IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/inteco/v179y2024ics2110701724000544.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Population aging, pensions, informality and labor market frictions in Lebanon. Reforms and policy choices

Author

Listed:
  • Kamar, Marie-Claude
  • Magnani, Riccardo

Abstract

We evaluate the effects of population aging on the macroeconomic evolution of the Lebanese economy and the financial sustainability of its major pension schemes. We use an OLG model with labor market frictions as in de la Croix et al. (2013). Individuals are differentiated by their origin, age, gender, and education and choose the sector of activity, which implies that the size of the informal sector is endogenous. We assess the long-run implications of population aging and show that the public sector pension scheme is unsustainable. In contrast, the private sector scheme is insufficient to ensure decent living standards for the elderly. Finally, we evaluate the effects of two pension reforms. We first propose a mix of measures that guarantee the sustainability of the public sector scheme. Then, we evaluate the impact of the pension reform introduced in December 2023 and of an alternative reform aiming at increasing the size of the private sector scheme to improve the living standards for the elderly.

Suggested Citation

  • Kamar, Marie-Claude & Magnani, Riccardo, 2024. "Population aging, pensions, informality and labor market frictions in Lebanon. Reforms and policy choices," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:inteco:v:179:y:2024:i:c:s2110701724000544
    DOI: 10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100531
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2110701724000544
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.inteco.2024.100531?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Pensions; Population aging; OLG models; Labor market frictions;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:inteco:v:179:y:2024:i:c:s2110701724000544. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/21107017 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.