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Determinants of bank CDS spreads in Europe

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  • Samaniego-Medina, Reyes
  • Trujillo-Ponce, Antonio
  • Parrado-Martínez, Purificación
  • di Pietro, Filippo

Abstract

This paper empirically analyzes the determinants of credit default swap (CDS) spreads from a sample of 45 listed European banks over the 2004–2010 period. We use variables related to accounting- and market-based data, an indicator of liquidity in the CDS market and several variables from the macroeconomic environment in which these financial institutions operate. These variables are analyzed during both the pre-crisis period (2004–2007) and the crisis period (2008–2010). The primary conclusion is that the market variables have the greatest explanatory power. Additionally, we find that the explanatory power of the model is considerably higher during the crisis period than it is during the pre-crisis period.

Suggested Citation

  • Samaniego-Medina, Reyes & Trujillo-Ponce, Antonio & Parrado-Martínez, Purificación & di Pietro, Filippo, 2016. "Determinants of bank CDS spreads in Europe," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 1-15.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jebusi:v:86:y:2016:i:c:p:1-15
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconbus.2016.03.001
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    3. Foglia, Matteo & Di Tommaso, Caterina & Wang, Gang-Jin & Pacelli, Vincenzo, 2024. "Interconnectedness between stock and credit markets: The role of European G-SIBs in a multilayer perspective," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    4. Parrado-Martínez, Purificación & Gómez-Fernández-Aguado, Pilar & Partal-Ureña, Antonio, 2019. "Factors influencing the European bank’s probability of default: An application of SYMBOL methodology," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 223-240.
    5. Drago, Danilo & Tommaso, Caterina Di & Thornton, John, 2017. "What determines bank CDS spreads? Evidence from European and US banks," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 140-145.
    6. Pilar Gómez-Fernández-Aguado & Purificación Parrado-Martínez & Antonio Partal-Ureña, 2018. "Risk Profile Indicators and Spanish Banks’ Probability of Default from a Regulatory Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-16, April.
    7. Soenen, Nicolas & Vander Vennet, Rudi, 2022. "Determinants of European banks’ default risk," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
    8. Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin & Ozdemir, Huseyin & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Spillover effects in oil-related CDS markets during and after the sub-prime crisis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    9. Witte, Niklas, 2024. "Capital requirements in Pillar 1 or Pillar 2: does it matter for market discipline?," Working Paper Series 2988, European Central Bank.
    10. Molyneux, Philip & Pancotto, Livia & Reghezza, Alessio, 2021. "A new measure for gauging the riskiness of European Banks’ sovereign bond portfolios," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
    11. Amavi S. S. Agbodji & Emmanuelle Nys & Alain Sauviat, 2021. "Do CDS Maturities Matter in the Evaluation of the Information Content of Regulatory Banking Stress Tests? Evidence from European and US Stress Tests," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 72(1), pages 65-102.
    12. Nicolas Soenen & Rudi Vander Vennet, 2020. "ECB Monetary Policy and Bank Default Risk," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 20/997, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
    13. Taurai Muvunza & Yong Jiang, 2023. "Determinants and hedging effectiveness of China's sovereign credit default swaps," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 2074-2087, April.
    14. Michele Anelli & Michele Patanè & Mario Toscano & Stefano Zedda, 2020. "The Role of Redenomination Risk in the Price Evolution of Italian Banks’ CDS Spreads," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-17, July.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Credit default swaps; European banks; Credit risk; Bank risk; Financial crisis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G33 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Bankruptcy; Liquidation
    • M41 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Accounting - - - Accounting

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