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Supervised dynamic probabilistic risk assessment of complex systems, part 2: Application to risk-informed decision making, practice and results

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  • Parhizkar, Tarannom
  • Utne, Ingrid Bouwer
  • Vinnem, Jan Erik
  • Mosleh, Ali

Abstract

One challenge that has received attention in maritime industry is assessing the risk level of dynamic positioning (DP) systems in emergency situations. Statistics from recent years have shown that the risk level of some DP operations is above the industry's risk criteria. Operators have a significant impact on incidents’ consequences by making responsive decisions. In emergencies, one is afforded little time to make a decision. Available risk models are not efficient enough to provide systems’ risk level in a short period of time.

Suggested Citation

  • Parhizkar, Tarannom & Utne, Ingrid Bouwer & Vinnem, Jan Erik & Mosleh, Ali, 2021. "Supervised dynamic probabilistic risk assessment of complex systems, part 2: Application to risk-informed decision making, practice and results," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:208:y:2021:i:c:s0951832020308796
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2020.107392
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    9. Yining Dong & Jan Erik Vinnem & Ingrid Bouwer Utne, 2017. "Improving safety of DP operations: learning from accidents and incidents during offshore loading operations," EURO Journal on Decision Processes, Springer;EURO - The Association of European Operational Research Societies, vol. 5(1), pages 5-40, November.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Hu, Yunpeng & Peng, Qibo & Ni, Qing & Wu, Xinfeng & Ye, Dongming, 2023. "Event-based safety and reliability analysis integration in model-based space mission design," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    3. Park, Jong Woo & Lee, Seung Jun, 2022. "Simulation optimization framework for dynamic probabilistic safety assessment," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 220(C).
    4. Nejad, Hamed S. & Parhizkar, Tarannom & Mosleh, Ali, 2022. "Automatic generation of event sequence diagrams for guiding simulation based dynamic probabilistic risk assessment (SIMPRA) of complex systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    5. Hu, Yunwei & Parhizkar, Tarannom & Mosleh, Ali, 2022. "Guided simulation for dynamic probabilistic risk assessment of complex systems: Concept, method, and application," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    6. Maidana, Renan G. & Parhizkar, Tarannom & Gomola, Alojz & Utne, Ingrid B. & Mosleh, Ali, 2023. "Supervised dynamic probabilistic risk assessment: Review and comparison of methods," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    7. Martínez-Galán Fernández, Pablo & Guillén López, Antonio J. & Márquez, Adolfo Crespo & Gomez Fernández, Juan Fco. & Marcos, Jose Antonio, 2022. "Dynamic Risk Assessment for CBM-based adaptation of maintenance planning," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).

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