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Voting and conformity: Russia, 1993–2016

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  • Coleman, Stephen

Abstract

Past research has showed the strong influence of social norms and conformity on voting choices in the national elections of many countries, with some more affected than others. This research demonstrates that social conformity has strongly and increasingly affected parliamentary elections in Russia. The analysis tests and estimates a mathematical model of the collective effect of conformity on people’s voting choices in each parliamentary election from 1993 to 2016 at the regional level using cross-sectional regression analysis. The analysis shows that voting and the party system are approaching the typical voting patterns seen in many democracies. Remarkably, voters typically are not aware of the influence of conformity on their own voting decisions.

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  • Coleman, Stephen, 2018. "Voting and conformity: Russia, 1993–2016," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 87-95.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:matsoc:v:94:y:2018:i:c:p:87-95
    DOI: 10.1016/j.mathsocsci.2017.10.005
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Coleman, S., 2010. "Russian Election Reform and the Effect of Social Conformity on Voting and the Party System: 2007 and 2008," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, issue 5, pages 73-90.
    2. Justin Wolfers & Eric Zitzewitz, 2004. "Prediction Markets," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 18(2), pages 107-126, Spring.
    3. Knack, Stephen & Kropf, Martha, 1998. "For shame! The effect of community cooperative context on the probability of voting," MPRA Paper 27258, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Fehr, Ernst & Gachter, Simon, 1998. "Reciprocity and economics: The economic implications of Homo Reciprocans1," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 42(3-5), pages 845-859, May.
    5. Ora Reuter, 2010. "The Politics of Dominant Party Formation: United Russia and Russia's Governors," Europe-Asia Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 62(2), pages 293-327.
    6. Coleman, Stephen, 2004. "The Effect of Social Conformity on Collective Voting Behavior," Political Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 12(1), pages 76-96, January.
    7. Бородин А. Д., 2005. "Согласованность Коллективных Действий В Поведении Российских Избирателей," Higher School of Economics Economic Journal Экономический журнал Высшей школы экономики, CyberLeninka;Федеральное государственное автономное образовательное учреждение высшего образования «Национальный исследовательский университет «Высшая школа экономики», vol. 9(1).
    8. Stephen Knack, 1992. "Civic Norms, Social Sanctions, and Voter Turnout," Rationality and Society, , vol. 4(2), pages 133-156, April.
    9. Knack, Stephen, 1992. "Civic norms, social sanctions and voting turnout," MPRA Paper 28080, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Norman Schofield & Alexei Zakharov, 2010. "A stochastic model of the 2007 Russian Duma election," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 142(1), pages 177-194, January.
    11. Weaver, Jerry L., 1969. "Toward Strategies for Public Administration Development in Latin America. By John C. Honey, with commentaries by Peter D. Bell, Richard A. Fehnel, James R. Himes, and George Sutija. (Syracuse: Syracus," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 63(4), pages 1337-1338, December.
    12. Richter, Kaspar, 2006. "Wage Arrears and Economic Voting in Russia," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 100(1), pages 133-145, February.
    13. Coleman, Stephen, 2007. "The Minnesota Income Tax Compliance Experiment: Replication of the Social Norms Experiment," MPRA Paper 5820, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. John T. Ishiyama & Ryan Kennedy, 2001. "Superpresidentialism and Political Party Development in Russia, Ukraine, Armenia and Kyrgyzstan," Europe-Asia Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(8), pages 1177-1191.
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    Cited by:

    1. Podkolzina, Elena & Kuletskaya, Lada & Demidova, Olga, 2022. "Spatial modelling of voting preferences: The “Mystery” of the Republic of Tatarstan," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 67, pages 74-96.

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