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Adapting Wright's modification of Holt's method to forecasting intermittent demand

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  • Altay, Nezih
  • Rudisill, Frank
  • Litteral, Lewis A.

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  • Altay, Nezih & Rudisill, Frank & Litteral, Lewis A., 2008. "Adapting Wright's modification of Holt's method to forecasting intermittent demand," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(2), pages 389-408, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:proeco:v:111:y:2008:i:2:p:389-408
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    1. David J. Wright, 1986. "Forecasting Data Published at Irregular Time Intervals Using an Extension of Holt's Method," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 32(4), pages 499-510, April.
    2. A A Syntetos & J E Boylan & J D Croston, 2005. "On the categorization of demand patterns," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 56(5), pages 495-503, May.
    3. Willemain, Thomas R. & Smart, Charles N. & Schwarz, Henry, 2005. "Author's response to Koehler and Gardner," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 21(3), pages 619-620.
    4. Janssen, F.B.S.L.P., 1998. "Inventory management systems : Control and information issues," Other publications TiSEM 710d54d2-5447-4e2f-bb60-0, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    5. Syntetos, Aris A. & Boylan, John E., 2005. "The accuracy of intermittent demand estimates," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 303-314.
    6. Willemain, Thomas R. & Smart, Charles N. & Shockor, Joseph H. & DeSautels, Philip A., 1994. "Forecasting intermittent demand in manufacturing: a comparative evaluation of Croston's method," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 10(4), pages 529-538, December.
    7. Rob J. Hyndman & Lydia Shenstone, 2005. "Stochastic models underlying Croston's method for intermittent demand forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(6), pages 389-402.
    8. Snyder, Ralph, 2002. "Forecasting sales of slow and fast moving inventories," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 140(3), pages 684-699, August.
    9. Gardner, Everette Jr. & Koehler, Anne B., 2005. "Comments on a patented bootstrapping method for forecasting intermittent demand," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 21(3), pages 617-618.
    10. Jim Hoover, 2006. "Measuring Forecast Accuracy: Omissions in Today's Forecasting Engines and Demand-Planning Software," Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters, issue 4, pages 32-35, June.
    11. Eliezer Naddor, 1975. "Optimal and Heuristic Decisions in Single-and Multi-Item Inventory Systems," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 21(11), pages 1234-1249, July.
    12. John Boylan & Aris Syntetos, 2006. "Accuracy and Accuracy Implication Metrics for Intermittent Demand," Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters, issue 4, pages 39-42, June.
    13. Syntetos, A. A. & Boylan, J. E., 2001. "On the bias of intermittent demand estimates," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(1-3), pages 457-466, May.
    14. Hyndman, Rob J. & Koehler, Anne B., 2006. "Another look at measures of forecast accuracy," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(4), pages 679-688.
    15. Johnston, F. R. & Boylan, J. E., 1996. "Forecasting intermittent demand: A comparative evaluation of croston's method. Comment," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 12(2), pages 297-298, June.
    16. Willemain, Thomas R. & Smart, Charles N. & Schwarz, Henry F., 2004. "A new approach to forecasting intermittent demand for service parts inventories," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 375-387.
    17. Leven, Erik & Segerstedt, Anders, 2004. "Inventory control with a modified Croston procedure and Erlang distribution," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(3), pages 361-367, August.
    18. Rob J. Hyndman, 2006. "Another Look at Forecast Accuracy Metrics for Intermittent Demand," Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters, issue 4, pages 43-46, June.
    19. Z S Hua & B Zhang & J Yang & D S Tan, 2007. "A new approach of forecasting intermittent demand for spare parts inventories in the process industries," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 58(1), pages 52-61, January.
    20. Syntetos, Aris A. & Boylan, John E., 2006. "On the stock control performance of intermittent demand estimators," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(1), pages 36-47, September.
    21. A H C Eaves & B G Kingsman, 2004. "Forecasting for the ordering and stock-holding of spare parts," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 55(4), pages 431-437, April.
    22. Tom Willemain, 2006. "Forecast Accuracy Metrics for Intermittent Demands: Look at the Entire Distribution of Demands," Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters, issue 4, pages 36-38, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Teunter, Ruud H. & Syntetos, Aris A. & Zied Babai, M., 2011. "Intermittent demand: Linking forecasting to inventory obsolescence," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 214(3), pages 606-615, November.
    2. Kourentzes, Nikolaos & Athanasopoulos, George, 2021. "Elucidate structure in intermittent demand series," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 288(1), pages 141-152.
    3. Lindsey, Matthew & Pavur, Robert, 2009. "Prediction intervals for future demand of existing products with an observed demand of zero," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(1), pages 75-89, May.
    4. Jože Martin Rožanec & Blaž Fortuna & Dunja Mladenić, 2022. "Reframing Demand Forecasting: A Two-Fold Approach for Lumpy and Intermittent Demand," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-21, July.
    5. Turrini, Laura & Meissner, Joern, 2019. "Spare parts inventory management: New evidence from distribution fitting," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 273(1), pages 118-130.
    6. Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos I. & Babai, M. Zied & Bozos, Konstantinos, 2016. "Forecasting supply chain sporadic demand with nearest neighbor approaches," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 139-148.
    7. Heinecke, G. & Syntetos, A.A. & Wang, W., 2013. "Forecasting-based SKU classification," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(2), pages 455-462.
    8. Altay, Nezih & Litteral, Lewis A. & Rudisill, Frank, 2012. "Effects of correlation on intermittent demand forecasting and stock control," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(1), pages 275-283.
    9. Bacchetti, Andrea & Saccani, Nicola, 2012. "Spare parts classification and demand forecasting for stock control: Investigating the gap between research and practice," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 40(6), pages 722-737.
    10. Syntetos, A.A. & Babai, M.Z. & Davies, J. & Stephenson, D., 2010. "Forecasting and stock control: A study in a wholesaling context," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(1), pages 103-111, September.
    11. Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos, 2021. "We need to talk about intermittent demand forecasting," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 291(2), pages 549-559.
    12. Akhter Mohiuddin Rather & V. N. Sastry & Arun Agarwal, 2017. "Stock market prediction and Portfolio selection models: a survey," OPSEARCH, Springer;Operational Research Society of India, vol. 54(3), pages 558-579, September.

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