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Knowledge fusion enhanced graph neural network for traffic flow prediction

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  • Wang, Shun
  • Zhang, Yong
  • Hu, Yongli
  • Yin, Baocai

Abstract

Traffic flow prediction is a very important and challenging task in intelligent transportation systems. There has been a lot of related research work on this issue, especially the application of graph convolutional networks has achieved quite good results. However, the existing methods usually only consider the temporal and spatial dependence in traffic data, and cannot fully explore the implicit semantic relationship from traffic knowledge. To solve this problem, we model the transportation system as topological graphs containing different types of knowledge such as network structure, regional functionality, and traffic flow patterns. We propose a Knowledge Fusion Enhanced Graph Neural Network (KFGNN) module based on multiple graph convolutional networks. Specifically, topological graphs are represented by relation matrices obtained by calculating traffic semantic similarity, and are used as the input of the Graph Convolutional Network(GCN) layer to capture the semantic dependence. The KFGNN module finally fuses these features to obtain a complex semantic representation of the traffic flow. Finally, knowledge fusion enhanced models (KE-TGCN, KE-STGCN and KE-GWN) are proposed to verify the effectiveness and versatility of this module. Experimental results on real-world datasets show that knowledge-enhanced models have higher prediction performance compared with classic GCN-based models.

Suggested Citation

  • Wang, Shun & Zhang, Yong & Hu, Yongli & Yin, Baocai, 2023. "Knowledge fusion enhanced graph neural network for traffic flow prediction," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 623(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:623:y:2023:i:c:s0378437123003977
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2023.128842
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. John Y. Campbell & Samuel B. Thompson, 2008. "Predicting Excess Stock Returns Out of Sample: Can Anything Beat the Historical Average?," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 21(4), pages 1509-1531, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Meng, Anbo & Zhu, Jianbin & Yan, Baiping & Yin, Hao, 2024. "Day-ahead electricity price prediction in multi-price zones based on multi-view fusion spatio-temporal graph neural network," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 369(C).
    2. Ma, Changxi & Zhang, Bowen & Li, Shukai & Lu, Youpeng, 2024. "Urban rail transit passenger flow prediction with ResCNN-GRU based on self-attention mechanism," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 638(C).
    3. Ma, Changxi & Zhao, Mingxi, 2023. "Spatio-temporal multi-graph convolutional network based on wavelet analysis for vehicle speed prediction," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 630(C).
    4. Hou, Yue & Zhang, Di & Li, Da & Deng, Zhiyuan, 2024. "Regional traffic flow combination prediction model considering virtual space of the road network," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 637(C).

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