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An alternative approach to evaluating the agreement between financial markets

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  • Nam, Seung Oh
  • Kim, Hyun Kyung
  • Kim, Byung Chun

Abstract

This research investigates that the price relationship between a stock index and its associated nearby futures markets can be explained by the cost-of-carry model using the concordance correlation (CC) coefficient in the US financial markets. The main purpose of this research is to confirm that the CC coefficient is an appropriate methodology to determine ex post arbitrage opportunities and to maximize ex ante arbitrage profits through the analysis of the price relationship derived from the cost-of-carry model. To increase the robustness of the results and to enable us to generalize our conclusions, this analysis is carried out in consideration of external uncertainty, including the marking-to-market procedure of futures contracts and the transaction cost on the stock index and its futures markets, under several assumptions related to the conditions of transactions. Examining transaction price data on the S&P 500 stock index and its futures markets shows that the CC coefficient gives a good result for ex ante arbitrage profits and is appropriate for analyzing the relationship between the observed stock index futures market price and its theoretical price derived from the cost-of-carry model.

Suggested Citation

  • Nam, Seung Oh & Kim, Hyun Kyung & Kim, Byung Chun, 2010. "An alternative approach to evaluating the agreement between financial markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 13-35, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:intfin:v:20:y:2010:i:1:p:13-35
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Tahani Coolen-Maturi, 2016. "New weighted rank correlation coefficients sensitive to agreement on top and bottom rankings," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(12), pages 2261-2279, September.
    2. Tahani Coolen-Maturi, 2014. "A new weighted rank coefficient of concordance," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(8), pages 1721-1745, August.
    3. Jędrzej Białkowski & Jan Koeman, 2017. "Does the Design of Spot Markets Matter for the Success of Futures Markets? Evidence from Dairy Futures," Working Papers in Economics 17/18, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
    4. Jędrzej Białkowski & Jan Koeman, 2018. "Does the design of spot markets matter for the success of futures markets? Evidence from dairy futures," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(3), pages 373-389, March.

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