IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v214y2021ics0951832021002362.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Optimal inspections and mission abort policies for multistate systems

Author

Listed:
  • Levitin, Gregory
  • Finkelstein, Maxim
  • Xiang, Yanping

Abstract

At many instances, information on the state of a multistate system executing a mission is obtained via the costly inspections performed at discrete instants of time. Therefore, the corresponding cost-wise optimal mission abort policy that takes into account the state of a system should be designed accordingly. In this paper, we introduce an optimal mission abort policy that minimizes the expected costs due to inspections, mission failure and loss of a system. A system operates in a random environment modeled by a renewal process of shocks. With each shock, its state can deteriorate with certain probabilities that can eventually result in the total failure. The decision to abort or to continue operation depends on the number of experienced shocks and on the state of a system that is revealed only at inspections. The corresponding cost minimization problem is formulated and the necessary relationships for solving it are derived. Detailed numerical illustrations and discussions are presented.

Suggested Citation

  • Levitin, Gregory & Finkelstein, Maxim & Xiang, Yanping, 2021. "Optimal inspections and mission abort policies for multistate systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:214:y:2021:i:c:s0951832021002362
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2021.107700
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832021002362
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2021.107700?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Eryilmaz, Serkan, 2015. "Assessment of a multi-state system under a shock model," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 269(C), pages 1-8.
    2. Peng, Rui, 2018. "Joint routing and aborting optimization of cooperative unmanned aerial vehicles," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 131-137.
    3. Toshio Nakagawa, 2007. "Shock and Damage Models in Reliability Theory," Springer Series in Reliability Engineering, Springer, number 978-1-84628-442-7, March.
    4. Hiba Baroud & Jose E. Ramirez‐Marquez & Kash Barker & Claudio M. Rocco, 2014. "Stochastic Measures of Network Resilience: Applications to Waterway Commodity Flows," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 34(7), pages 1317-1335, July.
    5. Zhao, Xian & Sun, Jinglei & Qiu, Qingan & Chen, Ke, 2021. "Optimal inspection and mission abort policies for systems subject to degradation," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 292(2), pages 610-621.
    6. Levitin, Gregory & Finkelstein, Maxim & Dai, Yuanshun, 2020. "Mission abort and rescue for multistate systems operating under the Poisson process of shocks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
    7. Levitin, Gregory & Finkelstein, Maxim & Dai, Yuanshun, 2020. "State-based mission abort policies for multistate systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
    8. Gregory Levitin & Maxim Finkelstein, 2018. "Optimal Mission Abort Policy for Systems Operating in a Random Environment," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 38(4), pages 795-803, April.
    9. Zhu, Xiaoning & Yan, Rui & Peng, Rui & Zhang, Zhongxin, 2020. "Optimal routing, loading and aborting of UAVs executing both visiting tasks and transportation tasks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
    10. Maxim Finkelstein & Ji Hwan Cha, 2013. "Burn-in for Heterogeneous Populations," Springer Series in Reliability Engineering, in: Stochastic Modeling for Reliability, edition 127, chapter 0, pages 261-312, Springer.
    11. Levitin, Gregory & Finkelstein, Maxim & Huang, Hong-Zong, 2020. "Optimal mission abort policies for multistate systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    12. Levitin, Gregory & Finkelstein, Maxim & Dai, Yuanshun, 2018. "Mission abort policy balancing the uncompleted mission penalty and system loss risk," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 194-201.
    13. Qiu, Qingan & Cui, Lirong, 2019. "Gamma process based optimal mission abort policy," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 1-1.
    14. Wu, Congshan & Zhao, Xian & Qiu, Qingan & Sun, Jinglei, 2021. "Optimal mission abort policy for k-out-of-n: F balanced systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    15. Qiu, Qingan & Cui, Lirong & Wu, Bei, 2020. "Dynamic mission abort policy for systems operating in a controllable environment with self-healing mechanism," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
    16. Maxim Finkelstein & Ji Hwan Cha, 2013. "Shocks as Burn-in," Springer Series in Reliability Engineering, in: Stochastic Modeling for Reliability, edition 127, chapter 0, pages 313-361, Springer.
    17. Qiu, Qingan & Cui, Lirong, 2019. "Optimal mission abort policy for systems subject to random shocks based on virtual age process," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 189(C), pages 11-20.
    18. Qiu, Qingan & Kou, Meng & Chen, Ke & Deng, Qiao & Kang, Fengming & Lin, Cong, 2021. "Optimal stopping problems for mission oriented systems considering time redundancy," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    19. Levitin, Gregory & Xing, Liudong & Luo, Liang, 2019. "Influence of failure propagation on mission abort policy in heterogeneous warm standby systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 29-38.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Meng, Sa & Xing, Liudong & Levitin, Gregory, 2024. "Activation delay and aborting policy minimizing expected losses in consecutive attempts having cumulative effect on mission success," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
    2. Levitin, Gregory & Xing, Liudong & Dai, Yanshun, 2021. "Joint optimal mission aborting and replacement and maintenance scheduling in dual-unit standby systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    3. Levitin, Gregory & Xing, Liudong & Dai, Yuanshun, 2022. "Using kamikaze components in multi-attempt missions with abort option," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 227(C).
    4. Cheng, Guoqing & Shen, Jiayi & Wang, Fang & Li, Ling & Yang, Nan, 2024. "Optimal mission abort policy for a multi-component system with failure interaction," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
    5. Wang, Xiaoyue & Ning, Ru & Zhao, Xian & Zhou, Jian, 2022. "Reliability analyses of k-out-of-n: F capability-balanced systems in a multi-source shock environment," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 227(C).
    6. Chadha, Mayank & Ramancha, Mukesh K. & Vega, Manuel A. & Conte, Joel P. & Todd, Michael D., 2023. "The modeling of risk perception in the use of structural health monitoring information for optimal maintenance decisions," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    7. Levitin, Gregory & Xing, Liudong & Dai, Yuanshun, 2024. "Multi-attempt missions with multiple rescue options," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 248(C).
    8. Liu, Lujie & Yang, Jun, 2023. "A dynamic mission abort policy for the swarm executing missions and its solution method by tailored deep reinforcement learning," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    9. Levitin, Gregory & Xing, Liudong & Dai, Yuanshun, 2023. "Optimal task sequencing and aborting in multi-attempt multi-task missions with a limited number of attempts," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    10. Levitin, Gregory & Xing, Liudong & Dai, Yuanshun, 2022. "Optimal mission aborting in multistate systems with storage," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 218(PA).
    11. Cheng, Guoqing & Li, Ling & Shangguan, Chunxia & Yang, Nan & Jiang, Bo & Tao, Ningrong, 2023. "Optimal joint inspection and mission abort policy for a partially observable system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    12. Levitin, Gregory & Xing, Liudong & Dai, Yuanshun, 2024. "A new self-adaptive mission aborting policy for systems operating in uncertain random shock environment," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 248(C).
    13. Levitin, Gregory & Xing, Liudong & Dai, Yuanshun, 2023. "Optimal aborting policy for shock exposed missions with random rescue time," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
    14. Meng, Sa & Xing, Liudong & Levitin, Gregory, 2024. "Optimizing component activation and operation aborting in missions with consecutive attempts and common abort command," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    15. Levitin, Gregory & Xing, Liudong & Dai, Yuanshun, 2024. "Optimal task aborting and sequencing in time constrained multi-task multi-attempt missions," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    16. Kim, Seokgoo & Choi, Joo-Ho & Kim, Nam Ho, 2022. "Inspection schedule for prognostics with uncertainty management," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    17. Zhao, Xian & Liu, Haoran & Wu, Yaguang & Qiu, Qingan, 2023. "Joint optimization of mission abort and system structure considering dynamic tasks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    18. Wang, Jiantai & Ma, Xiaobing & Yang, Li & Qiu, Qingan & Shang, Lijun & Wang, Jingjing, 2024. "A hybrid inspection-replacement policy for multi-stage degradation considering imperfect inspection with variable probabilities," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Levitin, Gregory & Finkelstein, Maxim & Xiang, Yanping, 2021. "Optimal mission abort policies for repairable multistate systems performing multi-attempt mission," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
    2. Levitin, Gregory & Finkelstein, Maxim & Xiang, Yanping, 2021. "Optimal abort rules for additive multi-attempt missions," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    3. Zhao, Xian & Liu, Haoran & Wu, Yaguang & Qiu, Qingan, 2023. "Joint optimization of mission abort and system structure considering dynamic tasks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    4. Levitin, Gregory & Xing, Liudong & Dai, Yuanshun, 2023. "Optimal task sequencing and aborting in multi-attempt multi-task missions with a limited number of attempts," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    5. Zhao, Xian & Chai, Xiaofei & Sun, Jinglei & Qiu, Qingan, 2021. "Joint optimization of mission abort and component switching policies for multistate warm standby systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
    6. Zhao, Xian & Wang, Xinlei & Dai, Ying & Qiu, Qingan, 2024. "Joint optimization of loading, mission abort and rescue site selection policies for UAV," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 244(C).
    7. Ke Chen & Xian Zhao & Qingan Qiu, 2022. "Optimal Task Abort and Maintenance Policies Considering Time Redundancy," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-16, April.
    8. Levitin, Gregory & Finkelstein, Maxim & Dai, Yuanshun, 2020. "State-based mission abort policies for multistate systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
    9. Cheng, Guoqing & Li, Ling & Shangguan, Chunxia & Yang, Nan & Jiang, Bo & Tao, Ningrong, 2023. "Optimal joint inspection and mission abort policy for a partially observable system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    10. Levitin, Gregory & Finkelstein, Maxim & Xiang, Yanping, 2021. "Optimal aborting strategy for three-phase missions performed by multiple units," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    11. Liu, Bing & Huang, Hao & Deng, Qiao, 2022. "On optimal condition based task termination policy for phased task systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    12. Levitin, Gregory & Xing, Liudong & Dai, Yuanshun, 2022. "Optimal mission aborting in multistate systems with storage," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 218(PA).
    13. Zhao, Xian & Fan, Yu & Qiu, Qingan & Chen, Ke, 2021. "Multi-criteria mission abort policy for systems subject to two-stage degradation process," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 295(1), pages 233-245.
    14. Wu, Congshan & Zhao, Xian & Qiu, Qingan & Sun, Jinglei, 2021. "Optimal mission abort policy for k-out-of-n: F balanced systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    15. Zhao, Xian & Lv, Zuheng & Qiu, Qingan & Wu, Yaguang, 2023. "Designing two-level rescue depot location and dynamic rescue policies for unmanned vehicles," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
    16. Levitin, Gregory & Finkelstein, Maxim & Dai, Yuanshun, 2020. "Mission abort and rescue for multistate systems operating under the Poisson process of shocks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
    17. Levitin, Gregory & Finkelstein, Maxim & Xiang, Yanping, 2020. "Optimal abort rules and subtask distribution in missions performed by multiple independent heterogeneous units," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).
    18. Levitin, Gregory & Finkelstein, Maxim & Dai, Yuanshun, 2020. "Mission abort policy optimization for series systems with overlapping primary and rescue subsystems operating in a random environment," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    19. Liu, Lujie & Yang, Jun, 2023. "A dynamic mission abort policy for the swarm executing missions and its solution method by tailored deep reinforcement learning," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    20. Zhao, Xian & Dai, Ying & Qiu, Qingan & Wu, Yaguang, 2022. "Joint optimization of mission aborts and allocation of standby components considering mission loss," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:214:y:2021:i:c:s0951832021002362. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.