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Paul D. McNelis

Personal Details

First Name:Paul
Middle Name:D.
Last Name:McNelis
Suffix:
RePEc Short-ID:pmc2
https://www.github.com/McNelis-CMML
Department of Economics Boston College Chestnut Hill, Mass. 02467
212 636 6186
Terminal Degree:1974 Department of Economics; Johns Hopkins University (from RePEc Genealogy)

Affiliation

Department of Economics
Boston College

Chestnut Hill, Massachusetts (United States)
http://www.bc.edu/economics/
RePEc:edi:debocus (more details at EDIRC)

Research output

as
Jump to: Working papers Articles Chapters Books

Working papers

  1. Shiyun Cao & Jennifer T. Lai & Paul D. McNelis, 2024. "Financial Contagion in China, Real Estate Markets, and Regulatory Intervention," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 1083, Boston College Department of Economics.
  2. Paul D McNelis & James Yetman, 2020. "Volatility spillovers and capital buffers among the G-SIBs," BIS Working Papers 856, Bank for International Settlements.
  3. Lai , Jennifer & McNelis, Paul, 2019. "Offshore Fears and Onshore Risk: Exchange Rate Pressures and Bank Volatility Contagion in the People’s Republic of China," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 602, Asian Development Bank.
  4. McNelis, Paul D., 2016. "Optimal policy rules at home, crisis and quantitative easing abroad," BOFIT Discussion Papers 15/2016, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
  5. Gabriel Fagan & Paul McNelis, 2014. "TARGET Balances and Macroeconomic Adjustment to Sudden Stops in the Euro Area," The Institute for International Integration Studies Discussion Paper Series iiisdp465, IIIS, revised Dec 2014.
  6. G. C. Lim & Paul D. McNelis, 2014. "Income Inequality, Trade and Financial Openness," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2014n07, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
  7. Paul D. McNelis, 2014. "Finding Stability in a Time of Crisis: Lessons of East Asia for Eastern Europe," Working Papers 052014, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
  8. Hwee Kwan Chow & Paul D. McNelis, 2010. "Need Singapore Fear Floating? A DSGE-VAR Approach," Working Papers 29-2010, Singapore Management University, School of Economics.
  9. Paul D. McNelis, 2009. "Structural Change and Counterfactual Inflation-Targeting in Hong Kong," Working Papers 232009, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
  10. G. C. Lim & Paul D. McNelis, 2008. "Cyclical Government Spending, Income Inequality and Welfare in Small Open Economies," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2008n18, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
  11. Burkhard Heer & Alfred Maussner & Paul D. McNelis, 2007. "The Money-Age Distribution: Empirical Facts and Limited Monetary Models," CESifo Working Paper Series 1917, CESifo.
  12. Bagsic, Cristeta & Paul, McNelis, 2007. "Output Gap Estimation for Inflation Forecasting: The Case of the Philippines," MPRA Paper 86789, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  13. Paul D. McNelis & Salih N. Neftci, 2006. "Renminbi Revaluation, Euro Appreciation and Chinese Markets: What Can We Learn From Data?," Working Papers 012006, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
  14. G. C. Lim & Paul D. McNelis, 2006. "Fiscal and Current Account Balances in a Model with Sticky Prices and Distortionary Taxes," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2006n21, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
  15. G. C. Lim & Paul D. McNelis, 2006. "Inflation Targeting, Learning and Q Volatility in Small Open Economies," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2006n22, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
  16. Burkhard Heer & Alfred Maussner & Paul McNelis, 2006. "The money-age distribution: Empirical facts and economic modelling," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 191, Society for Computational Economics.
  17. Paul D. McNelis & Carrie K.C. Chan, 2004. "Deflationary Dynamics in Hong Kong: Evidence from Linear and Neural Network Regime Switching Models," Working Papers 212004, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
  18. Paul McNelis & Salih Neftci, 2004. "A Comparison of US and Hong Kong Cap-Floor Volatility Dynamics," Working Papers 042004, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
  19. McAdam, Peter & McNelis, Paul, 2004. "Forecasting inflation with thick models and neural networks," Working Paper Series 352, European Central Bank.
  20. Paul D. McNelis & Guay C. Lim, 2004. "Inflation Targeting and Q Volatility in Small Open Economies," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings 505, Econometric Society.
  21. G. C. LIM & PAUL D. McNELIS, 2002. "Central Bank Learning, Terms Of Trade Shocks & Currency Risks: Should Only Inflation Matter For Monetary Policy?," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 831, The University of Melbourne.
  22. G.C. Lim & Paul D. McNelis, 2001. "Central Bank Learning, Terms of Trade Shocks & Currency Risk: Should Exchange Rate Volatility Matter for Monetary Policy?," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 509, Boston College Department of Economics.
  23. Paul McNelis, 2000. "Stochastic Growth With Heterogeneous Agents," Computing in Economics and Finance 2000 369, Society for Computational Economics.
  24. Paul McNelis & John Duffy, 1998. "Approximating and Simulating the Stochastic Growth Model: Parameterized Expectations, Neural Networks, and the Genetic Algorithm," GE, Growth, Math methods 9804004, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 14 May 1998.
  25. Paul D. McNelis & G.C. Lim, 1998. "Parameterizing Currency Risk in the EMS: The Irish Pound and Spanish Peseta against the German Mark," International Finance 9805001, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  26. Lim & C.G. & McNelis & P.D., 1996. "Stock Price Fluctuations in Australia: The Influence of japanese and U.S. Markets," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 505, The University of Melbourne.
  27. Paul D. McNelis, 1993. "The Response of Australian Stock, Foreign Exchange and Bond Markets to Foreign Asset Returns and Volatilities," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp9301, Reserve Bank of Australia.
  28. McNelis, Paul D. & Schmidt-Hebbel, Klaus, 1991. "Volatility reversal from interest rates to the real exchange rate : financial liberalization in Chile, 1975-82," Policy Research Working Paper Series 697, The World Bank.
  29. Barbosa, Fernando de Holanda & McNelis, Paul D., 1986. "Brazilian indexing and inertial inflation: evidence from time-varying estimates of an inflation transfer function," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 81, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
  30. John Duffy & Paul D. McNelis, "undated". "Approximating and Simulating the Real Business Cycle: Linear Quadratic Methods, Parameterized Expectations and Genetic Algorithms," Computing in Economics and Finance 1997 63, Society for Computational Economics.
    repec:wbk:wbrwps:1026 is not listed on IDEAS

Articles

  1. Fagan, Gabriel & McNelis, Paul D., 2020. "Sudden stops in the Euro Area: Does monetary union matter?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
  2. Jennifer Lai & Paul D. McNelis, 2020. "Offshore fears and onshore risk: exchange rate pressures and bank volatility contagion in China," Economic and Political Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(3), pages 374-393, July.
  3. Lai, Jennifer & Chen, Hongyi & McNelis, Paul D., 2020. "Macroeconomic adjustment with managed exchange rates and capital controls: Some lessons from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 759-768.
  4. Lim, G.C. & McNelis, Paul D., 2018. "Unconventional monetary and fiscal policies in interconnected economies: Do policy rules matter?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 346-363.
  5. PAUL D. McNELIS & NAOYUKI YOSHINO, 2018. "Household Income Dynamics In A Lower-Income Small Open Economy: A Comparison Of Banking And Crowdfunding Regimes," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 63(01), pages 147-166, March.
  6. Lim, G.C. & McNelis, Paul D., 2016. "Quasi-monetary and quasi-fiscal policy rules at the zero-lower bound," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 135-150.
  7. McNelis, Paul D. & Yoshino, Naoyuki, 2016. "Finding stability in a time of prolonged crisis: Unconventional policy rules for Japan," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 122-136.
  8. Lim, G.C. & McNelis, Paul D., 2016. "Income growth and inequality: The threshold effects of trade and financial openness," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 403-412.
  9. Chow, Hwee Kwan & Lim, G.C. & McNelis, Paul D., 2014. "Monetary regime choice in Singapore: Would a Taylor rule outperform exchange-rate management?," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 63-81.
  10. Gabriel Fagan & James R. Lothian & Paul D. Mcnelis, 2013. "Was The Gold Standard Really Destabilizing?," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 231-249, March.
  11. Lim, G. C. & McNelis, Paul D., 2013. "Alternative Government Spending Rules: Effects On Income Inequality And Welfare," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 17(7), pages 1496-1518, October.
  12. Lai, Jennifer T. & McNelis, Paul D. & Yan, Isabel K.M., 2013. "Regional capital mobility in China: Economic reform with limited financial integration," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 493-503.
  13. Gu, Li & McNelis, Paul D., 2013. "Yen/Dollar volatility and Chinese fear of floating: Pressures from the NDF market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 37-49.
  14. G. C. Lim & Paul D. Mcnelis, 2012. "Macroeconomic Volatility And Counterfactual Inflation-Targeting In Hong Kong," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 17(2), pages 304-325, May.
  15. PAUL D. McNELIS & NAOYUKI YOSHINO, 2012. "Macroeconomic Volatility Under High Accumulation Of Government Debt: Lessons From Japan," Advances in Complex Systems (ACS), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 15(supp0), pages 1-29.
  16. Heer, Burkhard & Maußner, Alfred & McNelis, Paul D., 2011. "The money-age distribution: Empirical facts and the limits of three monetary models," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 390-405, September.
  17. Paul D. McNelis & Giorgio Valente, 2008. "Special issue on international financial markets and the macroeconomy," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 13(1), pages 1-1.
  18. Lim, G.C. & McNelis, Paul D., 2007. "Central bank learning, terms of trade shocks and currency risk: Should only inflation matter for monetary policy?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(6), pages 865-886, October.
  19. Lim, G.C. & McNelis, Paul D., 2007. "Inflation targeting, learning and Q volatility in small open economies," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(11), pages 3699-3722, November.
  20. Van Dijk, Dick, 2006. "Paul D. McNelis, Neural networks in finance--gaining predictive edge in the market, Elsevier Academic Press (2005) ISBN 0-12-485967-4 hardcover, 243 pages," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(2), pages 407-408.
  21. G. Lim & Paul Mcnelis, 2006. "Central Bank Learning and Taylor Rules with Sticky Import Prices," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 28(2), pages 155-175, September.
  22. McAdam, Peter & McNelis, Paul, 2005. "Forecasting inflation with thick models and neural networks," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 22(5), pages 848-867, September.
  23. Paul D. McNelis & Naoyuki Yoshino, 2004. "Deciphering the Message in Japanese Deflation Dynamics," Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, vol. 3(2), pages 49-70.
  24. Lim, G. C. & McNelis, Paul D., 2004. "Learning and the monetary policy strategy of the European Central Bank," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(7-8), pages 997-1010.
  25. McNelis, Paul D. & Asilis, Carlos M., 2002. "Macroeconomic policy games and asset-price volatility in the EMS: a linear quadratic control analysis of France, Germany, Italy and Spain," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 1-24, January.
  26. Duffy, John & McNelis, Paul D., 2001. "Approximating and simulating the stochastic growth model: Parameterized expectations, neural networks, and the genetic algorithm," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 25(9), pages 1273-1303, September.
  27. Lim, G C & McNelis, Paul D, 1998. "The Effect of the Nikkei and the S&P on the All-Ordinaries: A Comparison of Three Models," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 3(3), pages 217-228, July.
  28. Paul D. McNelis & Liliana Rojas-Suarez, 1996. "Devaluación del Tipo de Cambio, Dolarización e Incertidumbre: Una Comparación entre Bolivia y Perú," Revista Economía, Fondo Editorial - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú, issue 37-38, pages 67-92.
  29. McNelis, Paul D. & Asilis, Carlos M., 1995. "Monetary policy games with broad money targets a linear quadratic control analysis of the U.S. and Japan," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 19(5-7), pages 1091-1111.
  30. McNelis, Paul D., 1994. "Japanese monetary policy : edited by Kenneth J. Singleton (University of Chicago Press, for the National Bureau of Economic Research, 1993), 195 pages," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 291-294.
  31. Asilis, Carlos M & Honohan, Patrick & McNelis, Paul D, 1993. "Money Demand during Hyperinflation and Stabilization: Bolivia, 1980-88," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 31(2), pages 262-273, April.
  32. McNelis, Paul D. & Schmidt-Hebbel, Klaus, 1993. "Financial liberalization and adjustment: The cases of Chile and New Zealand," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 12(3), pages 249-277, June.
  33. Paul D. McNelis & Naoyuki Yoshino, 1992. "Monetary Stabilization with Interest Rate Instruments in Japan: A Linear Quadratic Control Analysis," Monetary and Economic Studies, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan, vol. 10(2), pages 79-106, November.
  34. Mcnelis, Paul D. & Nickelsburg, Gerald, 1991. "The macrodynamic and distributional effects debt swaps: a siumulation analysis of alternative conversion mechanisms," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 45(2), April.
  35. Neftci, Salih N. & McNelis, Paul D. & Harrison, Michael J., 1990. "A diagnostic check for model specification : An application to the yen-dollar exchange rate," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 69-73, May.
  36. Browne, Francis X. & McNelis, Paul D., 1990. "Exchange controls and interest rate determination with traded and non-traded assets: the Irish-United Kingdom experience," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 9(1), pages 41-59, March.
  37. Barbosa, Fernando de Holanda & McNelis, Paul D, 1989. "Indexation and Inflationary Inertia: Brazil 1964-1985," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 3(3), pages 339-357, September.
  38. Corbo, Vittorio & McNelis, Paul D, 1989. "The Pricing of Manufactured Goods during Trade Liberalization: Evidence from Chile, Israel, and Korea," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 71(3), pages 491-499, August.
  39. McNelis, Paul D, 1988. "Indexation and Stabilization: Theory and Experience," The World Bank Research Observer, World Bank, vol. 3(2), pages 157-169, July.
  40. Bigman, David & McNelis, Paul D., 1988. "Inventory management and economic instability in high inflation economies: A macrodynamic simulation," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 10(2), pages 229-247.
  41. McNelis, Paul D., 1987. "Indexing, exchange rate policy and inflationary feedback effects in Latin America," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 15(8), pages 1107-1117, August.
  42. McNelis, Paul D., 1987. "Discussion," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 15(8), pages 1145-1145, August.
  43. McNelis, Paul D & Neftci, Salih N, 1982. "Policy-Dependent Parameters in the Presence of Optimal Learning: An Application of Kalman Filtering to the Fair and Sargent Supply-Side Equations," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 64(2), pages 296-306, May.
  44. McNelis, Paul D., 1980. "Irrepressible monetarist conclusions from a non-monetarist model," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 6(1), pages 121-127, January.
  45. Frank Giarratani & Paul D. McNelis, 1980. "Time Series Evidence Bearing on Crude Theories of Regional Growth," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 56(2), pages 238-248.
    RePEc:ekm:repojs:v:6:y:1986:i:4:id:1822 is not listed on IDEAS

Chapters

  1. Paul D. McNelis & Naoyuki Yoshino, 2017. "Macroeconomic Volatility Under High Accumulation of Government Debt: Lessons from Japan," ADB Institute Series on Development Economics, in: Naoyuki Yoshino & Farhad Taghizadeh-Hesary (ed.), Japan’s Lost Decade, chapter 0, pages 77-108, Springer.

Books

  1. Lim, G.C. & McNelis, Paul D., 2008. "Computational Macroeconomics for the Open Economy," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262123061, April.
  2. McNelis, Paul D., 2004. "Neural Networks in Finance," Elsevier Monographs, Elsevier, edition 1, number 9780124859678.

More information

Research fields, statistics, top rankings, if available.

Statistics

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Rankings

This author is among the top 5% authors according to these criteria:
  1. Closeness measure in co-authorship network
  2. Betweenness measure in co-authorship network
  3. Record of graduates

Co-authorship network on CollEc

Featured entries

This author is featured on the following reading lists, publication compilations, Wikipedia, or ReplicationWiki entries:
  1. Items authored by Boston College Economics alumni

NEP Fields

NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 15 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.
  1. NEP-MON: Monetary Economics (9) 2001-10-09 2004-08-16 2004-10-30 2006-07-15 2009-09-11 2011-09-05 2014-03-30 2015-01-31 2016-11-06. Author is listed
  2. NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (8) 2004-10-30 2006-07-15 2008-09-20 2009-09-11 2011-09-05 2014-03-30 2015-01-31 2016-11-06. Author is listed
  3. NEP-OPM: Open Economy Macroeconomics (6) 2008-09-20 2009-09-11 2014-03-30 2014-04-29 2015-01-31 2016-11-06. Author is listed
  4. NEP-CBA: Central Banking (5) 2001-10-09 2004-08-16 2006-07-15 2009-09-11 2011-09-05. Author is listed
  5. NEP-SEA: South East Asia (3) 2009-09-11 2011-09-05 2014-03-30
  6. NEP-CMP: Computational Economics (2) 2011-09-05 2020-05-04
  7. NEP-DGE: Dynamic General Equilibrium (2) 1998-10-02 2011-09-05
  8. NEP-IFN: International Finance (2) 1998-10-02 2001-10-09
  9. NEP-BIG: Big Data (1) 2020-05-04
  10. NEP-CNA: China (1) 2021-02-22
  11. NEP-DEV: Development (1) 2014-04-29
  12. NEP-EEC: European Economics (1) 2015-01-31
  13. NEP-ETS: Econometric Time Series (1) 1998-10-02
  14. NEP-FMK: Financial Markets (1) 1998-10-08
  15. NEP-GRO: Economic Growth (1) 2014-04-29
  16. NEP-IAS: Insurance Economics (1) 2015-01-31
  17. NEP-INT: International Trade (1) 2014-04-29
  18. NEP-RMG: Risk Management (1) 2020-05-04
  19. NEP-TID: Technology and Industrial Dynamics (1) 1998-10-02

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