IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/recore/v82y2014icp35-40.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Time-series analysis of global zinc demand associated with steel

Author

Listed:
  • Daigo, Ichiro
  • Osako, Shun
  • Adachi, Yoshihiro
  • Matsuno, Yasunari

Abstract

This study aimed to analyze the global-scale substance flow of zinc associated with steel in order to discuss the sustainable use of zinc resources in the future. The relationship between the demand for steel and zinc was characterized in terms of zinc intensity for galvanized steel and the percentage of galvanized steel that accounts for the total steel demand. Zinc consumption for steel was divided into end uses according to the statistics on steel. Zinc demand in the future was forecasted with three scenarios for zinc intensity. Future steel demand was estimated using the stocks-drive-flows model, in which the demand is determined by the change in stock. The growth of in-use stock of galvanized steel in the future was estimated by considering economic growth on the basis of the transition of in-use stock of galvanized steel in the past. The cumulative zinc demand for galvanized steel up to the year 2050 was compared with the zinc reserves. It was found that the global average recovery rate of zinc was estimated at approximately 20% by the dynamic substance flow analysis for zinc. It is hoped that the recovery rate will increase. Even if zinc intensity is continuously reduced according to an experience curve based on technological development, a large portion of the current reserves will be consumed for galvanized steel. It was concluded that technological development in reducing zinc intensity will play a significant role in zinc resource conservation.

Suggested Citation

  • Daigo, Ichiro & Osako, Shun & Adachi, Yoshihiro & Matsuno, Yasunari, 2014. "Time-series analysis of global zinc demand associated with steel," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 35-40.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:recore:v:82:y:2014:i:c:p:35-40
    DOI: 10.1016/j.resconrec.2013.10.013
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921344913002206
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.resconrec.2013.10.013?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. van Vuuren, D. P. & Strengers, B. J. & De Vries, H. J. M., 1999. "Long-term perspectives on world metal use--a system-dynamics model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 25(4), pages 239-255, December.
    2. Crompton, Paul, 2000. "Future trends in Japanese steel consumption," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 26(2), pages 103-114, June.
    3. Ma, Hwong-wen & Matsubae, Kazuyo & Nakajima, Kenichi & Tsai, Min-Shing & Shao, Kung-Hsien & Chen, Pi-Cheng & Lee, Chia-Ho & Nagasaka, Tetsuya, 2011. "Substance flow analysis of zinc cycle and current status of electric arc furnace dust management for zinc recovery in Taiwan," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 56(1), pages 134-140.
    4. Matsuno, Yasunari & Hur, Tak & Fthenakis, Vasilis, 2012. "Dynamic modeling of cadmium substance flow with zinc and steel demand in Japan," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 83-90.
    5. T. E. Graedel & Dick van Beers & Marlen Bertram & Kensuke Fuse & Robert B. Gordon & Alexander Gritsinin & Ermelinda M. Harper & Amit Kapur & Robert J. Klee & Reid Lifset & Laiq Memon & Sabrina Spatari, 2005. "The Multilevel Cycle of Anthropogenic Zinc," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 9(3), pages 67-90, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Yuhua Guo & Junmao Qie & Chunxia Zhang & Yuantao Yang, 2021. "Material flow analysis of zinc during the manufacturing process in integrated steel mills in China," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 25(4), pages 1009-1020, August.
    2. Pauliuk, Stefan & Kondo, Yasushi & Nakamura, Shinichiro & Nakajima, Kenichi, 2017. "Regional distribution and losses of end-of-life steel throughout multiple product life cycles—Insights from the global multiregional MaTrace model," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 84-93.
    3. Meylan, Grégoire & Reck, Barbara K., 2017. "The anthropogenic cycle of zinc: Status quo and perspectives," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 1-10.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Kermeli, Katerina & Edelenbosch, Oreane Y. & Crijns-Graus, Wina & van Ruijven, Bas J. & van Vuuren, Detlef P. & Worrell, Ernst, 2022. "Improving material projections in Integrated Assessment Models: The use of a stock-based versus a flow-based approach for the iron and steel industry," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PE).
    2. Huang, Chu-Long & Vause, Jonathan & Ma, Hwong-Wen & Yu, Chang-Ping, 2012. "Using material/substance flow analysis to support sustainable development assessment: A literature review and outlook," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 104-116.
    3. Meylan, Grégoire & Reck, Barbara K., 2017. "The anthropogenic cycle of zinc: Status quo and perspectives," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 1-10.
    4. Cha, Kyounghoon & Son, Minjung & Matsuno, Yasunari & Fthenakis, Vasilis & Hur, Tak, 2013. "Substance flow analysis of cadmium in Korea," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 31-39.
    5. Yuhua Guo & Junmao Qie & Chunxia Zhang & Yuantao Yang, 2021. "Material flow analysis of zinc during the manufacturing process in integrated steel mills in China," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 25(4), pages 1009-1020, August.
    6. Chen, Wenying & Yin, Xiang & Ma, Ding, 2014. "A bottom-up analysis of China’s iron and steel industrial energy consumption and CO2 emissions," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 1174-1183.
    7. Larona S. Teseletso & Tsuyoshi Adachi, 2022. "Long-Term Sustainability of Copper and Iron Based on a System Dynamics Model," Resources, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-19, April.
    8. Zauresh Atakhanova & Peter Howie, 2020. "Metal intensity of use in the era of global value chains," Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, vol. 33(1), pages 101-113, July.
    9. Matsuno, Yasunari & Hur, Tak & Fthenakis, Vasilis, 2012. "Dynamic modeling of cadmium substance flow with zinc and steel demand in Japan," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 83-90.
    10. Hidalgo, Ignacio & Szabo, Laszlo & Carlos Ciscar, Juan & Soria, Antonio, 2005. "Technological prospects and CO2 emission trading analyses in the iron and steel industry: A global model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 30(5), pages 583-610.
    11. Kermeli, Katerina & Edelenbosch, Oreane Y. & Crijns-Graus, Wina & van Ruijven, Bas J. & Mima, Silvana & van Vuuren, Detlef P. & Worrell, Ernst, 2019. "The scope for better industry representation in long-term energy models: Modeling the cement industry," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 240(C), pages 964-985.
    12. Rebiasz, Bogdan, 2006. "Polish steel consumption, 1974-2008," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 37-49, March.
    13. Asif, Farazee M.A. & Rashid, Amir & Bianchi, Carmine & Nicolescu, Cornel M., 2015. "System dynamics models for decision making in product multiple lifecycles," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 20-33.
    14. Zhongxin Ni & Xing Lu & Wenjun Xue, 2021. "Does the belt and road initiative resolve the steel overcapacity in China? Evidence from a dynamic model averaging approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(1), pages 279-307, July.
    15. Chen, Wu & Wang, Minxi & Li, Xin, 2016. "Analysis of copper flows in the United States: 1975–2012," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 67-76.
    16. Walsh, E. & Babakina, O. & Pennock, A. & Shi, H. & Chi, Y. & Wang, T. & Graedel, T.E., 2006. "Quantitative guidelines for urban sustainability," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 45-61.
    17. Baskoro, Firly Rachmaditya & Takahashi, Katsuhiko & Morikawa, Katsumi & Nagasawa, Keisuke, 2021. "System dynamics approach in determining coal utilization scenario in Indonesia," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    18. Koji Tokimatsu & Shinsuke Murakami & Tsuyoshi Adachi & Ryota Ii & Rieko Yasuoka & Masahiro Nishio, 2017. "Long-term demand and supply of non-ferrous mineral resources by a mineral balance model," Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, vol. 30(3), pages 193-206, October.
    19. Gavin M. Mudd, 2021. "Assessing the Availability of Global Metals and Minerals for the Sustainable Century: From Aluminium to Zirconium," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(19), pages 1-20, September.
    20. Tapia, Carlos & Coulton, Jeff & Saydam, Serkan, 2020. "Using entropy to assess dynamic behaviour of long-term copper price," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:recore:v:82:y:2014:i:c:p:35-40. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Kai Meng (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/resources-conservation-and-recycling .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.