IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/lauspo/v119y2022ics0264837722001958.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Spatiotemporal dynamics of cropland expansion and its driving factors in the Yangtze River Economic Belt: A nuanced analysis at the county scale

Author

Listed:
  • Wang, Liye
  • Zhang, Siyu
  • Xiong, Qiangqiang
  • Liu, Yu
  • Liu, Yanfang
  • Liu, Yaolin

Abstract

With rapid urbanization and population increase, cropland has received considerable attention worldwide as a key factor for global food security. To a certain extent, cropland expansion is an important step in maintaining cropland areas. However, research related to the spatiotemporal heterogeneity of cropland expansion and its driving factors remains scarce in the literature. Thus, this research used spatial autocorrelation analysis and the geographically and temporally weighted regression (GTWR) model to explore the spatiotemporal heterogeneity of cropland expansion and its driving factors in three time intervals (2000–2005, 2005–2010, and 2010–2015) at the county scale for the Yangtze River Economic Belt (YREB), one of the main areas for rice production in China. Specifically, we selected fifteen explanatory variables from the perspectives of socioeconomic development, environmental conditions, and cropland status. Results showed that the regions with large cropland expansion areas changed substantially with time but were mainly clustered in the middle of the research area. Additionally, although the degree of influence of the selected variables within each driving factor on cropland expansion differed across space and time, the variables of population, investment in fixed assets, digital elevation model (DEM), and cropland area were the factors that showed a decreasing positive effect on cropland expansion, while GDP in the primary industry, area of new construction land, public finance expenditure, total grain yield, area of a county, precipitation, accumulated temperature, organic matter, patch density, and division index had a significant positive effect on cropland expansion. This research can help decision-makers develop different cropland protection policies according to the situation of cropland expansion and its driving factors in different regions and thus promote sustainable development.

Suggested Citation

  • Wang, Liye & Zhang, Siyu & Xiong, Qiangqiang & Liu, Yu & Liu, Yanfang & Liu, Yaolin, 2022. "Spatiotemporal dynamics of cropland expansion and its driving factors in the Yangtze River Economic Belt: A nuanced analysis at the county scale," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:lauspo:v:119:y:2022:i:c:s0264837722001958
    DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2022.106168
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0264837722001958
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.landusepol.2022.106168?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Zhou, Bing-Bing & Aggarwal, Rimjhim & Wu, Jianguo & Lv, Ligang, 2021. "Urbanization-associated farmland loss: A macro-micro comparative study in China," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    2. Uisso, Amani Michael & Tanrıvermiş, Harun, 2021. "Driving factors and assessment of changes in the use of arable land in Tanzania," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    3. Zhang, Pengyan & Yang, Dan & Qin, Mingzhou & Jing, Wenlong, 2020. "Spatial heterogeneity analysis and driving forces exploring of built-up land development intensity in Chinese prefecture-level cities and implications for future Urban Land intensive use," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    4. Liang, Xinyuan & Jin, Xiaobin & Sun, Rui & Han, Bo & Liu, Jing & Zhou, Yinkang, 2021. "A typical phenomenon of cultivated land use in China's economically developed areas: Anti-intensification in Jiangsu Province," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    5. Zhou, Yang & Li, Xunhuan & Liu, Yansui, 2020. "Land use change and driving factors in rural China during the period 1995-2015," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    6. Florian Zabel & Ruth Delzeit & Julia M. Schneider & Ralf Seppelt & Wolfram Mauser & Tomáš Václavík, 2019. "Global impacts of future cropland expansion and intensification on agricultural markets and biodiversity," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 10(1), pages 1-10, December.
    7. Zhang, Yue & Wang, Wenxiong & Feng, Yanfei, 2022. "Impact of different models of rural land consolidation on rural household poverty vulnerability," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    8. Xiao-Peng Song & Matthew C. Hansen & Stephen V. Stehman & Peter V. Potapov & Alexandra Tyukavina & Eric F. Vermote & John R. Townshend, 2018. "Global land change from 1982 to 2016," Nature, Nature, vol. 560(7720), pages 639-643, August.
    9. Christian Folberth & Nikolay Khabarov & Juraj Balkovič & Rastislav Skalský & Piero Visconti & Philippe Ciais & Ivan A. Janssens & Josep Peñuelas & Michael Obersteiner, 2020. "The global cropland-sparing potential of high-yield farming," Nature Sustainability, Nature, vol. 3(4), pages 281-289, April.
    10. Tian, Guangjin & Duan, Jinlong & Yang, Lan, 2021. "Spatio-temporal pattern and driving mechanisms of cropland circulation in China," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
    11. Austin, K.G. & Mosnier, A. & Pirker, J. & McCallum, I. & Fritz, S. & Kasibhatla, P.S., 2017. "Shifting patterns of oil palm driven deforestation in Indonesia and implications for zero-deforestation commitments," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 41-48.
    12. Li, Fang & Feng, Shuyi & Lu, Hualiang & Qu, Futian & D’Haese, Marijke, 2021. "How do non-farm employment and agricultural mechanization impact on large-scale farming? A spatial panel data analysis from Jiangsu Province, China," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    13. Xinli Ke & Liye Wang & Yanchun Ma & Kunpeng Pu & Ting Zhou & Bangyong Xiao & Jiahe Wang, 2019. "Impacts of Strict Cropland Protection on Water Yield: A Case Study of Wuhan, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-16, January.
    14. Schild, Johanna E.M. & Vermaat, Jan E. & de Groot, Rudolf S. & Quatrini, Simone & van Bodegom, Peter M., 2018. "A global meta-analysis on the monetary valuation of dryland ecosystem services: The role of socio-economic, environmental and methodological indicators," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 32(PA), pages 78-89.
    15. Feng Yin & Ting Zhou & Xinli Ke, 2021. "Impact of Cropland Reclamation on Ecological Security in the Yangtze River Economic Belt, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(22), pages 1-16, November.
    16. Liye Wang & Xinli Ke & Assem Abu Hatab, 2020. "Trade-Offs between Economic Benefits and Ecosystem Services Value under Three Cropland Protection Scenarios for Wuhan City in China," Land, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-17, April.
    17. Punzo, Gennaro & Castellano, Rosalia & Bruno, Emma, 2022. "Using geographically weighted regressions to explore spatial heterogeneity of land use influencing factors in Campania (Southern Italy)," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    18. Luc Anselin & Xun Li, 2019. "Operational local join count statistics for cluster detection," Journal of Geographical Systems, Springer, vol. 21(2), pages 189-210, June.
    19. Xiao-Peng Song & Matthew C. Hansen & Stephen V. Stehman & Peter V. Potapov & Alexandra Tyukavina & Eric F. Vermote & John R. Townshend, 2018. "Author Correction: Global land change from 1982 to 2016," Nature, Nature, vol. 563(7732), pages 26-26, November.
    20. Su, Shiliang & Hu, Yi’na & Luo, Fanghan & Mai, Gengchen & Wang, Yaping, 2014. "Farmland fragmentation due to anthropogenic activity in rapidly developing region," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 87-93.
    21. Ngoma, Hambulo & Pelletier, Johanne & Mulenga, Brian P. & Subakanya, Mitelo, 2021. "Climate-smart agriculture, cropland expansion and deforestation in Zambia: Linkages, processes and drivers," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    22. Luc Anselin, 2019. "Quantile local spatial autocorrelation," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 12(2), pages 155-166, August.
    23. Shannon M. Sterling & Agnès Ducharne & Jan Polcher, 2013. "The impact of global land-cover change on the terrestrial water cycle," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(4), pages 385-390, April.
    24. Jasper van Vliet, 2019. "Direct and indirect loss of natural area from urban expansion," Nature Sustainability, Nature, vol. 2(8), pages 755-763, August.
    25. Gong, Yuling & Li, Jintao & Li, Yixue, 2020. "Spatiotemporal characteristics and driving mechanisms of arable land in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region during 1990-2015," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    26. Wang, Liye & Zhang, Siyu & Tang, Lanping & Lu, Yanchi & Liu, Yanfang & Liu, Yaolin, 2022. "Optimizing distribution of urban land on the basis of urban land use intensity at prefectural city scale in mainland China," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    27. Yu, Qiangyi & Wu, Wenbin & Verburg, Peter H. & van Vliet, Jasper & Yang, Peng & Zhou, Qingbo & Tang, Huajun, 2013. "A survey-based exploration of land-system dynamics in an agricultural region of Northeast China," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 106-116.
    28. Ke, Xinli & van Vliet, Jasper & Zhou, Ting & Verburg, Peter H. & Zheng, Weiwei & Liu, Xiaoping, 2018. "Direct and indirect loss of natural habitat due to built-up area expansion: A model-based analysis for the city of Wuhan, China," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 231-239.
    29. Mutoko, Morgan C. & Hein, Lars & Shisanya, Chris A., 2015. "Tropical forest conservation versus conversion trade-offs: Insights from analysis of ecosystem services provided by Kakamega rainforest in Kenya," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 14(C), pages 1-11.
    30. Alison J. Eagle & David E. Eagle & Tracy E. Stobbe & G. Cornelis van Kooten, 2015. "Farmland Protection and Agricultural Land Values at the Urban-Rural Fringe: British Columbia's Agricultural Land Reserve," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 97(1), pages 282-298.
    31. Ge, Dazhuan & Long, Hualou & Zhang, Yingnan & Ma, Li & Li, Tingting, 2018. "Farmland transition and its influences on grain production in China," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 94-105.
    32. Janus, Jarosław & Ertunç, Ela, 2021. "Differences in the effectiveness of land consolidation projects in various countries and their causes: Examples of Poland and Turkey," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Wencun Zhou & Zhengjia Liu & Sisi Wang, 2023. "Spatiotemporal Dynamics of the Cropland Area and Its Response to Increasing Regional Extreme Weather Events in the Farming-Pastoral Ecotone of Northern China during 1992–2020," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(18), pages 1-28, September.
    2. Yibin, Wang & Fei, Li & Jian, Wang & Hongyu, Cao & Mengfei, Li, 2024. "The social-ecological benefits of grain for green program based on coupled coordination network: Taking the China’s Loess Plateau as an example," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    3. Yibin, Wang & Jian, Wang & Fei, Li & Xiaolin, Liu & Dan, Zhao, 2024. "Can the transition of multiple cropping systems affect the cropland change?," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
    4. Peng Cheng & Yiyu Qin & Siyang Zhu & Xuesong Kong, 2022. "Ecological Disturbance of Rural Settlement Expansion: Evidence from Nantong, Eastern China," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-16, October.
    5. Han Liu & Yu Wang & Lingling Sang & Caisheng Zhao & Tengyun Hu & Hongtao Liu & Zheng Zhang & Shuyu Wang & Shuangxi Miao & Zhengshan Ju, 2023. "Evaluation of Spatiotemporal Changes in Cropland Quantity and Quality with Multi-Source Remote Sensing," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-22, September.
    6. Xinyu Shi & Xiaoqing Zhao & Pei Huang & Zexian Gu & Junwei Pu & Shijie Zhou & Guoxun Qu & Qiaoqiao Zhao & Yan Feng & Yanjun Chen & Aimeng Xiang, 2023. "Rural Development under Poverty Governance: The Relationship between Rural Income and Land Use Transformation in Yunnan Province," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-21, January.
    7. Feifei Jiang & Fu Chen & Yan Sun & Ziyi Hua & Xinhua Zhu & Jing Ma, 2023. "Spatiotemporal Pattern and Driving Mechanism of Cultivated Land Use Transition in China," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-20, September.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zhao, Na & Chen, Kainan & Wu, Xiaoran & Zhang, Lili & Wang, Wei, 2024. "Cropland fragmentation change across China over the last two decades," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 218(C).
    2. Wang, Liye & Zhang, Siyu & Tang, Lanping & Lu, Yanchi & Liu, Yanfang & Liu, Yaolin, 2022. "Optimizing distribution of urban land on the basis of urban land use intensity at prefectural city scale in mainland China," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    3. Senkai Xie & Wenjia Zhang & Yi Zhao & De Tong, 2022. "Extracting Land Use Change Patterns of Rural Town Settlements with Sequence Alignment Method," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-17, February.
    4. Zhangxuan Qin & Xiaolin Liu & Xiaoyan Lu & Mengfei Li & Fei Li, 2022. "Grain Production Space Reconstruction and Its Influencing Factors in the Loess Plateau," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(10), pages 1-18, May.
    5. Zhou, Yang & Zhong, Zhen & Cheng, Guoqiang, 2023. "Cultivated land loss and construction land expansion in China: Evidence from national land surveys in 1996, 2009 and 2019," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    6. Weijia Chen & Yongquan Lu & Guilin Liu, 2022. "Balancing cropland gain and desert vegetation loss: The key to rural revitalization in Xinjiang, China," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 53(3), pages 1122-1145, September.
    7. Yiming Wang & Yunfeng Hu & Xiaoyu Niu & Huimin Yan & Lin Zhen, 2022. "Land Use/Cover Change and Its Driving Mechanism in Thailand from 2000 to 2020," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-22, December.
    8. Yanyan Li & Jinbing Zhang & Hui Zhu & Zhimin Zhou & Shan Jiang & Shuangyan He & Ying Zhang & Yicheng Huang & Mengfan Li & Guangrui Xing & Guanghui Li, 2023. "Soil Erosion Characteristics and Scenario Analysis in the Yellow River Basin Based on PLUS and RUSLE Models," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(2), pages 1-19, January.
    9. Xiuyu Huang & Ying Wang & Wanyi Liang & Zhaojun Wang & Xiao Zhou & Qinqiang Yan, 2023. "Spatial–Temporal Evolution and Driving Factors of the Low–Carbon Transition of Farmland Use in Coastal Areas of Guangdong Province," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-23, May.
    10. Shuning Zhu & Jinlong Liu & Hao Xu & Lingchao Li & Wentao Yang, 2022. "Has China’s New Round of Collective Forest Reforms Reduced Forest Fragmentation? A Case Study of the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei Region," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(10), pages 1-15, May.
    11. Yan Sun & Yuanyuan Chang & Junna Liu & Xiaoping Ge & Gang-Jun Liu & Fu Chen, 2021. "Spatial Differentiation of Non-Grain Production on Cultivated Land and Its Driving Factors in Coastal China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(23), pages 1-18, November.
    12. Meng Wang & Qingchen Xu & Zemeng Fan & Xiaofang Sun, 2021. "The Imprint of Built-Up Land Expansion on Cropland Distribution and Productivity in Shandong Province," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-12, June.
    13. Feng Yin & Ting Zhou & Xinli Ke, 2021. "Impact of Cropland Reclamation on Ecological Security in the Yangtze River Economic Belt, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(22), pages 1-16, November.
    14. Liye Wang & Jiwei Xu & Yaolin Liu & Siyu Zhang, 2023. "Spatial Characteristics of the Non-Grain Production Rate of Cropland and Its Driving Factors in Major Grain-Producing Area: Evidence from Shandong Province, China," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-22, December.
    15. Yiming Wei & Hongwei Wang & Mengqi Xue & Yucong Yin & Tiantian Qian & Fangrui Yu, 2022. "Spatial and Temporal Evolution of Land Use and the Response of Habitat Quality in Wusu, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(1), pages 1-21, December.
    16. Xiaoyu Niu & Yunfeng Hu & Zhongying Lei & Huimin Yan & Junzhi Ye & Hao Wang, 2022. "Temporal and Spatial Evolution Characteristics and Its Driving Mechanism of Land Use/Cover in Vietnam from 2000 to 2020," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-19, June.
    17. Baoni Li & Lihua Xiong & Quan Zhang & Shilei Chen & Han Yang & Shuhui Guo, 2022. "Effects of land use/cover change on atmospheric humidity in three urban agglomerations in the Yangtze River Economic Belt, China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 113(1), pages 577-613, August.
    18. Wei Fan & Xiankun Yang & Shirong Cai & Haidong Ou & Tao Zhou & Dakang Wang, 2024. "Land-Use/Cover Change and Driving Forces in the Pan-Pearl River Basin during the Period 1985–2020," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-26, June.
    19. Liu, Yansui & Zhou, Yang, 2021. "Territory spatial planning and national governance system in China," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    20. Michel Opelele Omeno & Ying Yu & Wenyi Fan & Tolerant Lubalega & Chen Chen & Claude Kachaka Sudi Kaiko, 2021. "Analysis of the Impact of Land-Use/Land-Cover Change on Land-Surface Temperature in the Villages within the Luki Biosphere Reserve," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(20), pages 1-23, October.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:lauspo:v:119:y:2022:i:c:s0264837722001958. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joice Jiang (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/land-use-policy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.