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Approximations for the relative outdating of perishable products by combining stochastic modeling, simulation and regression modeling

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  • van Donselaar, Karel H.
  • Broekmeulen, Rob A.C.M.

Abstract

In this paper we derive approximations for the expected amount of outdating (waste) in an inventory system with perishable products, periodic review, positive lead time, fixed case pack sizes and a First-In-First-Out withdrawal policy. Demand is discrete and stochastic. Demand which is not met from inventory on hand will be lost. The approximations can be used to evaluate how the amount of outdating can be reduced by changing the safety stock and/or the product and demand characteristics. We first derive approximations in an analytical way and then use regression to improve these approximations. The final approximation is very fast and performs very well: the mean and standard deviation of the approximation error are equal to −0.01% and 0.78%. Moreover, the approximation is applicable in situations with parameter settings which are frequently encountered in practice, and for which no other approximations have been derived in the literature before.

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  • van Donselaar, Karel H. & Broekmeulen, Rob A.C.M., 2012. "Approximations for the relative outdating of perishable products by combining stochastic modeling, simulation and regression modeling," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(2), pages 660-669.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:proeco:v:140:y:2012:i:2:p:660-669
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ijpe.2012.02.023
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    8. Avinadav, Tal & Herbon, Avi & Spiegel, Uriel, 2014. "Optimal ordering and pricing policy for demand functions that are separable into price and inventory age," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 406-417.
    9. Kouki, Chaaben & Jemaï, Zied & Minner, Stefan, 2015. "A lost sales (r, Q) inventory control model for perishables with fixed lifetime and lead time," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 143-157.
    10. Gorria, Carlos & Lezaun, Mikel & López, F. Javier, 2022. "Performance measures of nonstationary inventory models for perishable products under the EWA policy," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 303(3), pages 1137-1150.
    11. Broekmeulen, Rob A.C.M. & van Donselaar, Karel H., 2019. "Quantifying the potential to improve on food waste, freshness and sales for perishables in supermarkets," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 209(C), pages 265-273.
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    13. Lena Riesenegger & Alexander Hübner, 2022. "Reducing Food Waste at Retail Stores—An Explorative Study," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-21, February.
    14. Avinadav, Tal & Herbon, Avi & Spiegel, Uriel, 2013. "Optimal inventory policy for a perishable item with demand function sensitive to price and time," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(2), pages 497-506.
    15. Onur Kaya & Sajjad Rahimi Ghahroodi, 2018. "Inventory control and pricing for perishable products under age and price dependent stochastic demand," Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research (GOR);Nederlands Genootschap voor Besliskunde (NGB), vol. 88(1), pages 1-35, August.
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