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Bank lending rates and the remuneration for risk: evidence from portfolio and loan level data

Author

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  • Durrani, Agha
  • Metzler, Julian
  • Michail, Nektarios
  • Werner, Johannes Gabriel

Abstract

We employ interest rates and expected loss probabilities from the 2021 EBA Stress Test dataset and euro area credit registries to examine whether the risk-return relationship holds in banking. After controlling for bank, loan, and debtor characteristics as well as macroeconomic conditions, results indicate that a risk-return relationship in bank lending is present but varies significantly across and within borrower segments. While bank lending rates appear to be quite responsive to risks towards households, results suggest that banks only significantly increase interest rates towards non-financial corporations that reside in the riskiest quantiles of the distribution. This potentially implies the presence of a cross-subsidization effect of credit risk. JEL Classification: E51, E52, E58

Suggested Citation

  • Durrani, Agha & Metzler, Julian & Michail, Nektarios & Werner, Johannes Gabriel, 2022. "Bank lending rates and the remuneration for risk: evidence from portfolio and loan level data," Working Paper Series 2753, European Central Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20222753
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    Cited by:

    1. Kyriaki G. LouKa & Nektarios A. Michail, 2023. "The pass through of monetary policy to euro area bank interest rates," Working Papers 2023-2, Central Bank of Cyprus.
    2. Henrik Andersen & Ragnar E Juelsrud & Carola Müller, 2024. "Risk-based pricing in competitive lending markets," BIS Working Papers 1169, Bank for International Settlements.
    3. Mirza, Harun & Salleo, Carmelo & Trachana, Zoe, 2024. "A portfolio perspective on euro area bank profitability using stress test data," Occasional Paper Series 356, European Central Bank.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    banking; credit register; interest rates; loans; risk-return;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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