IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/phsmap/v519y2019icp195-208.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Robust multivariate and functional archetypal analysis with application to financial time series analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Moliner, Jesús
  • Epifanio, Irene

Abstract

Archetypal analysis approximates data by means of mixtures of actual extreme cases (archetypoids) or archetypes, which are a convex combination of cases in the data set. Archetypes lie on the boundary of the convex hull. This makes the analysis very sensitive to outliers. A robust methodology by means of M-estimators for classical multivariate and functional data is proposed. This unsupervised methodology allows complex data to be understood even by non-experts. The performance of the new procedure is assessed in a simulation study, where a comparison with a previous methodology for the multivariate case is also carried out, and our proposal obtains favorable results. Finally, robust bivariate functional archetypoid analysis is applied to a set of companies in the S&P 500 described by two time series of stock quotes. A new graphic representation is also proposed to visualize the results. The analysis shows how the information can be easily interpreted and how even non-experts can gain a qualitative understanding of the data.

Suggested Citation

  • Moliner, Jesús & Epifanio, Irene, 2019. "Robust multivariate and functional archetypal analysis with application to financial time series analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 519(C), pages 195-208.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:519:y:2019:i:c:p:195-208
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2018.12.036
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437118315498
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.physa.2018.12.036?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Tseng, Jie-Jun & Li, Sai-Ping, 2012. "Quantifying volatility clustering in financial time series," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 11-19.
    2. Harry Markowitz, 1952. "Portfolio Selection," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 7(1), pages 77-91, March.
    3. Fraiman, Ricardo & Svarc, Marcela, 2013. "Resistant estimates for high dimensional and functional data based on random projections," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 326-338.
    4. Basalto, Nicolas & Bellotti, Roberto & De Carlo, Francesco & Facchi, Paolo & Pantaleo, Ester & Pascazio, Saverio, 2007. "Hausdorff clustering of financial time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 379(2), pages 635-644.
    5. Vinué, Guillermo & Epifanio, Irene & Alemany, Sandra, 2015. "Archetypoids: A new approach to define representative archetypal data," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 102-115.
    6. Ana M. Aguilera & Francisco A. Ocaña & Mariano J. Valderrama, 1999. "Stochastic modelling for evolution of stock prices by means of functional principal component analysis," Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 15(4), pages 227-234, October.
    7. Ferraty, F. & Vieu, P., 2003. "Curves discrimination: a nonparametric functional approach," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 44(1-2), pages 161-173, October.
    8. Eugster, Manuel J.A. & Leisch, Friedrich, 2011. "Weighted and robust archetypal analysis," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 55(3), pages 1215-1225, March.
    9. López-Pintado, Sara & Romo, Juan, 2009. "On the Concept of Depth for Functional Data," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 104(486), pages 718-734.
    10. Peng, Roger, 2008. "A Method for Visualizing Multivariate Time Series Data," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 25(c01).
    11. D’Urso, Pierpaolo & Cappelli, Carmela & Di Lallo, Dario & Massari, Riccardo, 2013. "Clustering of financial time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(9), pages 2114-2129.
    12. Elizabeth Ann Maharaj & Pierpaolo D’Urso & Don Galagedera, 2010. "Wavelet-based Fuzzy Clustering of Time Series," Journal of Classification, Springer;The Classification Society, vol. 27(2), pages 231-275, September.
    13. Epifanio, Irene, 2016. "Functional archetype and archetypoid analysis," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 24-34.
    14. Manuel J. A. Eugster, 2012. "Performance Profiles based on Archetypal Athletes," International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(1), pages 166-187, April.
    15. Giovanni C. Porzio & Giancarlo Ragozini & Domenico Vistocco, 2008. "On the use of archetypes as benchmarks," Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 24(5), pages 419-437, September.
    16. Ruey S. Tsay, 2016. "Some Methods for Analyzing Big Dependent Data," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(4), pages 673-688, October.
    17. Eugster, Manuel J. A. & Leisch, Friedrich, 2009. "From Spider-Man to Hero — Archetypal Analysis in R," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 30(i08).
    18. Irene Epifanio & María Victoria Ibáñez & Amelia Simó, 2018. "Archetypal shapes based on landmarks and extension to handle missing data," Advances in Data Analysis and Classification, Springer;German Classification Society - Gesellschaft für Klassifikation (GfKl);Japanese Classification Society (JCS);Classification and Data Analysis Group of the Italian Statistical Society (CLADAG);International Federation of Classification Societies (IFCS), vol. 12(3), pages 705-735, September.
    19. Hyndman, Rob J. & Shahid Ullah, Md., 2007. "Robust forecasting of mortality and fertility rates: A functional data approach," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(10), pages 4942-4956, June.
    20. Ying Chen & Bo Li, 2017. "An Adaptive Functional Autoregressive Forecast Model to Predict Electricity Price Curves," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(3), pages 371-388, July.
    21. Seiler, Christian & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2013. "Archetypal scientists," Journal of Informetrics, Elsevier, vol. 7(2), pages 345-356.
    22. Dias, José G. & Vermunt, Jeroen K. & Ramos, Sofia, 2015. "Clustering financial time series: New insights from an extended hidden Markov model," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 243(3), pages 852-864.
    23. Dose, Christian & Cincotti, Silvano, 2005. "Clustering of financial time series with application to index and enhanced index tracking portfolio," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 355(1), pages 145-151.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Tessier, Louis & Bijttebier, Jo & Marchand, Fleur & Baret, Philippe V., 2021. "Identifying the farming models underlying Flemish beef farmers' practices from an agroecological perspective with archetypal analysis," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
    2. Aleix Alcacer & Irene Epifanio & M Victoria Ibáñez & Amelia Simó & Alfredo Ballester, 2020. "A data-driven classification of 3D foot types by archetypal shapes based on landmarks," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(1), pages 1-19, January.
    3. Guillermo Vinue & Irene Epifanio, 2021. "Robust archetypoids for anomaly detection in big functional data," Advances in Data Analysis and Classification, Springer;German Classification Society - Gesellschaft für Klassifikation (GfKl);Japanese Classification Society (JCS);Classification and Data Analysis Group of the Italian Statistical Society (CLADAG);International Federation of Classification Societies (IFCS), vol. 15(2), pages 437-462, June.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Guillermo Vinue & Irene Epifanio, 2021. "Robust archetypoids for anomaly detection in big functional data," Advances in Data Analysis and Classification, Springer;German Classification Society - Gesellschaft für Klassifikation (GfKl);Japanese Classification Society (JCS);Classification and Data Analysis Group of the Italian Statistical Society (CLADAG);International Federation of Classification Societies (IFCS), vol. 15(2), pages 437-462, June.
    2. Epifanio, Irene, 2016. "Functional archetype and archetypoid analysis," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 24-34.
    3. Pierpaolo D’Urso & Livia Giovanni & Riccardo Massari, 2021. "Trimmed fuzzy clustering of financial time series based on dynamic time warping," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 299(1), pages 1379-1395, April.
    4. Vinué, Guillermo & Epifanio, Irene & Alemany, Sandra, 2015. "Archetypoids: A new approach to define representative archetypal data," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 102-115.
    5. Irene Epifanio & María Victoria Ibáñez & Amelia Simó, 2018. "Archetypal shapes based on landmarks and extension to handle missing data," Advances in Data Analysis and Classification, Springer;German Classification Society - Gesellschaft für Klassifikation (GfKl);Japanese Classification Society (JCS);Classification and Data Analysis Group of the Italian Statistical Society (CLADAG);International Federation of Classification Societies (IFCS), vol. 12(3), pages 705-735, September.
    6. Seiler, Christian & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2013. "Archetypal scientists," Journal of Informetrics, Elsevier, vol. 7(2), pages 345-356.
    7. Klaus Wohlrabe & Sabine Gralka, 2020. "Using archetypoid analysis to classify institutions and faculties of economics," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 123(1), pages 159-179, April.
    8. Aleix Alcacer & Irene Epifanio & M Victoria Ibáñez & Amelia Simó & Alfredo Ballester, 2020. "A data-driven classification of 3D foot types by archetypal shapes based on landmarks," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(1), pages 1-19, January.
    9. Antonis A. Michis, 2021. "Wavelet Multidimensional Scaling Analysis of European Economic Sentiment Indicators," Journal of Classification, Springer;The Classification Society, vol. 38(3), pages 443-480, October.
    10. Trindade, Graça & Dias, José G. & Ambrósio, Jorge, 2017. "Extracting clusters from aggregate panel data: A market segmentation study," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 296(C), pages 277-288.
    11. Elizabeth Ann Maharaj & Pierpaolo D’Urso & Don Galagedera, 2010. "Wavelet-based Fuzzy Clustering of Time Series," Journal of Classification, Springer;The Classification Society, vol. 27(2), pages 231-275, September.
    12. Meeks, Roland & Monti, Francesca, 2023. "Heterogeneous beliefs and the Phillips curve," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 41-54.
    13. Serfling, Robert & Wijesuriya, Uditha, 2017. "Depth-based nonparametric description of functional data, with emphasis on use of spatial depth," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 24-45.
    14. Andrés Alonso & David Casado & Sara López-Pintado & Juan Romo, 2014. "Robust Functional Supervised Classification for Time Series," Journal of Classification, Springer;The Classification Society, vol. 31(3), pages 325-350, October.
    15. Sabine Gralka & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2022. "Classifying top economists using archetypoid analysis," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(14), pages 1342-1346, August.
    16. Xu, Xiuqin & Chen, Ying & Goude, Yannig & Yao, Qiwei, 2021. "Day-ahead probabilistic forecasting for French half-hourly electricity loads and quantiles for curve-to-curve regression," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 301(C).
    17. Luca De Angelis, 2013. "Latent class models for financial data analysis: some statistical developments," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 22(2), pages 227-242, June.
    18. Kuangyu Wen & Wenbin Wu & Ximing Wu, 2023. "Electricity demand forecasting and risk management using Gaussian process model with error propagation," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(4), pages 957-969, July.
    19. Han Shang, 2014. "A survey of functional principal component analysis," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 98(2), pages 121-142, April.
    20. Gautier Marti & Frank Nielsen & Miko{l}aj Bi'nkowski & Philippe Donnat, 2017. "A review of two decades of correlations, hierarchies, networks and clustering in financial markets," Papers 1703.00485, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2020.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:519:y:2019:i:c:p:195-208. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.