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Probabilistic risk assessment on maritime spent nuclear fuel transportation—Part I: Transport cask damage probability

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  • Christian, Robby
  • Kang, Hyun Gook

Abstract

This paper proposes a methodology to assess and reduce risks on Spent Nuclear Fuel (SNF) packages from ship collisions with a probabilistic approach. A method to estimate the impact energy upon a collision was elaborated in consideration that whether ships slide or stuck to each other during collision. Structural crash-worthiness of the SNF ship was obtained through a non-linear finite element analysis. Cask damage probability was calculated based on frontal and side cask impact scenarios. This cask damage probability was investigated over various transport parameters which include the number of transport casks carried per shipment, cask stowage configuration, cask loading direction, and ship's cruise velocity.

Suggested Citation

  • Christian, Robby & Kang, Hyun Gook, 2017. "Probabilistic risk assessment on maritime spent nuclear fuel transportation—Part I: Transport cask damage probability," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 124-135.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:164:y:2017:i:c:p:124-135
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2016.11.021
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Montewka, Jakub & Ehlers, Sören & Goerlandt, Floris & Hinz, Tomasz & Tabri, Kristjan & Kujala, Pentti, 2014. "A framework for risk assessment for maritime transportation systems—A case study for open sea collisions involving RoPax vessels," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 142-157.
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    Cited by:

    1. Zhang, Mingyang & Montewka, Jakub & Manderbacka, Teemu & Kujala, Pentti & Hirdaris, Spyros, 2021. "A Big Data Analytics Method for the Evaluation of Ship - Ship Collision Risk reflecting Hydrometeorological Conditions," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).
    2. Liu, Qiang & Tang, Aiping & Huang, Delong & Huang, Ziyuan & Zhang, Bin & Xu, Xiuchen, 2022. "Total probabilistic measure for the potential risk of regional roads exposed to landslides," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    3. Zhang, Mingyang & Zhang, Di & Fu, Shanshan & Kujala, Pentti & Hirdaris, Spyros, 2022. "A predictive analytics method for maritime traffic flow complexity estimation in inland waterways," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 220(C).
    4. Tao, Longlong & Chen, Liwei & Ge, Daochuan & Yao, Yuantao & Ruan, Fang & Wu, Jie & Yu, Jie, 2022. "An integrated probabilistic risk assessment methodology for maritime transportation of spent nuclear fuel based on event tree and hydrodynamic model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 227(C).
    5. Tao, Longlong & Wu, Jie & Ge, Daochuan & Chen, Liwei & Sun, Ming, 2022. "Risk-informed based comprehensive path-planning method for radioactive materials road transportation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).

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