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Inference in asset pricing models with a low-variance factor

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  • Shang, Hua

Abstract

This paper concerns with the effects of including a low-variance factor in an asset pricing model. When a low-variance factor is present, the commonly applied Fama–MacBeth two-pass regression procedure is very likely to yield misleading results. Local asymptotic analysis and simulation evidence indicate that the risk premiums corresponding to all factors are very likely to be unreliably estimated. Moreover, t- and F-statistics are less likely to detect whether the risk premiums are significantly different from zero. We recommend Kleibergen’s (2009)FAR statistic when there is a low-variance factor included in an asset pricing model.

Suggested Citation

  • Shang, Hua, 2013. "Inference in asset pricing models with a low-variance factor," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 1046-1060.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:37:y:2013:i:3:p:1046-1060
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2012.11.007
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Fama, Eugene F & French, Kenneth R, 1992. "The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 47(2), pages 427-465, June.
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    4. Raymond Kan & Chu Zhang, 1999. "Two‐Pass Tests of Asset Pricing Models with Useless Factors," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 54(1), pages 203-235, February.
    5. Nikolay Gospodinov, 2009. "A New Look at the Forward Premium Puzzle," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 7(3), pages 312-338, Summer.
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    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Low-variance factor; Local asymptotics; Fama–MacBeth method;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General

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