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A large group decision making approach for dependence assessment in human reliability analysis

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  • Liu, Hu-Chen
  • Li, Zhaojun
  • Zhang, Jian-Qing
  • You, Xiao-Yue

Abstract

Human reliability analysis (HRA) is a systematic technique to assess human contribution to system risk and has been widely used in diverse complex systems. Dependence assessment among human errors is an important activity in HRA, which depends heavily on domain experts’ knowledge and experience. Normally, it is common for experts to give their judgments using linguistic labels and different types of uncertainties may exist in the dependence assessments. Additionally, the existing dependence assessment methods are limited to small-scale expert groups, which reduce the accuracy of dependence analysis with the increasing complexity of high risky systems. In this article, we develop a large group dependence assessment (LGDA) model based on interval 2-tuple linguistic variables and cluster analysis method to manage the dependence in HRA. Further, we propose an extended Muirhead mean operator to determine the dependence levels between consecutive operator actions. Finally, an empirical healthcare dependence analysis is taken as an example to illustrate the effectiveness and practicality of our proposed LGDA approach.

Suggested Citation

  • Liu, Hu-Chen & Li, Zhaojun & Zhang, Jian-Qing & You, Xiao-Yue, 2018. "A large group decision making approach for dependence assessment in human reliability analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 135-144.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:176:y:2018:i:c:p:135-144
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2018.04.008
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    6. Tang, Ming & Liao, Huchang, 2021. "From conventional group decision making to large-scale group decision making: What are the challenges and how to meet them in big data era? A state-of-the-art survey," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
    7. Zhou, Jian-Lan & Tu, Ren-Fang & Xiao, Hai, 2022. "Large-scale group decision-making to facilitate inter-rater reliability of human-factors analysis for the railway system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    8. Liu, Hu-Chen & Wang, Jing-Hui & Zhang, Ling & Zhang, Qi-Zhen, 2022. "New success likelihood index model for large group human reliability analysis considering noncooperative behaviors and social network," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    9. Zhou, Jian-Lan & Yu, Ze-Tai & Xiao, Ren-Bin, 2022. "A large-scale group Success Likelihood Index Method to estimate human error probabilities in the railway driving process," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    10. Ji, Changcheng & Gao, Fei & Liu, Wenjiang, 2024. "Dependence assessment in human reliability analysis based on cloud model and best-worst method," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).

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