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Impact analysis of September 11 on air travel demand in the USA

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  • Lai, Sue Ling
  • Lu, Whei-Li

Abstract

This study uses an intervention model to look at the impact of the September 11, 2001 terrorist attack on air transport passenger demand in the US. The result showed that both domestic and international air traffic was significantly impacted for 1 and 2 months, respectively. The impact pattern was thus abrupt and temporary, instead of gradual and permanent. The approach also provides better forecasts than the seasonal ARIMA benchmark.

Suggested Citation

  • Lai, Sue Ling & Lu, Whei-Li, 2005. "Impact analysis of September 11 on air travel demand in the USA," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 11(6), pages 455-458.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jaitra:v:11:y:2005:i:6:p:455-458
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2005.06.001
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hätty, Holger & Hollmeier, Sebastian, 2003. "Airline strategy in the 2001/2002 crisis—the Lufthansa example," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 9(1), pages 51-55.
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    3. Chin, Anthony & Hooper, Paul & Oum, Tae Hoon, 1999. "The impacts of the Asian Economic Crises on Asian Airlines: short-run responses and long-run effects," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 87-96.
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