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Time-dependent risk modeling of accidental events and responses in process industries

Author

Listed:
  • Bris, Radim
  • Medonos, Sava
  • Wilkins, Chris
  • Zdráhala, Adam

Abstract

Risk to safety of personnel in process industries is normally modeled in the application of event trees, where the risk is defined as a product of event frequency and its consequences. This method is steady state whilst the actual event is time dependent, comprising, for a gas release, as for example, the size of gas cloud being released, probabilities of ignition, fire or explosion, fatality, escalation to new releases and fire and/or explosion, and the probability of fatality, all varying with time.

Suggested Citation

  • Bris, Radim & Medonos, Sava & Wilkins, Chris & Zdráhala, Adam, 2014. "Time-dependent risk modeling of accidental events and responses in process industries," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 54-66.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:125:y:2014:i:c:p:54-66
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2013.05.010
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Briš, Radim, 2008. "Parallel simulation algorithm for maintenance optimization based on directed Acyclic Graph," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 93(6), pages 874-884.
    2. Stroeve, Sybert H. & Blom, Henk A.P. & Bakker, G.J. (Bert), 2013. "Contrasting safety assessments of a runway incursion scenario: Event sequence analysis versus multi-agent dynamic risk modelling," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 133-149.
    3. Briš, Radim, 2010. "Exact reliability quantification of highly reliable systems with maintenance," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 95(12), pages 1286-1292.
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    Cited by:

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    3. XiaoFei, Lu & Min, Liu, 2014. "Hazard rate function in dynamic environment," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 50-60.

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