IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/phsmap/v643y2024ics0378437124003030.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

An evacuation model considering pedestrian fall behavior in an inclined passenger ship

Author

Listed:
  • Ma, Yaping
  • Zhang, Gangqiang
  • Huo, Feizhou

Abstract

Passenger ships are likely to be inclined during and after accidents, which is a vital factor that affects pedestrian behaviors and crowd dynamics in the evacuation process. On a significantly inclined ship, pedestrian fall behavior becomes more complex, increasing the risk of stampedes. Nevertheless, this type of evacuation has rarely been investigated. In this study, an extended cellular automata (CA) model that meets the inherent characteristics of passenger ship evacuations is constructed. The inclination force and self-adjusting force are incorporated into the model to evaluate the balance mechanism of pedestrians, while a method to calculate the probability of pedestrians falling down is established by considering the ship heeling angle and pedestrian heterogeneity. Further, the state of the pedestrians after falling to the ground is analyzed. A hazard field is introduced to describe the interaction between normal pedestrians and fallen pedestrians. The simulation results show that deaths occur when the ship heeling angle is greater than 20° and the crowd is evacuated successfully and fastest at the ship heeling angle of 5°, even better than on the flat ground. The greater the ship heeling angle, the more likely pedestrians are to fall over, and the earlier the first death occurs, thereby resulting in longer evacuation time and increased fatalities. The heterogeneity of passengers has considerable effects on the effectiveness of the ship evacuation, with a greater proportion of strong-resistance pedestrians reducing the crowd death and fall risks, even though the influence of crowd constitution on crowd evacuation time is insignificant. The death toll and evacuation time increased with the initial number of pedestrians aboard the ship. This study is beneficial in terms of understanding the evolution mechanism of evacuation dynamics and developing effective strategies for crowd emergency management on large passenger vessels.

Suggested Citation

  • Ma, Yaping & Zhang, Gangqiang & Huo, Feizhou, 2024. "An evacuation model considering pedestrian fall behavior in an inclined passenger ship," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 643(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:643:y:2024:i:c:s0378437124003030
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2024.129794
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437124003030
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.physa.2024.129794?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Wang, Xinjian & Liu, Zhengjiang & Loughney, Sean & Yang, Zaili & Wang, Yanfu & Wang, Jin, 2022. "Numerical analysis and staircase layout optimisation for a Ro-Ro passenger ship during emergency evacuation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    2. Wang, Guanning & Chen, Tao & Zheng, Huijie & Wang, Jianyu & Hu, Xiangmin & Deng, Kaifeng & Tao, Zhenxiang & Luo, Ning, 2023. "Heterogeneous crowd dynamics considering the impact of personality traits under a fire emergency: A questionnaire & simulation-based approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 610(C).
    3. Ha, Vi & Lykotrafitis, George, 2012. "Agent-based modeling of a multi-room multi-floor building emergency evacuation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(8), pages 2740-2751.
    4. Khamis, Nurulaqilla & Selamat, Hazlina & Ismail, Fatimah Sham & Lutfy, Omar Farouq & Haniff, Mohamad Fadzli & Nordin, Ili Najaa Aimi Mohd, 2020. "Optimized exit door locations for a safer emergency evacuation using crowd evacuation model and artificial bee colony optimization," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    5. Dirk Helbing & Illés Farkas & Tamás Vicsek, 2000. "Simulating dynamical features of escape panic," Nature, Nature, vol. 407(6803), pages 487-490, September.
    6. Li, Yang & Chen, Maoyin & Dou, Zhan & Zheng, Xiaoping & Cheng, Yuan & Mebarki, Ahmed, 2019. "A review of cellular automata models for crowd evacuation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 526(C).
    7. Li, Wenhang & Gong, Jianhua & Yu, Ping & Shen, Shen, 2016. "Modeling, simulation and analysis of group trampling risks during escalator transfers," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 444(C), pages 970-984.
    8. Huo, Feizhou & Li, Chao & Li, Yufei & Lv, Wei & Ma, Yaping, 2022. "An extended model for describing pedestrian evacuation considering the impact of obstacles on the visual view," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 604(C).
    9. Chen, Liang & Guo, Zhi-Liang & Wang, Tao & Li, Chuan-Yao & Tang, Tie-Qiao, 2023. "An evacuation guidance model for heterogeneous populations in large-scale pedestrian facilities with multiple exits," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 620(C).
    10. Kang, Zengxin & Zhang, Lei & Li, Kun, 2019. "An improved social force model for pedestrian dynamics in shipwrecks," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 348(C), pages 355-362.
    11. Sun, Jinlu & Lu, Shouxiang & Lo, Siuming & Ma, Jian & Xie, Qimiao, 2018. "Moving characteristics of single file passengers considering the effect of ship trim and heeling," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 490(C), pages 476-487.
    12. Wang, Xinjian & Liu, Zhengjiang & Wang, Jin & Loughney, Sean & Yang, Zaili & Gao, Xiaowei, 2021. "Experimental study on individual walking speed during emergency evacuation with the influence of ship motion," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 562(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Liu, Zhichen & Li, Ying & Zhang, Zhaoyi & Yu, Wenbo, 2022. "A new evacuation accessibility analysis approach based on spatial information," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    2. Wang, Xinjian & Liu, Zhengjiang & Loughney, Sean & Yang, Zaili & Wang, Yanfu & Wang, Jin, 2022. "Numerical analysis and staircase layout optimisation for a Ro-Ro passenger ship during emergency evacuation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    3. Deng, Fangwei & Wang, Jinghui & Li, Di & Lv, Wei & Fang, Zhiming, 2024. "Development of a three-stage hierarchical model for quick calculating stair evacuation time of high-rise building coupled with simulation analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 640(C).
    4. Guo, Chenglin & Huo, Feizhou & Li, Yufei & Li, Chao & Zhang, Jun, 2024. "An evacuation model considering pedestrian crowding and stampede under terrorist attacks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 249(C).
    5. Zhang, Yihao & Chai, Zhaojie & Lykotrafitis, George, 2021. "Deep reinforcement learning with a particle dynamics environment applied to emergency evacuation of a room with obstacles," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 571(C).
    6. Wan, Jiahui & Sui, Jie & Yu, Hua, 2014. "Research on evacuation in the subway station in China based on the Combined Social Force Model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 394(C), pages 33-46.
    7. Qiu, Hongpeng & Wang, Xuan & Lin, Peng & Lee, Eric W.M., 2024. "Effects of step time and neighbourhood rules on pedestrian evacuation using an extended cellular automata model considering aggressiveness," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 636(C).
    8. Zhang, Jun & Cui, Haoran & Chraibi, Mohcine & Yu, Hang & Song, Weiguo, 2023. "Velocity-based model for pedestrian dynamics considering direction preferences," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 613(C).
    9. Hu, Xiangmin & Chen, Tao & Deng, Kaifeng & Wang, Guanning, 2023. "Effects of aggressiveness on pedestrian room evacuation using extended cellular automata model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 619(C).
    10. Huang, Rong & Zhao, Xuan & Zhou, Chenyu & Kong, Lingchen & Liu, Chengqing & Yu, Qiang, 2022. "Static floor field construction and fine discrete cellular automaton model: Algorithms, simulations and insights," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 606(C).
    11. Yu Song & Jia Liu & Qian Liu, 2021. "Dynamic Decision-Making Process of Evacuees during Post-Earthquake Evacuation near an Automatic Flap Barrier Gate System: A Broken Windows Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-19, August.
    12. Johansson, Fredrik & Peterson, Anders & Tapani, Andreas, 2015. "Waiting pedestrians in the social force model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 419(C), pages 95-107.
    13. Kaifeng Deng & Meng Li & Guanning Wang & Xiangmin Hu & Yan Zhang & Huijie Zheng & Koukou Tian & Tao Chen, 2022. "Experimental Study on Panic during Simulated Fire Evacuation Using Psycho- and Physiological Metrics," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(11), pages 1-18, June.
    14. Li, Wenhang & Gong, Jianhua & Yu, Ping & Shen, Shen & Li, Rong & Duan, Qishen, 2015. "Simulation and analysis of congestion risk during escalator transfers using a modified social force model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 420(C), pages 28-40.
    15. Khamis, Nurulaqilla & Selamat, Hazlina & Ismail, Fatimah Sham & Lutfy, Omar Farouq & Haniff, Mohamad Fadzli & Nordin, Ili Najaa Aimi Mohd, 2020. "Optimized exit door locations for a safer emergency evacuation using crowd evacuation model and artificial bee colony optimization," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    16. Guo, Chenglin & Huo, Feizhou & Li, Chao & Li, Yufei, 2023. "An evacuation model considering the phototactic behavior of panic pedestrians under limited visual field," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 615(C).
    17. Ma, Yi & Yuen, Richard Kwok Kit & Lee, Eric Wai Ming, 2016. "Effective leadership for crowd evacuation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 450(C), pages 333-341.
    18. García, Ander & Hernández-Delfin, Dariel & González, Borja & Garitaonaindia, Germán & Lee, Dae-Jin & Ellero, Marco, 2024. "Analysis of local density during football stadium access: Integrating pedestrian flow simulations and empirical data," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 638(C).
    19. Li, Wenhang & Li, Yi & Yu, Ping & Gong, Jianhua & Shen, Shen & Huang, Lin & Liang, Jianming, 2017. "Modeling, simulation and analysis of the evacuation process on stairs in a multi-floor classroom building of a primary school," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 469(C), pages 157-172.
    20. Tamang, Nutthavuth & Sun, Yi, 2023. "Application of the dynamic Monte Carlo method to pedestrian evacuation dynamics," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 445(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:643:y:2024:i:c:s0378437124003030. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.