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US monetary policy and the euro area

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  • Hanisch, Max

Abstract

This study documents empirically that contractionary US monetary policy may generate short-term expansionary spillover effects. In individual Euro Area (EA) member countries, economic activity increases, mainly via the trade channel. Also, domestic credit and stock markets expand, highlighting the importance of the financial channel. However, the international repercussions are transitory and distributed unevenly within the EA. The effect diminishes as EA interest rates increase with a few quarters delay. While the effects are heterogenous and rather large before 1999, responses become more homogeneous and smaller in size after the implementation of the euro. Still, country-specific asymmetries remain.

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  • Hanisch, Max, 2019. "US monetary policy and the euro area," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 77-96.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:100:y:2019:i:c:p:77-96
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2019.01.005
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    3. Walerych, Małgorzata & Wesołowski, Grzegorz, 2020. "When the Fed sneezes, the whole world catches the cold, when the ECB - only Europe," MPRA Paper 100899, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Luigi Bonatti & Andrea Fracasso & Roberto Tamborini, 2021. "Monetary and Fiscal Spillovers Across the Atlantic: The Role of Financial Markets," DEM Working Papers 2021/09, Department of Economics and Management.
    5. Goczek, Łukasz & Witkowski, Bartosz, 2023. "Spillover effects of the unconventional monetary policy of the European Central Bank," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 82-104.
    6. Dong, Weijia & Lien, Donald & Lv, Xin & Tan, Chaosheng, 2021. "The cross-border impacts of China’s official rate shocks on stock returns of Chinese concepts shares listed on U.S. market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 1305-1322.
    7. Agyemang, Abraham & Chowdhury, Iftekhar & Balli, Faruk, 2021. "Quantifying Return Spillovers in Global Real Estate Markets," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    8. Apostolakis, Georgios N. & Giannellis, Nikolaos & Papadopoulos, Athanasios P., 2019. "Financial stress and asymmetric shocks transmission within the Eurozone. How fragile is the common monetary policy?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Structural dynamic factor model; Sign restrictions; Monetary policy; US; Euro area; Spillover effects;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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