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Telling stories: a metagame description of a conflict

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  • Klein, Jonathan H.

Abstract

This paper describes the use of metagame analysis to describe and explore a conflict situation. The analysis was carried out by the author, who was associated with one of the parties in the conflict, for his own benefit. A full description of the analysis is provided. A particular characteristic of the situation was that it was not possible to specify preferences for scenarios for any of the actors with a reasonable degree of confidence. This made the standard metagame analysis approach unworkable, and an alternative approach, involving the development of stories describing a variety of possible future events, was used instead.

Suggested Citation

  • Klein, Jonathan H., 2000. "Telling stories: a metagame description of a conflict," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 1-15, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jomega:v:28:y:2000:i:1:p:1-15
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Stokes, Nigel W & Hipel, Keith W, 1983. "Conflict analysis of an export credit trade dispute," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 11(4), pages 365-376.
    2. Howard, Nigel, 1987. "The present and future of metagame analysis," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 1-25, October.
    3. Bryant, J., 1997. "The plot thickens: Understanding interaction through the metaphor of drama," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 25(3), pages 255-266, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. T E van der Lei & W A H Thissen, 2009. "Quantitative problem structuring methods for multi-actor problems: an analysis of reported applications," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 60(9), pages 1198-1206, September.
    2. David C. Lane, 2016. "‘Till the Muddle in my Mind Have Cleared Awa’: Can We Help Shape Policy Using Systems Modelling?," Systems Research and Behavioral Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(5), pages 633-650, September.
    3. J H Klein & N A D Connell & E Meyer, 2007. "Operational research practice as storytelling," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 58(12), pages 1535-1542, December.

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