IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/jrpoli/v82y2023ics0301420723002817.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Nonlinear impact of natural resources and risk factors on the U.S. economic growth

Author

Listed:
  • Gu, Xiao
  • Badeeb, Ramez Abubakr
  • Ali, Shahid
  • Khan, Zeeshan
  • Zhang, Changyong
  • Uktamov, Khusniddin Fakhriddinovich

Abstract

Natural resources and risk factors are critical to the economic progress of a country. Previous literature covers several regions regarding the influence of natural resources and risks on economic growth, mostly using incomplete specification and conventional estimators. The present study investigates the influence of natural resources, geopolitical risk, and economic risk on the economic growth of the US economy over the period of 1990–2020, by additionally examining the role of research and development expenditure in economic performance. Due to the irregular distribution of the variables, a novel Method of Moment Quantile Regression is employed to validate the resource curse hypothesis of the country. It is also shown that geopolitical risk is adversely, yet insignificantly, associated with the economic growth of the country. On the other hand, economic risk and research & development expenditure are the significant drivers of the U.S. economic growth. For robustness study, the findings are authenticated via applying the Bootstrap Quantile Regression. Based on the empirical results, this study recommends strengthening institutions, reducing economic and geopolitical risks, and increasing Investment in research & development for economic security.

Suggested Citation

  • Gu, Xiao & Badeeb, Ramez Abubakr & Ali, Shahid & Khan, Zeeshan & Zhang, Changyong & Uktamov, Khusniddin Fakhriddinovich, 2023. "Nonlinear impact of natural resources and risk factors on the U.S. economic growth," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jrpoli:v:82:y:2023:i:c:s0301420723002817
    DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2023.103570
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301420723002817
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.resourpol.2023.103570?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Usman, Muhammad & Jahanger, Atif & Makhdum, Muhammad Sohail Amjad & Balsalobre-Lorente, Daniel & Bashir, Adnan, 2022. "How do financial development, energy consumption, natural resources, and globalization affect Arctic countries' economic growth and environmental quality? An advanced panel data simulation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    2. Dario Caldara & Matteo Iacoviello, 2022. "Measuring Geopolitical Risk," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 112(4), pages 1194-1225, April.
    3. Topcu, Ebru & Altinoz, Buket & Aslan, Alper, 2020. "Global evidence from the link between economic growth, natural resources, energy consumption, and gross capital formation," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    4. Erum, Naila & Hussain, Shahzad, 2019. "Corruption, natural resources and economic growth: Evidence from OIC countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 1-1.
    5. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Naeem, Muhammad & Ahad, Muhammad & Tahir, Iqbal, 2018. "Is natural resource abundance a stimulus for financial development in the USA?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 223-232.
    6. Ahmed Atil & Kishwar Nawaz & Amine Lahiani & David Roubaud, 2020. "Are natural resources a blessing or a curse for financial development in Pakistan? The importance of oil prices, economic growth and economic globalization," Post-Print hal-03676031, HAL.
    7. Mohsin, Muhammad & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad & Iqbal, Nadeem & Saydaliev, Hayot Berk, 2022. "The role of technological progress and renewable energy deployment in green economic growth," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 777-787.
    8. Nawaz, Kishwar & Lahiani, Amine & Roubaud, David, 2019. "Natural resources as blessings and finance-growth nexus: A bootstrap ARDL approach in an emerging economy," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 277-287.
    9. Machado, José A.F. & Santos Silva, J.M.C., 2019. "Quantiles via moments," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 213(1), pages 145-173.
    10. Nomaler, Önder & Spinola, Danilo & Verspagen, Bart, 2021. "R&D-based economic growth in a supermultiplier model," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 1-19.
    11. Nguyen, Trang Thi Thuy & Pham, Binh Thai & Sala, Hector, 2022. "Being an emerging economy: To what extent do geopolitical risks hamper technology and FDI inflows?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 728-746.
    12. Abebe Hailemariam & Kris Ivanovski, 2021. "The impact of geopolitical risk on tourism," Current Issues in Tourism, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(22), pages 3134-3140, November.
    13. Elliott, Graham & Rothenberg, Thomas J & Stock, James H, 1996. "Efficient Tests for an Autoregressive Unit Root," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 64(4), pages 813-836, July.
    14. Ibukun James Olaoye & Opeyemi Eyitayo Ayinde & Oluwafemi Olajide Ajewole & Luke Oloruntoba Adebisi, 2021. "The role of research and development (R&D) expenditure and governance on economic growth in selected African countries," African Journal of Science, Technology, Innovation and Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(6), pages 663-670, September.
    15. Jean-Joseph Minviel & Faten Ben Bouheni, 2022. "The impact of research and development (R&D) on economic growth: new evidence from kernel-based regularized least squares," Post-Print hal-03786777, HAL.
    16. Saygin Sahinoz & Evren Erdogan Cosar, 2018. "Economic policy uncertainty and economic activity in Turkey," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(21), pages 1517-1520, December.
    17. Yasmeen, Humaira & Tan, Qingmei & Zameer, Hashim & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2021. "Discovering the relationship between natural resources, energy consumption, gross capital formation with economic growth: Can lower financial openness change the curse into blessing," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    18. Khan, Zeeshan & Hossain, Mohammad Razib & Badeeb, Ramez Abubakr & Zhang, Changyong, 2023. "Aggregate and disaggregate impact of natural resources on economic performance: Role of green growth and human capital," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    19. Jean-Joseph Minviel & Faten Ben Bouheni, 2022. "The impact of research and development (R&D) on economic growth: new evidence from kernel-based regularized least squares," Journal of Risk Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 23(5), pages 583-604, July.
    20. Khan, Zeeshan & Hussain, Muzzammil & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Yang, Siqun & Jiao, Zhilun, 2020. "Natural resource abundance, technological innovation, and human capital nexus with financial development: A case study of China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    21. Engle, Robert & Granger, Clive, 2015. "Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 39(3), pages 106-135.
    22. Machado, José A.F. & Santos Silva, J.M.C. & Wei, Kehai, 2016. "Quantiles, corners, and the extensive margin of trade," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 73-84.
    23. Atil, Ahmed & Nawaz, Kishwar & Lahiani, Amine & Roubaud, David, 2020. "Are natural resources a blessing or a curse for financial development in Pakistan? The importance of oil prices, economic growth and economic globalization," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    24. Lee, Chien-Chiang & He, Zhi-Wen, 2022. "Natural resources and green economic growth: An analysis based on heterogeneous growth paths," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    25. Koenker, Roger W & Bassett, Gilbert, Jr, 1978. "Regression Quantiles," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 46(1), pages 33-50, January.
    26. Boeing, Philipp & Eberle, Jonathan & Howell, Anthony, 2022. "The impact of China's R&D subsidies on R&D investment, technological upgrading and economic growth," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    27. Dogan, Eyup & Majeed, Muhammad Tariq & Luni, Tania, 2021. "Analyzing the impacts of geopolitical risk and economic uncertainty on natural resources rents," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    28. Zeeshan, Muhammad & han, Jiabin & Rehman, Alam & Ullah, Irfan & Hussain, Arif & Alam Afridi, Fakhr E., 2022. "Exploring symmetric and asymmetric nexus between corruption, political instability, natural resources and economic growth in the context of Pakistan," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    29. repec:eme:jefasp:jefas-03-2019-0044 is not listed on IDEAS
    30. Boniface Ngah Epo & Dief Reagen Nochi Faha, 2020. "Natural Resources, Institutional Quality, and Economic Growth: an African Tale," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 32(1), pages 99-128, January.
    31. Michael Asiedu & Ebenezer Nana Yeboah & David Owusu Boakye, 2021. "Natural Resources and the Economic Growth of West Africa Economies," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 8(2), pages 20-32, March.
    32. Sudeshna Ghosh, 2021. "Geopolitical risk, economic growth, economic uncertainty and international inbound tourism: an Indian Illustration," Review of Economics and Political Science, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 7(1), pages 2-21, May.
    33. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Filis, George, 2014. "Spillovers between oil and stock markets at times of geopolitical unrest and economic turbulence," MPRA Paper 59760, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    34. Chandan Sharma & Ritesh Kumar Mishra, 2022. "On the Good and Bad of Natural Resource, Corruption, and Economic Growth Nexus," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 82(4), pages 889-922, August.
    35. Peter Boswijk, H., 1994. "Testing for an unstable root in conditional and structural error correction models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 63(1), pages 37-60, July.
    36. Wang, Qiang & Dong, Zequn & Li, Rongrong & Wang, Lili, 2022. "Renewable energy and economic growth: New insight from country risks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PC).
    37. Kishwar Nawaz & Amine Lahiani & David Roubaud, 2019. "Natural resources as blessings and finance-growth nexus: A bootstrap ARDL approach in an emerging economy," Post-Print hal-03532512, HAL.
    38. Johansen, Soren, 1991. "Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(6), pages 1551-1580, November.
    39. Nasiru Inuwa & Sagir Adamu & Mohammed Bello Sani & Haruna Usman Modibbo, 2022. "Natural resource and economic growth nexus in Nigeria: a disaggregated approach," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 15(1), pages 17-37, April.
    40. Zar Shah & Khalid Zaman & Haroon ur Rashid Khan & Awais Rashid, 2022. "The Economic Value of Natural Resources and Its Implications for Pakistan’s Economic Growth," Commodities, MDPI, vol. 1(2), pages 1-33, October.
    41. Sweidan, Osama D. & Elbargathi, Khadiga, 2022. "The effect of oil rent on economic development in Saudi Arabia: Comparing the role of globalization and the international geopolitical risk," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    42. Tabash, Mosab I. & Mesagan, Ekundayo Peter & Farooq, Umar, 2022. "Dynamic linkage between natural resources, economic complexity, and economic growth: Empirical evidence from Africa," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    43. Mohammad Enamul Hoque & Low Soo Wah & Mohd Azlan Shah Zaidi, 2019. "Oil price shocks, global economic policy uncertainty, geopolitical risk, and stock price in Malaysia: Factor augmented VAR approach," Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(1), pages 3700-3732, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Savranlar, Buket & Atay Polat, Melike & Aslan, Alper, 2023. "What are the mistakes we think are correct about the ‘Natural resource curse’ hypothesis? New insights from quantile regressions via method of moments for EU," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    2. Xia, Liangke & Li, Fanrong & Zhou, Yun & Xue, Pengcheng, 2024. "Mineral policy management perspective: Government effectiveness and digitalization for the Russian economy," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    3. Teng, Yin-Pei, 2023. "Natural resources extraction and sustainable development: Linear and non-linear resources curse hypothesis perspective for high income countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    4. Huang, Baolian & Huang, Haiping & Xiang, Xinbo & Xu, Xubin, 2023. "Dual issue of resources and emissions: Resources richness and Carbon Emissions with Oil rents, trade, and mineral rents exploration," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
    5. Wu, Zihao & Gao, Jun & Xu, Hui & Shi, Guanqun & Zaidan, Amal Mousa & Ageli, Mohammed Moosa, 2023. "Visualizing symmetric and asymmetric settings in MMQR for natural resources extraction and economic performance: A COVID-19 perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    6. Yun, Na, 2024. "Resources curse via natural resources utilization: Linking digitalization and resources markets for economy perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    7. Liu, Jiayu & Lu, Shichang, 2023. "Do natural resources ensure access to sustainable renewable energy in developing economies? The role of mineral resources in a resources-energy novel setting," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    8. Wang, Feipeng & Wong, Wing-Keung & Wang, Zheng & Albasher, Gadah & Alsultan, Nouf & Fatemah, Ambreen, 2023. "Emerging pathways to sustainable economic development: An interdisciplinary exploration of resource efficiency, technological innovation, and ecosystem resilience in resource-rich regions," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    9. Wang, Haotian & Hao, Liang & Wang, Weizheng & Chen, Xingyu, 2023. "Natural resources lineage, high technology exports and economic performance: RCEP economies perspective of human capital and energy resources efficiency," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 87(PA).
    10. Yu, Shiyu & Liang, Yanpeng & Zhu, Zhe & Olaniyi, Oladokun Nafiu & Khan, Numan, 2024. "Dutch disease perspective of energy sector: Natural resources and energy sector nexus with the role of renewable energy consumption," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    11. Zhou, Fuyuan & Feng, Zehua, 2024. "Resources management, digitalization and government efficiency for economic output: Exploring the case for the United States," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    12. Pham Thi, Thuy Dung & Do, Hai Dung & Paramaiah, Ch & Duong, Nam Tien & Pham, Van Kien & Shamansurova, Zilola, 2023. "Sustainable economic performance and natural resource price volatility in the post-covid-pandemic: Evidence using GARCH models in Chinese context," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
    13. Wang, Zhiwei & Huang, Yongjun, 2023. "Natural resources and trade-adjusted carbon emissions in the BRICS: The role of clean energy," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wang, Guoyu & Gu, Xiao & Shen, Xi & Uktamov, Khusniddin Fakhriddinovich & Ageli, Mohammed Moosa, 2023. "A dual risk perspective of China's resources market: Geopolitical risk and political risk," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    2. Wang, Yong & Li, Fang & Dou, Jiali, 2023. "Revisiting resources allocation for slow-moving economies: A way forward for low-income economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    3. Ma, Yubo & Wang, Fei, 2023. "Dutch disease via remittances and natural resources: A perspective of global economy," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    4. Zhang, Ziwei & Zhang, Chao, 2023. "Revisiting the importance of forest rents, oil rents, green growth in economic performance of China: Employing time series methods," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    5. Wang, Zhen & Hu, Difei & Sami, Fariha & Uktamov, Khusniddin Fakhriddinovich, 2023. "Revisiting China's natural resources-growth-emissions nexus: Education expenditures and renewable energy innovation," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    6. Li, Shanshan & Long, Fang & Long, Litao, 2022. "Resources curse and sustainable development revisited: Evaluating the role of remittances for China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    7. Xue, Pengcheng & Du, Jianhua & Liu, Jiaxin & Li, Zhipeng & Albahooth, Bayan & Yang, Yiting, 2023. "Natural resources and economic perspective: Manufacturing value added for Europe and Central Asian economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
    8. Zhang, Yi & Zhang, Leilei & Yu, Hang & Tu, Yanhong, 2023. "Does Geopolitical risk drive natural resources extraction globally? A Case of Global," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    9. Gokmenoglu, Korhan K. & Rustamov, Bezhan, 2022. "The role of the natural resource abundance in the short and long run: The case of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    10. Li, Ying & Tariq, Muhammad & Khan, Saleem & Rjoub, Husam & Azhar, Aisha, 2022. "Natural resources rents, capital formation and economic performance: Evaluating the role of globalization," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    11. Zhang, Zhinan & Xu, Xiangyun, 2023. "Sustainable financial risk, resources abundance and technological innovation: Evidence from resources abundance economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    12. Meng, Lingyan & Li, Jinshi, 2024. "Natural resources volatility and geopolitical risk: A novel perspective of oil and mineral rents using quantile-quantile regression for China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    13. Kong, Yan & Dong, Chuntong & Zhang, Yingyu, 2023. "Quantile on Quantile Analysis of Natural resources-growth and geopolitical risk trilemma," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    14. Xue, Pengcheng & Liu, Hanzhen & Zhao, Delong & Liu, Jiaxin, 2024. "Mineral resources and equitable economic development: South Asian mineral resources policy perspective with innovation for resources efficiency," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    15. Zhang, Meng-Chen & Lin, Chun-Yu & Wei, Ying, 2023. "Natural resources exploration, efficiency of energy resources and financial development: Resources sector analysis via least square with structural breaks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    16. Guan, Jialin & Kirikkaleli, Dervis & Bibi, Ayesha & Zhang, Weike, 2020. "Natural resources rents nexus with financial development in the presence of globalization: Is the “resource curse” exist or myth?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    17. Li, Menghan & Zhang, Kaiyue & Alamri, Ahmad Mohammed & Ageli, Mohammed Moosa & Khan, Numan, 2023. "Resource curse hypothesis and sustainable development: Evaluating the role of renewable energy and R&D," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    18. Chen, Zhiguo & Gao, Wei & Zafar, Quratulain & Dördüncü, Hazar, 2023. "Natural resources extraction and geopolitical risk: Examining oil resources extraction in China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    19. Wang, Zhe & Teng, Yin-Pei & Wu, Shuzhao & Liu, Yuxiang & Liu, Xianchang, 2023. "Geopolitical risk, financial system and natural resources extraction: Evidence from China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    20. Zhang, Yichi & Wang, Qiao & Tian, Tian & Yang, Yuan, 2022. "Volatility in natural resources, economic performance, and public administration quality: Evidence from COVID-19," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:jrpoli:v:82:y:2023:i:c:s0301420723002817. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/30467 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.