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When do stop-loss rules stop losses?

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  • Kaminski, Kathryn M.
  • Lo, Andrew W.

Abstract

We propose a simple analytical framework to measure the value added or subtracted by stop-loss rules—predetermined policies that reduce a portfolio’s exposure after reaching a certain threshold of cumulative losses—on the expected return and volatility of an arbitrary portfolio strategy. Using daily futures price data, we provide an empirical analysis of stop-loss policies applied to a buy-and-hold strategy using index futures contracts. At longer sampling frequencies, certain stop-loss policies can increase expected return while substantially reducing volatility, consistent with their objectives in practical applications.

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  • Kaminski, Kathryn M. & Lo, Andrew W., 2014. "When do stop-loss rules stop losses?," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 18(C), pages 234-254.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:finmar:v:18:y:2014:i:c:p:234-254
    DOI: 10.1016/j.finmar.2013.07.001
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    6. Farias Nazário, Rodolfo Toríbio & e Silva, Jéssica Lima & Sobreiro, Vinicius Amorim & Kimura, Herbert, 2017. "A literature review of technical analysis on stock markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 115-126.
    7. Ardia, David & Boudt, Kris & Hartmann, Stefan & Nguyen, Giang, 2022. "Properties of the Margrabe Best-of-two strategy to tactical asset allocation," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    8. Gregory Gadzinski & Markus Schuller & Shabnam Mousavi, 2022. "Long-lasting heuristics principles for efficient investment decisions," Qualitative Research in Financial Markets, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 14(4), pages 570-583, March.
    9. Edmond Lezmi & Jules Roche & Thierry Roncalli & Jiali Xu, 2020. "Improving the Robustness of Trading Strategy Backtesting with Boltzmann Machines and Generative Adversarial Networks," Papers 2007.04838, arXiv.org.
    10. Chun-Hao Chen & Yu-Hsuan Chen & Vicente Garcia Diaz & Jerry Chun-Wei Lin, 2023. "RETRACTED ARTICLE: An intelligent trading mechanism based on the group trading strategy portfolio to reduce massive loss by the grouping genetic algorithm," Electronic Commerce Research, Springer, vol. 23(1), pages 3-42, March.
    11. Bochuan Dai & Ben R. Marshall & Nhut H. Nguyen & Nuttawat Visaltanachoti, 2021. "Risk reduction using trailing stop‐loss rules," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 21(4), pages 1334-1352, December.
    12. Hong, Xin & Pang, Ningjing & Wang, Zhibin, 2022. "Stop-loss early termination clause and hedge fund performance," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    13. Rui Wang, 2021. "Discriminating modelling approaches for Point in Time Economic Scenario Generation," Papers 2108.08818, arXiv.org.
    14. Jessica James & Louis Yang, 2010. "Stop-losses, maximum drawdown-at-risk and replicating financial time series with the stationary bootstrap," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(1), pages 1-12.
    15. Sadaqat, Mohsin & Butt, Hilal Anwar, 2023. "Stop-loss rules and momentum payoffs in cryptocurrencies," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
    16. Dimitrios Vezeris & Themistoklis Kyrgos & Christos Schinas, 2018. "Take Profit and Stop Loss Trading Strategies Comparison in Combination with an MACD Trading System," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-23, September.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Investments; Portfolio management; Risk management; Asset allocation; Performance attribution; Behavioral finance;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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