IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v243y2024ics0951832023007329.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Extreme-oriented sensitivity analysis using sparse polynomial chaos expansion. Application to train–track–bridge systems

Author

Listed:
  • Shang, Yue
  • Nogal, Maria
  • Teixeira, Rui
  • Wolfert, A.R. (Rogier) M.

Abstract

The use of sensitivity analysis is essential in model development for the purposes of calibration, verification, factor prioritization, and mechanism reduction. While most contributions to sensitivity methods focus on the average model response, this paper proposes a new sensitivity method focusing on the extreme response and structural limit states, which combines an extreme-oriented sensitivity method with polynomial chaos expansion. This enables engineers to perform sensitivity analysis near given limit states and visualize the relevance of input factors to different design criteria and corresponding thresholds. The polynomial chaos expansion is used to approximate the model output and alleviate the computational cost in sensitivity analysis, which features sparsity and adaptivity to enhance efficiency. The accuracy and efficiency of the method are verified in a truss structure, which is then illustrated on a dynamic train–track–bridge system. The role of the input factors in response variability is clarified, which differs in terms of the design criteria chosen for sensitivity analysis. The method incorporates multi-scenarios and can thus be useful to support decision-making in design and management of engineering structures.

Suggested Citation

  • Shang, Yue & Nogal, Maria & Teixeira, Rui & Wolfert, A.R. (Rogier) M., 2024. "Extreme-oriented sensitivity analysis using sparse polynomial chaos expansion. Application to train–track–bridge systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:243:y:2024:i:c:s0951832023007329
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2023.109818
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832023007329
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2023.109818?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Wong, Chun Yui & Seshadri, Pranay & Parks, Geoffrey, 2021. "Extremum sensitivity analysis with polynomial Monte Carlo filtering," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
    2. Blatman, Géraud & Sudret, Bruno, 2010. "Efficient computation of global sensitivity indices using sparse polynomial chaos expansions," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 95(11), pages 1216-1229.
    3. Nogal, M. & Nogal, A., 2021. "Sensitivity method for extreme-based engineering problems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    4. Schöbi, Roland & Sudret, Bruno, 2019. "Global sensitivity analysis in the context of imprecise probabilities (p-boxes) using sparse polynomial chaos expansions," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 187(C), pages 129-141.
    5. Borgonovo, E., 2007. "A new uncertainty importance measure," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 92(6), pages 771-784.
    6. Thapa, Mishal & Missoum, Samy, 2022. "Uncertainty quantification and global sensitivity analysis of composite wind turbine blades," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    7. Mara, Thierry A. & Becker, William E., 2021. "Polynomial chaos expansion for sensitivity analysis of model output with dependent inputs," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
    8. Sudret, B. & Mai, C.V., 2015. "Computing derivative-based global sensitivity measures using polynomial chaos expansions," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 241-250.
    9. Papaioannou, Iason & Straub, Daniel, 2021. "Variance-based reliability sensitivity analysis and the FORM α-factors," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
    10. Sarazin, Gabriel & Morio, Jérôme & Lagnoux, Agnès & Balesdent, Mathieu & Brevault, Loïc, 2021. "Reliability-oriented sensitivity analysis in presence of data-driven epistemic uncertainty," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    11. Maume-Deschamps, Véronique & Niang, Ibrahima, 2018. "Estimation of quantile oriented sensitivity indices," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 122-127.
    12. Ehre, Max & Papaioannou, Iason & Straub, Daniel, 2020. "Global sensitivity analysis in high dimensions with PLS-PCE," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    13. Sudret, Bruno, 2008. "Global sensitivity analysis using polynomial chaos expansions," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 93(7), pages 964-979.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Zhang, Hu & Tian, Wei & Tan, Jingyuan & Yin, Juchao & Fu, Xing, 2024. "Sensitivity analysis of multiple time-scale building energy using Bayesian adaptive spline surfaces," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 363(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Palar, Pramudita Satria & Zuhal, Lavi Rizki & Shimoyama, Koji, 2023. "Enhancing the explainability of regression-based polynomial chaos expansion by Shapley additive explanations," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    2. Wang, Zhenqiang & Jia, Gaofeng, 2023. "Extended sample-based approach for efficient sensitivity analysis of group of random variables," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    3. Ehre, Max & Papaioannou, Iason & Straub, Daniel, 2020. "A framework for global reliability sensitivity analysis in the presence of multi-uncertainty," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
    4. Konakli, Katerina & Sudret, Bruno, 2016. "Global sensitivity analysis using low-rank tensor approximations," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 64-83.
    5. Wang, Zhenqiang & Jia, Gaofeng, 2020. "Augmented sample-based approach for efficient evaluation of risk sensitivity with respect to epistemic uncertainty in distribution parameters," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
    6. Shang, Xiaobing & Su, Li & Fang, Hai & Zeng, Bowen & Zhang, Zhi, 2023. "An efficient multi-fidelity Kriging surrogate model-based method for global sensitivity analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    7. Jung, WoongHee & Taflanidis, Alexandros A., 2023. "Efficient global sensitivity analysis for high-dimensional outputs combining data-driven probability models and dimensionality reduction," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    8. Wu, Zeping & Wang, Donghui & Okolo N, Patrick & Hu, Fan & Zhang, Weihua, 2016. "Global sensitivity analysis using a Gaussian Radial Basis Function metamodel," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 154(C), pages 171-179.
    9. Xiang Peng & Xiaoqing Xu & Jiquan Li & Shaofei Jiang, 2021. "A Sampling-Based Sensitivity Analysis Method Considering the Uncertainties of Input Variables and Their Distribution Parameters," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(10), pages 1-18, May.
    10. Wong, Chun Yui & Seshadri, Pranay & Parks, Geoffrey, 2021. "Extremum sensitivity analysis with polynomial Monte Carlo filtering," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
    11. Marrel, Amandine & Chabridon, Vincent, 2021. "Statistical developments for target and conditional sensitivity analysis: Application on safety studies for nuclear reactor," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
    12. Zdeněk Kala, 2024. "Global Sensitivity Analysis of Structural Reliability Using Cliff Delta," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-18, July.
    13. Anstett-Collin, F. & Goffart, J. & Mara, T. & Denis-Vidal, L., 2015. "Sensitivity analysis of complex models: Coping with dynamic and static inputs," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 268-275.
    14. Haro Sandoval, Eduardo & Anstett-Collin, Floriane & Basset, Michel, 2012. "Sensitivity study of dynamic systems using polynomial chaos," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 15-26.
    15. Girard, Sylvain & Romary, Thomas & Favennec, Jean-Melaine & Stabat, Pascal & Wackernagel, Hans, 2013. "Sensitivity analysis and dimension reduction of a steam generator model for clogging diagnosis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 143-153.
    16. Wu, Zeping & Wang, Wenjie & Wang, Donghui & Zhao, Kun & Zhang, Weihua, 2019. "Global sensitivity analysis using orthogonal augmented radial basis function," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 291-302.
    17. Straub, Daniel & Ehre, Max & Papaioannou, Iason, 2022. "Decision-theoretic reliability sensitivity," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    18. Daneshkhah, Alireza & Bedford, Tim, 2013. "Probabilistic sensitivity analysis of system availability using Gaussian processes," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 82-93.
    19. Barry Anderson & Emanuele Borgonovo & Marzio Galeotti & Roberto Roson, 2014. "Uncertainty in Climate Change Modeling: Can Global Sensitivity Analysis Be of Help?," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 34(2), pages 271-293, February.
    20. Yao, Wen & Zheng, Xiaohu & Zhang, Jun & Wang, Ning & Tang, Guijian, 2023. "Deep adaptive arbitrary polynomial chaos expansion: A mini-data-driven semi-supervised method for uncertainty quantification," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:243:y:2024:i:c:s0951832023007329. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.