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Impact of land use and land cover changes on temperature trends over India

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  • Nayak, Sridhara
  • Mandal, Manabottam

Abstract

This study estimates the temperature trends over India and seeks to understand the contribution of land use and land cover (LULC) changes towards the change in the temperature trends (warming or cooling) during 1981–2006 by using ‘Observation minus Reanalysis’ (OMR) method. We find that the India got warmer by 0.1 °C per decade during 1981–2006 and the LULC changes contributed to cooling over India by 0.02 °C per decade during this period. The contribution of land use changes to the temperature trends depends on the type of LULC and their conversion from one type to another. With the exception of dense forest, all land cover conversions to agriculture lead to cooling whereas conversion from dense forest to agriculture results in warming. The contribution of LULC changes towards cooling over India during 1981–2006 is due to the reduction of area under shrubs/ small vegetation and subsequent increase of the area under agricultural/ fallow land. The analysis shows that even though the LULC changes contributed towards overall cooling during 1981–2006 over India, it contributed towards warming during 1991–2006. We find that the cooling caused by LULC changes during 1981–2006 is due to the cooling contributed during 1981–1990. Our overall results have implications for future land use change strategies that can be undertaken over India in order to avoid further worsening the Indian climate.

Suggested Citation

  • Nayak, Sridhara & Mandal, Manabottam, 2019. "Impact of land use and land cover changes on temperature trends over India," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:lauspo:v:89:y:2019:i:c:s0264837719300407
    DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2019.104238
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    1. Eugenia Kalnay & Ming Cai, 2003. "Impact of urbanization and land-use change on climate," Nature, Nature, vol. 423(6939), pages 528-531, May.
    2. Liu, Yansui, 2018. "Introduction to land use and rural sustainability in China," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 1-4.
    3. Roger A. Pielke & Andy Pitman & Dev Niyogi & Rezaul Mahmood & Clive McAlpine & Faisal Hossain & Kees Klein Goldewijk & Udaysankar Nair & Richard Betts & Souleymane Fall & Markus Reichstein & Pavel Kab, 2011. "Land use/land cover changes and climate: modeling analysis and observational evidence," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 2(6), pages 828-850, November.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Netrananda Sahu & Atul Saini & Swadhin Behera & Takahiro Sayama & Sridhara Nayak & Limonlisa Sahu & Weili Duan & Ram Avtar & Masafumi Yamada & R. B. Singh & Kaoru Takara, 2020. "Impact of Indo-Pacific Climate Variability on Rice Productivity in Bihar, India," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-21, August.
    3. Guste Metrikaityte & Jurate Suziedelyte Visockiene & Kestutis Papsys, 2022. "Digital Mapping of Land Cover Changes Using the Fusion of SAR and MSI Satellite Data," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-20, July.
    4. Jinxiu Liu & Weihao Shen & Yaqian He, 2021. "Effects of Cropland Expansion on Temperature Extremes in Western India from 1982 to 2015," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-17, May.
    5. Rubeena Vohra & K. C. Tiwari, 2023. "Analysis of land use and land cover changes and their impact on temperature using landsat satellite imageries," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(8), pages 8623-8650, August.
    6. Sridhara Nayak & Suman Maity & Kuvar S. Singh & Hara Prasad Nayak & Soma Dutta, 2021. "Influence of the Changes in Land-Use and Land Cover on Temperature over Northern and North-Eastern India," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-13, January.

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