power forecasting using a novel sky-image-based framework considering spatial-temporal feature interaction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 293(C).
    10. Liu, Jingxuan & Zang, Haixiang & Zhang, Fengchun & Cheng, Lilin & Ding, Tao & Wei, Zhinong & Sun, Guoqiang, 2023. "A hybrid meteorological data simulation framework based on time-series generative adversarial network for global daily solar radiation estimation," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 219(P1).
    11. Wang, Min & Rao, Congjun & Xiao, Xinping & Hu, Zhuo & Goh, Mark, 2024. "Efficient shrinkage temporal convolutional network model for photovoltaic power prediction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 297(C).
    12. Xu, Shaozhen & Liu, Jun & Huang, Xiaoqiao & Li, Chengli & Chen, Zaiqing & Tai, Yonghang, 2024. "Minutely multi-step irradiance forecasting based on all-sky images using LSTM-InformerStack hybrid model with dual feature enhancement," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    13. Zhang, Dongxue & Wang, Shuai & Liang, Yuqiu & Du, Zhiyuan, 2023. "A novel combined model for probabilistic load forecasting based on deep learning and improved optimizer," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 264(C).
    14. Hu, Jianming & Luo, Qingxi & Tang, Jingwei & Heng, Jiani & Deng, Yuwen, 2022. "Conformalized temporal convolutional quantile regression networks for wind power interval forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 248(C).
    15. Khasanzoda, Nasrullo & Zicmane, Inga & Beryozkina, Svetlana & Safaraliev, Murodbek & Sultonov, Sherkhon & Kirgizov, Alifbek, 2022. "Regression model for predicting the speed of wind flows for energy needs based on fuzzy logic," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 191(C), pages 723-731.
    16. Ghimire, Sujan & Deo, Ravinesh C. & Casillas-Pérez, David & Salcedo-Sanz, Sancho, 2024. "Two-step deep learning framework with error compensation technique for short-term, half-hourly electricity price forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 353(PA).
    17. Tian, Zhirui & Wang, Jiyang, 2022. "Variable frequency wind speed trend prediction system based on combined neural network and improved multi-objective optimization algorithm," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 254(PA).
    18. Yue-Jun Zhang & Han Zhang & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Forecasting the Artificial Intelligence Index Returns: A Hybrid Approach," Working Papers 202182, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    19. Suo, Leiming & Peng, Tian & Song, Shihao & Zhang, Chu & Wang, Yuhan & Fu, Yongyan & Nazir, Muhammad Shahzad, 2023. "Wind speed prediction by a swarm intelligence based deep learning model via signal decomposition and parameter optimization using improved chimp optimization algorithm," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 276(C).
    20. Chen, Zhiqiang & Li, Jianbin & Cheng, Long & Liu, Xiufeng, 2023. "Federated-WDCGAN: A federated smart meter data sharing framework for privacy preservation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 334(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:215:y:2023:i:c:s0960148123008388. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/renewable-energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.