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Regional capital mobility in China: Economic reform with limited financial integration

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  • Lai, Jennifer T.
  • McNelis, Paul D.
  • Yan, Isabel K.M.

Abstract

This paper assesses the changes in the regional capital mobility in China during the period of economic reform in 1978–2008 by employing a panel time varying coefficient (TVP) model. This approach is much more suitable to model China's evolution in the regional capital mobility than a standard structural break model as China's reforms took place gradually and were often implemented over several stages. Using the TVP model, we find that (1) China's provincial capital mobility demonstrated a moderate improvement over the sample period, but worsened temporarily between 1994 and 1997. This is probably due to the government's effort to combat inflation which reduced the investment and transfers to regions; (2) regions with the most developed and least developed provinces experienced higher degree of capital mobility improvement than those in the middle.

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  • Lai, Jennifer T. & McNelis, Paul D. & Yan, Isabel K.M., 2013. "Regional capital mobility in China: Economic reform with limited financial integration," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 493-503.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:37:y:2013:i:c:p:493-503
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2013.07.001
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    2. He, Qing & Xue, Chang & Zhu, Chenqi, 2014. "Financial development and patterns of industrial specialization : Regional evidence from China," BOFIT Discussion Papers 12/2014, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
    3. Kwon, Ohyun & Fleisher, Belton & McGuire, William & Zhao, Min Qiang, 2020. "Provincial Trade, Financial Friction and Misallocation in China," School of Economics Working Paper Series 2020-1, LeBow College of Business, Drexel University.
    4. Tao Cai & Vinh Q. T. Dang & Jennifer T. Lai, 2016. "China's Capital and ‘Hot’ Money Flows: An Empirical Investigation," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(3), pages 276-294, August.
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    6. Te Lai, 2015. "Regional Capital Mobility in China: An Endogenous Parameter Approach," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 2(3), pages 63-75, August.
    7. Deng, Liuchun & Wang, Boqun, 2016. "Regional capital flows and economic regimes: Evidence from China," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 80-83.
    8. Wang, Shoukun, 2016. "China's interregional capital mobility: A spatial econometric estimation," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 114-128.
    9. He, Qing & Xue, Chang & Zhu, Chenqi, 2014. "Financial development and patterns of industrial specialization: Regional evidence from China," BOFIT Discussion Papers 12/2014, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    10. Saileshsingh Gunessee & Cheng Zhang, 2022. "The economics of domestic market integration," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(4), pages 1069-1095, September.
    11. Weixing Cai & Fangming Xu & Cheng Zeng, 2017. "Does political pressure matter in bank lending? Evidence from China," Financial Markets, Institutions & Instruments, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 26(5), pages 249-277, December.
    12. Zhan, Minghua & Li, Shuai & Wu, Zhouheng, 2023. "Can digital finance development improve balanced regional investment allocations in developing countries? — The evidence from China," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    13. Taofeek Olusola Ayinde & Olumuyiwa Ganiyu Yinusa & Yulia Rodionova, 2018. "Global and Regional Capital Mobilities in Sub-Saharan African Economies: Complement or Substitute?," SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, University of Piraeus, vol. 68(4), pages 51-71, October-D.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Regional capital mobility; China capital market integration; Permanent income model; Panel time-varying coefficient model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • O18 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis; Housing; Infrastructure
    • O53 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Asia including Middle East
    • C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models

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