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A new physical model for earthquake time interval distribution

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  • Liu, Guoliang

Abstract

This paper reports a new physical model for time interval distribution of earthquakes, which was obtained by borrowing the idea from the research in the time interval distribution of sand-dust storms. Of the model, it was hypothesized that the earthquakes were induced by the magma movement inside the earth, and if the speed of magma ≥ threshold value Ut, the earthquakes with magnitude ≥M occurred. With this model, it was obtained that for the earthquakes with magnitude ≥M there existed lgN(>t)=c−dt, where N was the number of time intervals longer than t; the value d decreased with M. This result was also verified by analyzing the earthquake data from the China Earthquake Networks Center (CENC).

Suggested Citation

  • Liu, Guoliang, 2017. "A new physical model for earthquake time interval distribution," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 465(C), pages 62-65.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:465:y:2017:i:c:p:62-65
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2016.08.006
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    1. Vallianatos, Filippos, 2011. "A non-extensive statistical physics approach to the polarity reversals of the geomagnetic field," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(10), pages 1773-1778.
    2. Constantino Tsallis, 2016. "Inter-occurrence times and universal laws in finance, earthquakes and genomes," Papers 1601.03688, arXiv.org.
    3. Abe, Sumiyoshi & Suzuki, Norikazu, 2005. "Scale-free statistics of time interval between successive earthquakes," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 350(2), pages 588-596.
    4. Tsallis, Constantino, 2016. "Inter-occurrence times and universal laws in finance, earthquakes and genomes," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 254-266.
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