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Bank market power and the risk channel of monetary policy

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  • Afanasyeva, Elena
  • Güntner, Jochen

Abstract

Do banks lend to riskier borrowers after a monetary expansion? We modify the classic costly state verification problem by introducing a risk-neutral monopolistic bank, which maximizes profits subject to borrowers’ participation. While the bank can diversify idiosyncratic default risk, it bears the aggregate risk. In partial equilibrium, the bank prefers a higher leverage ratio of the borrower, when the profitability of lending increases, e.g. after a monetary expansion. This risk channel persists in a New Keynesian DSGE model that replicates the conditional comovement in response to a monetary policy shock and the unconditional cross-correlations of bank-related variables in the data.

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  • Afanasyeva, Elena & Güntner, Jochen, 2020. "Bank market power and the risk channel of monetary policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 118-134.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:moneco:v:111:y:2020:i:c:p:118-134
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2019.01.029
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    Cited by:

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    2. Delis, Manthos D. & Iosifidi, Maria & Mylonidis, Nikolaos, 2021. "Industry heterogeneity in the risk-taking channel," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    3. Abbate, Angela & Thaler, Dominik, 2023. "Optimal monetary policy with the risk-taking channel," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    4. Colletaz, Gilbert & Levieuge, Grégory & Popescu, Alexandra, 2018. "Monetary policy and long-run systemic risk-taking," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 165-184.
    5. Brana, Sophie & Campmas, Alexandra & Lapteacru, Ion, 2019. "(Un)Conventional monetary policy and bank risk-taking: A nonlinear relationship," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 576-593.
    6. Elena Afanasyeva, 2020. "Can Forecast Errors Predict Financial Crises? Exploring the Properties of a New Multivariate Credit Gap," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-045, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    7. C. Bora Durdu & Molin Zhong, 2023. "Understanding Bank and Nonbank Credit Cycles: A Structural Exploration," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 55(1), pages 103-142, February.
    8. Afanasyeva, Elena & Jerow, Sam & Lee, Seung Jung & Modugno, Michele, 2024. "Sowing the seeds of financial imbalances: The role of macroeconomic performance," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    9. Ruitao Gu & Qiaoyun Zhang & Wei Zhou & Jianxu Liu, 2022. "Judging the True Health of Finance Institutions Based on Risk Behavior and Operation Performance," Mathematical Problems in Engineering, Hindawi, vol. 2022, pages 1-21, November.
    10. van der Kwaak, Christiaan & Madeira, João & Palma, Nuno, 2023. "The long-run effects of risk: an equilibrium approach," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    11. Heider, Florian & Leonello, Agnese, 2021. "Monetary Policy in a Low Interest Rate Environment: Reversal Rate and Risk-Taking," Working Paper Series 2593, European Central Bank.
    12. Mengting Fan & Zan Mo & Huijian Fu & Tsung-Hsien Wu & Zili Chen & Yue He, 2024. "Does climate policy uncertainty matter for bank value?," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 1-28, April.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Costly state verification; Lending standards; Monetary policy; Risk channel;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D53 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Financial Markets
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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