IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v242y2024ics0951832023006336.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Modeling offshore wind farm disturbances and maintenance service responses within the scope of resilience

Author

Listed:
  • Niemi, Arto
  • Skobiej, Bartosz
  • Kulev, Nikolai
  • Sill Torres, Frank

Abstract

Offshore wind farms are becoming ever more important means of energy production. Accordingly, they are started to be considered critical infrastructures with heightened attention on their protection and resilience. This paper studies how the maintenance service can sustain or recover offshore wind farm operations under different stressors. We conduct this study by modeling the failures in an offshore wind farm and how maintenance service is able to correct them. Our model enhances the traditional cause-consequence trees by including dynamical aspects, and the modeling of the maintenance process. Special attention in the maintenance model is given to limited personnel and material resources, as well as limited access to wind turbines. This limit is a result of occasional harsh weather conditions that make conducting repairs unsafe. The model is applied for two representative disturbance scenarios: a cyber-attack leading to high failure rates and a high-impact incident causing numerous simultaneous failures. The second scenario integrates results from a physical power system simulation that are used for depicting the incident. The results show that our model can present scenarios where different stressors challenge the operations. These can be used for testing and defining requirements for future countermeasures to improve the resilience.

Suggested Citation

  • Niemi, Arto & Skobiej, Bartosz & Kulev, Nikolai & Sill Torres, Frank, 2024. "Modeling offshore wind farm disturbances and maintenance service responses within the scope of resilience," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:242:y:2024:i:c:s0951832023006336
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2023.109719
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832023006336
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2023.109719?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Yan, Rundong & Dunnett, Sarah & Andrews, John, 2023. "A Petri net model-based resilience analysis of nuclear power plants under the threat of natural hazards," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    2. Staggs, Jason & Ferlemann, David & Shenoi, Sujeet, 2017. "Wind farm security: attack surface, targets, scenarios and mitigation," International Journal of Critical Infrastructure Protection, Elsevier, vol. 17(C), pages 3-14.
    3. Terje Aven, 2019. "The Call for a Shift from Risk to Resilience: What Does it Mean?," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(6), pages 1196-1203, June.
    4. M’hammed Sahnoun & David Baudry & Navonil Mustafee & Anne Louis & Philip Andi Smart & Phil Godsiff & Belahcene Mazari, 2019. "Modelling and simulation of operation and maintenance strategy for offshore wind farms based on multi-agent system," Journal of Intelligent Manufacturing, Springer, vol. 30(8), pages 2981-2997, December.
    5. Heracleous, Constantinos & Kolios, Panayiotis & Panayiotou, Christos G. & Ellinas, Georgios & Polycarpou, Marios M., 2017. "Hybrid systems modeling for critical infrastructures interdependency analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 89-101.
    6. Wilkie, David & Galasso, Carmine, 2020. "A probabilistic framework for offshore wind turbine loss assessment," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 147(P1), pages 1772-1783.
    7. Woods, David D., 2015. "Four concepts for resilience and the implications for the future of resilience engineering," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 5-9.
    8. Scheu, Matti Niclas & Kolios, Athanasios & Fischer, Tim & Brennan, Feargal, 2017. "Influence of statistical uncertainty of component reliability estimations on offshore wind farm availability," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 28-39.
    9. Aven, Terje, 2017. "How some types of risk assessments can support resilience analysis and management," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 536-543.
    10. Poulin, Craig & Kane, Michael B., 2021. "Infrastructure resilience curves: Performance measures and summary metrics," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    11. Sun, Hao & Wang, Haiqing & Yang, Ming & Reniers, Genserik, 2022. "A STAMP-based approach to quantitative resilience assessment of chemical process systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    12. Tan, Zhizhong & Wu, Bei & Che, Ada, 2023. "Resilience modeling for multi-state systems based on Markov processes," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    13. Liu, Min & Qin, Jianjun & Lu, Da-Gang & Zhang, Wei-Heng & Zhu, Jiang-Sheng & Faber, Michael Havbro, 2022. "Towards resilience of offshore wind farms: A framework and application to asset integrity management," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 322(C).
    14. Geng, Sunyue & Yang, Ming & Mitici, Mihaela & Liu, Sifeng, 2023. "A resilience assessment framework for complex engineered systems using graphical evaluation and review technique (GERT)," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    15. Stephen Rose & Paulina Jaramillo & Mitchell J. Small & Jay Apt, 2013. "Quantifying the Hurricane Catastrophe Risk to Offshore Wind Power," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 33(12), pages 2126-2141, December.
    16. Saleh, Ali & Chiachío, Manuel & Salas, Juan Fernández & Kolios, Athanasios, 2023. "Self-adaptive optimized maintenance of offshore wind turbines by intelligent Petri nets," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    17. Zitrou, Athena & Bedford, Tim & Walls, Lesley, 2016. "A model for availability growth with application to new generation offshore wind farms," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 83-94.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Leimeister, Mareike & Kolios, Athanasios, 2018. "A review of reliability-based methods for risk analysis and their application in the offshore wind industry," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 1065-1076.
    2. Liu, Min & Qin, Jianjun & Lu, Da-Gang & Zhang, Wei-Heng & Zhu, Jiang-Sheng & Faber, Michael Havbro, 2022. "Towards resilience of offshore wind farms: A framework and application to asset integrity management," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 322(C).
    3. Zhong, Yuanfu & Li, Hongxu & Sun, Qin & Huang, Zhiwen & Zhang, Yingchao, 2024. "A kill chain optimization method for improving the resilience of unmanned combat system-of-systems," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 181(C).
    4. Perera, A.T.D. & Hong, Tianzhen, 2023. "Vulnerability and resilience of urban energy ecosystems to extreme climate events: A systematic review and perspectives," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    5. Caetano, Henrique O. & N., Luiz Desuó & Fogliatto, Matheus S.S. & Maciel, Carlos D., 2024. "Resilience assessment of critical infrastructures using dynamic Bayesian networks and evidence propagation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    6. David J. Yu & Michael L. Schoon & Jason K. Hawes & Seungyoon Lee & Jeryang Park & P. Suresh C. Rao & Laura K. Siebeneck & Satish V. Ukkusuri, 2020. "Toward General Principles for Resilience Engineering," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 40(8), pages 1509-1537, August.
    7. Tingting Ji & Hsi-Hsien Wei & Igal M. Shohet & Feng Xiong, 2021. "Risk-based resilience concentration assessment of community to seismic hazards," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 108(2), pages 1731-1751, September.
    8. Caputo, Antonio C. & Kalemi, Bledar & Paolacci, Fabrizio & Corritore, Daniele, 2020. "Computing resilience of process plants under Na-Tech events: Methodology and application to sesmic loading scenarios," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
    9. Yu, Yaocheng & Shuai, Bin & Huang, Wencheng, 2024. "Resilience evaluation of train control on-board system based on multi-dimensional continuous-time Bayesian network," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 246(C).
    10. Patriarca, Riccardo & Simone, Francesco & Di Gravio, Giulio, 2022. "Modelling cyber resilience in a water treatment and distribution system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    11. Kong, Linghao & Wang, Lizhi & Cao, Zhongzheng & Wang, Xiaohong, 2024. "Resilience evaluation of UAV swarm considering resource supplementation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    12. Gan, Chenyu & Ding, Shuiting & Qiu, Tian & Liu, Peng & Ma, Qinglin, 2024. "Model-based safety analysis with time resolution (MBSA-TR) method for complex aerothermal–mechanical systems of aero-engines," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    13. Hashemi, M.Reza & Kresning, Boma & Hashemi, Javad & Ginis, Isaac, 2021. "Assessment of hurricane generated loads on offshore wind farms; a closer look at most extreme historical hurricanes in New England," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 593-609.
    14. Trucco, Paolo & Petrenj, Boris, 2023. "Characterisation of resilience metrics in full-scale applications to interdependent infrastructure systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    15. Yao He & Yongchun Yang & Meimei Wang & Xudong Zhang, 2022. "Resilience Analysis of Container Port Shipping Network Structure: The Case of China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-17, August.
    16. Aven, Terje & Renn, Ortwin, 2018. "Improving government policy on risk: Eight key principles," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 230-241.
    17. Chen, Chao & Yang, Ming & Reniers, Genserik, 2021. "A dynamic stochastic methodology for quantifying HAZMAT storage resilience," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    18. Yang, Bofan & Zhang, Lin & Zhang, Bo & Xiang, Yang & An, Lei & Wang, Wenfeng, 2022. "Complex equipment system resilience: Composition, measurement and element analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    19. Wang, Anqi & Pei, Yan & Qian, Zheng & Zareipour, Hamidreza & Jing, Bo & An, Jiayi, 2022. "A two-stage anomaly decomposition scheme based on multi-variable correlation extraction for wind turbine fault detection and identification," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 321(C).
    20. Wang, Hongping & Fang, Yi-Ping & Zio, Enrico, 2022. "Resilience-oriented optimal post-disruption reconfiguration for coupled traffic-power systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:242:y:2024:i:c:s0951832023006336. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.