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Global sensitivity/uncertainty analysis for agent-based models

Author

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  • Fonoberova, Maria
  • Fonoberov, Vladimir A.
  • Mezić, Igor

Abstract

Agent-based models simulate simultaneous actions and interactions of multiple agents, in an attempt to re-create and predict the appearance of complex phenomena. We propose to use global sensitivity analysis as a tool for analyzing and evaluating agent-based models. A general approach for applying the global sensitivity analysis to agent-based models is presented and tested on the example of a socio-cultural agent-based model we developed earlier [45]. We identify the most significant parameters in the model and uncover their contributions to the outputs of interest. Methodology of model reduction for agent-based models is discussed and demonstrated for the aforementioned model.

Suggested Citation

  • Fonoberova, Maria & Fonoberov, Vladimir A. & Mezić, Igor, 2013. "Global sensitivity/uncertainty analysis for agent-based models," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 8-17.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:118:y:2013:i:c:p:8-17
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2013.04.004
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Arika Ligmann-Zielinska & Daniel B Kramer & Kendra Spence Cheruvelil & Patricia A Soranno, 2014. "Using Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analyses in Socioecological Agent-Based Models to Improve Their Analytical Performance and Policy Relevance," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 9(10), pages 1-13, October.
    3. Priscilla Avegliano & Jaime Simão Sichman, 2023. "Equation-Based Versus Agent-Based Models: Why Not Embrace Both for an Efficient Parameter Calibration?," Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, vol. 26(4), pages 1-3.
    4. Lee, Ju-Sung & Filatova, Tatiana & Ligmann-Zielinska, Arika & Hassani-Mahmooei, Behrooz & Stonedahl, Forrest & Lorscheid, Iris & Voinov, Alexey & Polhill, J. Gareth & Sun, Zhanli & Parker, Dawn C., 2015. "The complexities of agent-based modeling output analysis," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 18(4).

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