IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/phsmap/v629y2023ics0378437123006490.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Data-driven emergency evacuation decision for cruise ports under COVID-19: An improved genetic algorithm and simulation

Author

Listed:
  • Liu, Zongtuan
  • Dong, Gang
  • Gui, Yunmiao

Abstract

With the development of the economy and the improvement of passengers’ living standards, the passenger flow of cruise ports has sharply increased. However, the outbreak of COVID-19 has introduced more emergencies. Therefore, it is of great practical significance to investigate passenger emergency evacuation from cruise ports under COVID-19 conditions. First, the dynamic control flow model of emergency evacuation is established, and a theorem is given and proven to solve the relationship between the number of optimal evacuees and optimal short circuits. Second, an improved genetic algorithm is adopted to optimize it. Third, the boarding hall of Wusong Cruise Port is used to demonstrate the theoretical model with real data. Then the evacuation time in the solution results is found to be significantly shorted. Finally, Data-driven emergency evacuation decision for cruise ports under COVID-19 is given for policy implications.

Suggested Citation

  • Liu, Zongtuan & Dong, Gang & Gui, Yunmiao, 2023. "Data-driven emergency evacuation decision for cruise ports under COVID-19: An improved genetic algorithm and simulation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 629(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:629:y:2023:i:c:s0378437123006490
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2023.129094
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437123006490
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.physa.2023.129094?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Wang, Xinjian & Liu, Zhengjiang & Loughney, Sean & Yang, Zaili & Wang, Yanfu & Wang, Jin, 2022. "Numerical analysis and staircase layout optimisation for a Ro-Ro passenger ship during emergency evacuation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    2. Kang, Zengxin & Zhang, Lei & Li, Kun, 2019. "An improved social force model for pedestrian dynamics in shipwrecks," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 348(C), pages 355-362.
    3. Peiman Alipour Sarvari & Emre Cevikcan & Metin Celik & Alp Ustundag & Bilal Ervural, 2019. "A maritime safety on-board decision support system to enhance emergency evacuation on ferryboats," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(4), pages 410-435, May.
    4. Chen, Chang-Kun & Li, Jian & Zhang, Dong, 2012. "Study on evacuation behaviors at a T-shaped intersection by a force-driving cellular automata model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(7), pages 2408-2420.
    5. L. G. Chalmet & R. L. Francis & P. B. Saunders, 1982. "Network Models for Building Evacuation," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 28(1), pages 86-105, January.
    6. Song, Houde & Liu, Xiaojing & Song, Meiqi, 2023. "Comparative study of data-driven and model-driven approaches in prediction of nuclear power plants operating parameters," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 341(C).
    7. Shi, Meng & Lee, Eric Wai Ming & Ma, Yi, 2018. "A novel grid-based mesoscopic model for evacuation dynamics," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 497(C), pages 198-210.
    8. Fang, Zhi-Ming & Lv, Wei & Jiang, Li-Xue & Xu, Qing-Feng & Song, Wei-Guo, 2016. "Modeling and assessment of civil aircraft evacuation based on finer-grid," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 448(C), pages 102-112.
    9. Ivagnes, Anna & Stabile, Giovanni & Mola, Andrea & Iliescu, Traian & Rozza, Gianluigi, 2023. "Hybrid data-driven closure strategies for reduced order modeling," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 448(C).
    10. Liu, Qiujia & Lu, Linjun & Zhang, Yijing & Hu, Miaoqing, 2022. "Modeling the dynamics of pedestrian evacuation in a complex environment," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 585(C).
    11. Maskooki, Alaleh & Deb, Kalyanmoy & Kallio, Markku, 2022. "A customized genetic algorithm for bi-objective routing in a dynamic network," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 297(2), pages 615-629.
    12. Aleksandar Radic & Rob Law & Michael Lück & Haesang Kang & Antonio Ariza-Montes & Juan M. Arjona-Fuentes & Heesup Han, 2020. "Apocalypse Now or Overreaction to Coronavirus: The Global Cruise Tourism Industry Crisis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-19, August.
    13. Ji, Jingwei & Lu, Ligang & Jin, Zihao & Wei, Shoupeng & Ni, Lu, 2018. "A cellular automata model for high-density crowd evacuation using triangle grids," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 509(C), pages 1034-1045.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ding, Ning & Zhu, Yu & Liu, Xinyan & Dong, Dapeng & Wang, Yang, 2024. "A modified social force model for crowd evacuation considering collision predicting behaviors," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 466(C).
    2. Liu, Zhichen & Li, Ying & Zhang, Zhaoyi & Yu, Wenbo, 2022. "A new evacuation accessibility analysis approach based on spatial information," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    3. Li, Yongxing & Yang, Xiaoxia & Wang, Zijia & Chen, Liang & Chen, Yanyan, 2022. "Lane-design for mixed pedestrian flow in T-shaped passage," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 589(C).
    4. Wang, Xinjian & Liu, Zhengjiang & Loughney, Sean & Yang, Zaili & Wang, Yanfu & Wang, Jin, 2022. "Numerical analysis and staircase layout optimisation for a Ro-Ro passenger ship during emergency evacuation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    5. Song, Chengcheng & Shao, Quan & Zhu, Pei & Dong, Min & Yu, Wenfei, 2023. "An emergency aircraft evacuation simulation considering passenger overtaking and luggage retrieval," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    6. Wang, Xinjian & Xia, Guoqing & Zhao, Jian & Wang, Jin & Yang, Zaili & Loughney, Sean & Fang, Siming & Zhang, Shukai & Xing, Yongheng & Liu, Zhengjiang, 2023. "A novel method for the risk assessment of human evacuation from cruise ships in maritime transportation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    7. P. Daniel Wright & Matthew J. Liberatore & Robert L. Nydick, 2006. "A Survey of Operations Research Models and Applications in Homeland Security," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 36(6), pages 514-529, December.
    8. Ryan S. Naylor & Carter A. Hunt & Karl S. Zimmerer & B. Derrick Taff, 2021. "Emic Views of Community Resilience and Coastal Tourism Development," Societies, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-18, August.
    9. Asif Hussain & Francesc Fusté-Forné, 2021. "Post-Pandemic Recovery: A Case of Domestic Tourism in Akaroa (South Island, New Zealand)," World, MDPI, vol. 2(1), pages 1-12, March.
    10. Kurdi, Heba & Almulifi, Asma & Al-Megren, Shiroq & Youcef-Toumi, Kamal, 2021. "A balanced evacuation algorithm for facilities with multiple exits," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 289(1), pages 285-296.
    11. Pursals, Salvador Casadesús & Garzón, Federico Garriga, 2009. "Optimal building evacuation time considering evacuation routes," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 192(2), pages 692-699, January.
    12. H. W. Hamacher & S. Tufekci, 1987. "On the use of lexicographic min cost flows in evacuation modeling," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 34(4), pages 487-503, August.
    13. Bao, Yu & Huo, Feizhou, 2021. "An agent-based model for staircase evacuation considering agent’s rotational behavior," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 572(C).
    14. Tang, Tie-Qiao & Zhang, Bo-Tao & Zhang, Jian & Wang, Tao, 2019. "Statistical analysis and modeling of pedestrian flow in university canteen during peak period," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 521(C), pages 29-40.
    15. Li, Wei-Hong & Huang, Hai-Jun & Shang, Hua-Yan, 2020. "Dynamic equilibrium commuting in a multilane system with ridesharing," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 557(C).
    16. Li, Jun & Fu, Siyao & He, Haibo & Jia, Hongfei & Li, Yanzhong & Guo, Yi, 2015. "Simulating large-scale pedestrian movement using CA and event driven model: Methodology and case study," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 437(C), pages 304-321.
    17. Zhu, Yu & Chen, Tao & Ding, Ning & Chraibi, Mohcine & Fan, Wei-Cheng, 2021. "Follow people or signs? A novel way-finding method based on experiments and simulation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 573(C).
    18. Alf Kimms & Marc Maiwald, 2017. "An exact network flow formulation for cell‐based evacuation in urban areas," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 64(7), pages 547-555, October.
    19. Aleksandar Radic & Michael Lück & Amr Al-Ansi & Bee-Lia Chua & Sabrina Seeler & António Raposo & Jinkyung Jenny Kim & Heesup Han, 2021. "To Dine, or Not to Dine on a Cruise Ship in the Time of the COVID-19 Pandemic: The Tripartite Approach towards an Understanding of Behavioral Intentions among Female Passengers," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-17, February.
    20. Marek Więckowski, 2021. "Will the Consequences of Covid-19 Trigger a Redefining of the Role of Transport in the Development of Sustainable Tourism?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-15, February.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:629:y:2023:i:c:s0378437123006490. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.