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Scale-free statistics of time interval between successive earthquakes

Author

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  • Abe, Sumiyoshi
  • Suzuki, Norikazu

Abstract

The statistical property of the calm times, i.e., time intervals between successive earthquakes with arbitrary values of magnitude, is studied by analyzing the seismic time series data in California and Japan. It is found that the calm times obey the Zipf–Mandelbrot power law, exhibiting a new scale-free nature of the earthquake phenomenon. Dependence of the exponent of the power-law distribution on threshold for magnitude is examined. As threshold increases, the tail of the distribution tends to become longer, showing difficulty in statistically estimating time intervals of earthquakes.

Suggested Citation

  • Abe, Sumiyoshi & Suzuki, Norikazu, 2005. "Scale-free statistics of time interval between successive earthquakes," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 350(2), pages 588-596.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:350:y:2005:i:2:p:588-596
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2004.10.040
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    Cited by:

    1. Chochlaki, Kalliopi & Vallianatos, Filippos & Michas, Georgios, 2018. "Global regionalized seismicity in view of Non-Extensive Statistical Physics," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 493(C), pages 276-285.
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    3. Ferreira, Douglas S.R. & Papa, Andrés R.R. & Menezes, Ronaldo, 2014. "Small world picture of worldwide seismic events," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 408(C), pages 170-180.
    4. Liu, Guoliang, 2017. "A new physical model for earthquake time interval distribution," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 465(C), pages 62-65.
    5. Hasumi, Tomohiro & Akimoto, Takuma & Aizawa, Yoji, 2009. "The Weibull–log Weibull transition of the interoccurrence time statistics in the two-dimensional Burridge–Knopoff Earthquake model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 388(4), pages 483-490.
    6. Razdan, Ashok, 2014. "Network in a polymer: Inputs from experimental data," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 394(C), pages 365-369.
    7. Ferreira, Douglas S.R. & Ribeiro, Jennifer & Oliveira, Paulo S.L. & Pimenta, André R. & Freitas, Renato P. & Papa, Andrés R.R., 2020. "Long-range correlation studies in deep earthquakes global series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 560(C).
    8. Luigi-Ionut Catana & Vasile Preda, 2022. "A New Stochastic Order of Multivariate Distributions: Application in the Study of Reliability of Bridges Affected by Earthquakes," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-14, December.
    9. Wang, Jin-Fa & He, Xuan & Si, Shuai-Zong & Zhao, Hai & Zheng, Chunyang & Yu, Hao, 2019. "Using complex network theory for temporal locality in network traffic flows," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 524(C), pages 722-736.
    10. Ferreira, D.S.R. & Ribeiro, J. & Oliveira, P.S.L. & Pimenta, A.R. & Freitas, R.P. & Dutra, R.S. & Papa, A.R.R. & Mendes, J.F.F., 2022. "Spatiotemporal analysis of earthquake occurrence in synthetic and worldwide data," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 165(P2).
    11. Oikonomou, Thomas & Kaloudis, Konstantinos & Bagci, G. Baris, 2021. "The q-exponentials do not maximize the Rényi entropy," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 578(C).
    12. Telesca, Luciano & Lovallo, Michele & Babayev, Gulam & Kadirov, Fakhraddin, 2013. "Spectral and informational analysis of seismicity: An application to the 1996–2012 seismicity of the Northern Caucasus–Azerbaijan part of the greater Caucasus–Kopet Dag region," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(23), pages 6064-6078.
    13. Razdan, Ashok, 2013. "Networks in extensive air showers," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(4), pages 982-986.
    14. Hasumi, Tomohiro & Akimoto, Takuma & Aizawa, Yoji, 2009. "The Weibull–log Weibull distribution for interoccurrence times of earthquakes," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 388(4), pages 491-498.
    15. Rotundo, Giulia, 2014. "Black–Scholes–Schrödinger–Zipf–Mandelbrot model framework for improving a study of the coauthor core score," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 404(C), pages 296-301.
    16. Antonopoulos, Chris G. & Michas, George & Vallianatos, Filippos & Bountis, Tassos, 2014. "Evidence of q-exponential statistics in Greek seismicity," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 409(C), pages 71-77.
    17. Hasumi, Tomohiro, 2009. "Hypocenter interval statistics between successive earthquakes in the two-dimensional Burridge–Knopoff model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 388(4), pages 477-482.
    18. Catana, Luigi-Ionut, 2022. "Stochastic orders of multivariate Jones–Larsen distribution family with empirical applications in physics, economy and social sciences," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 603(C).
    19. Scherrer, T.M. & França, G.S. & Silva, R. & de Freitas, D.B. & Vilar, C.S., 2015. "Nonextensivity at the Circum-Pacific subduction zones—Preliminary studies," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 426(C), pages 63-71.
    20. Papadakis, Giorgos & Vallianatos, Filippos & Sammonds, Peter, 2016. "Non-extensive statistical physics applied to heat flow and the earthquake frequency–magnitude distribution in Greece," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 456(C), pages 135-144.
    21. da Silva, Sérgio Luiz E.F., 2021. "κ-generalised Gutenberg–Richter law and the self-similarity of earthquakes," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).

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