IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/phsmap/v535y2019ics037843711931297x.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Stability analysis of an SDILR model based on rumor recurrence on social media

Author

Listed:
  • Yao, Yao
  • Xiao, Xi
  • Zhang, Chengping
  • Dou, Changsheng
  • Xia, Shutao

Abstract

Rumors can pose a damaging effect on individuals, organizations, and even public safety. It is of great value to precisely characterize the process of rumor spreading, since it can help provide corresponding countermeasures to contain the propagation. The main goal of this paper is to explore the phenomenon of rumors mongering repeatedly on social media, using a mathematical model, named SDILR. In this model, we describe different contact status for different users including the Susceptible, the Dangerous, the Infective, the Latent and the Recovered in an online social network. Compared to the traditional SIR spreading model, we supplement some realistic constraint condition i.e., the obstinacy of some rumor spreaders and the filtering function of online social medias are taken into account. Furthermore, the mean-field equations are derived to describe the dynamics of the SDILR rumor spreading model, associated with which the steady-state analysis is carried out, indicating the existence of equilibrium. Meanwhile, we investigate rumor control strategies over the Susceptible, the Dangerous, the Infective, the Latent and the Recovered. Simulation results show that there is great potential for an effective method to combat repeated rumors, in terms of lessening the recurrence rate θ and increasing the control rate γ.

Suggested Citation

  • Yao, Yao & Xiao, Xi & Zhang, Chengping & Dou, Changsheng & Xia, Shutao, 2019. "Stability analysis of an SDILR model based on rumor recurrence on social media," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 535(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:535:y:2019:i:c:s037843711931297x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2019.122236
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S037843711931297X
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.physa.2019.122236?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Tian, Ru-Ya & Zhang, Xue-Fu & Liu, Yi-Jun, 2015. "SSIC model: A multi-layer model for intervention of online rumors spreading," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 427(C), pages 181-191.
    2. Bettencourt, Luís M.A. & Cintrón-Arias, Ariel & Kaiser, David I. & Castillo-Chávez, Carlos, 2006. "The power of a good idea: Quantitative modeling of the spread of ideas from epidemiological models," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 364(C), pages 513-536.
    3. Zhang, Nan & Huang, Hong & Su, Boni & Zhao, Jinlong & Zhang, Bo, 2014. "Dynamic 8-state ICSAR rumor propagation model considering official rumor refutation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 415(C), pages 333-346.
    4. DiFonzo, Nicholas & Bordia, Prashant, 1997. "Rumor and Prediction: Making Sense (but Losing Dollars) in the Stock Market," Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, Elsevier, vol. 71(3), pages 329-353, September.
    5. Zhao, Laijun & Wang, Qin & Cheng, Jingjing & Chen, Yucheng & Wang, Jiajia & Huang, Wei, 2011. "Rumor spreading model with consideration of forgetting mechanism: A case of online blogging LiveJournal," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(13), pages 2619-2625.
    6. Zhao, Laijun & Qiu, Xiaoyan & Wang, Xiaoli & Wang, Jiajia, 2013. "Rumor spreading model considering forgetting and remembering mechanisms in inhomogeneous networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(4), pages 987-994.
    7. Nekovee, M. & Moreno, Y. & Bianconi, G. & Marsili, M., 2007. "Theory of rumour spreading in complex social networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 374(1), pages 457-470.
    8. Wang, Jiajia & Zhao, Laijun & Huang, Rongbing, 2014. "SIRaRu rumor spreading model in complex networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 398(C), pages 43-55.
    9. Jie, Renlong & Qiao, Jian & Xu, Genjiu & Meng, Yingying, 2016. "A study on the interaction between two rumors in homogeneous complex networks under symmetric conditions," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 454(C), pages 129-142.
    10. Zhao, Laijun & Wang, Jiajia & Chen, Yucheng & Wang, Qin & Cheng, Jingjing & Cui, Hongxin, 2012. "SIHR rumor spreading model in social networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(7), pages 2444-2453.
    11. Zhao, Laijun & Xie, Wanlin & Gao, H. Oliver & Qiu, Xiaoyan & Wang, Xiaoli & Zhang, Shuhai, 2013. "A rumor spreading model with variable forgetting rate," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(23), pages 6146-6154.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Yin, Fulian & Jiang, Xinyi & Qian, Xiqing & Xia, Xinyu & Pan, Yanyan & Wu, Jianhong, 2022. "Modeling and quantifying the influence of rumor and counter-rumor on information propagation dynamics," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
    2. Ding, Haixin & Xie, Li, 2023. "Simulating rumor spreading and rebuttal strategy with rebuttal forgetting: An agent-based modeling approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 612(C).
    3. Xuefeng Yue & Liangan Huo, 2022. "Analysis of the Stability and Optimal Control Strategy for an ISCR Rumor Propagation Model with Saturated Incidence and Time Delay on a Scale-Free Network," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(20), pages 1-20, October.
    4. Jianhong Chen & Hongcai Ma & Shan Yang, 2023. "SEIOR Rumor Propagation Model Considering Hesitating Mechanism and Different Rumor-Refuting Ways in Complex Networks," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-22, January.
    5. Xiaojun Xu & Guanghui Cheng, 2024. "Save the Day: How the Dissemination of Tourism Crises Can Reinvigorate a Tourism Destination Image after the Seoul Halloween Crowd Crush," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(6), pages 1-22, March.
    6. Jiang, Guoyin & Li, Saipeng & Li, Minglei, 2020. "Dynamic rumor spreading of public opinion reversal on Weibo based on a two-stage SPNR model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 558(C).
    7. Yin, Fulian & Xia, Xinyu & Zhang, Xiaojian & Zhang, Mingjia & Lv, Jiahui & Wu, Jianhong, 2021. "Modelling the dynamic emotional information propagation and guiding the public sentiment in the Chinese Sina-microblog," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 396(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Lu, Peng, 2019. "Heterogeneity, judgment, and social trust of agents in rumor spreading," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 350(C), pages 447-461.
    2. Lu, Peng & Deng, Liping & Liao, Hongbing, 2019. "Conditional effects of individual judgment heterogeneity in information dissemination," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 523(C), pages 335-344.
    3. Lu, Peng & Yao, Qi & Lu, Pengfei, 2019. "Two-stage predictions of evolutionary dynamics during the rumor dissemination," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 517(C), pages 349-369.
    4. Jie, Renlong & Qiao, Jian & Xu, Genjiu & Meng, Yingying, 2016. "A study on the interaction between two rumors in homogeneous complex networks under symmetric conditions," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 454(C), pages 129-142.
    5. Xia, Ling-Ling & Jiang, Guo-Ping & Song, Bo & Song, Yu-Rong, 2015. "Rumor spreading model considering hesitating mechanism in complex social networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 437(C), pages 295-303.
    6. Li, Dandan & Ma, Jing, 2017. "How the government’s punishment and individual’s sensitivity affect the rumor spreading in online social networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 469(C), pages 284-292.
    7. Jia, Pingqi & Wang, Chao & Zhang, Gaoyu & Ma, Jianfeng, 2019. "A rumor spreading model based on two propagation channels in social networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 524(C), pages 342-353.
    8. Jinxian Li & Yanping Hu & Zhen Jin, 2019. "Rumor Spreading of an SIHR Model in Heterogeneous Networks Based on Probability Generating Function," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2019, pages 1-15, June.
    9. Ma, Jing & Zhu, He, 2018. "Rumor diffusion in heterogeneous networks by considering the individuals’ subjective judgment and diverse characteristics," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 499(C), pages 276-287.
    10. Linhe Zhu & Hongyong Zhao, 2017. "Dynamical behaviours and control measures of rumour-spreading model with consideration of network topology," International Journal of Systems Science, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(10), pages 2064-2078, July.
    11. Kumar, Ajay & Swarnakar, Pradip & Jaiswal, Kamya & Kurele, Ritika, 2020. "SMIR model for controlling the spread of information in social networking sites," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 540(C).
    12. Dayan, Fazal & Rafiq, Muhammad & Ahmed, Nauman & Baleanu, Dumitru & Raza, Ali & Ahmad, Muhammad Ozair & Iqbal, Muhammad, 2022. "Design and numerical analysis of fuzzy nonstandard computational methods for the solution of rumor based fuzzy epidemic model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 600(C).
    13. Yao Hongxing & Gao Xiangyang, 2018. "SE2IR Invest Market Rumor Spreading Model Considering Hesitating Mechanism," Journal of Systems Science and Information, De Gruyter, vol. 7(1), pages 54-69, March.
    14. Afassinou, Komi, 2014. "Analysis of the impact of education rate on the rumor spreading mechanism," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 414(C), pages 43-52.
    15. Hosni, Adil Imad Eddine & Li, Kan & Ahmad, Sadique, 2020. "Analysis of the impact of online social networks addiction on the propagation of rumors," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 542(C).
    16. Jianhong Chen & Hongcai Ma & Shan Yang, 2023. "SEIOR Rumor Propagation Model Considering Hesitating Mechanism and Different Rumor-Refuting Ways in Complex Networks," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-22, January.
    17. Zhu, He & Ma, Jing, 2019. "Analysis of SHIR rumor propagation in random heterogeneous networks with dynamic friendships," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 513(C), pages 257-271.
    18. Su, Qiang & Huang, Jiajia & Zhao, Xiande, 2015. "An information propagation model considering incomplete reading behavior in microblog," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 419(C), pages 55-63.
    19. Wang, Tao & He, Juanjuan & Wang, Xiaoxia, 2018. "An information spreading model based on online social networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 490(C), pages 488-496.
    20. Liu, Yun & Diao, Su-Meng & Zhu, Yi-Xiang & Liu, Qing, 2016. "SHIR competitive information diffusion model for online social media," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 461(C), pages 543-553.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:535:y:2019:i:c:s037843711931297x. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.