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Tail event-based sovereign credit risk transmission network during COVID-19 pandemic

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  • Naifar, Nader
  • Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain

Abstract

This paper investigates the interconnectedness between sovereign credit risk based on the tail event and network dynamics technique. Specifically, we examine the interdependence in upper tails of sovereign credit default swap in the case of fifteen most COVID-19 affected countries. Empirical findings indicate that connectedness among SCDS spreads changed over time and is higher during the COVID19 outbreak. Russia, Brazil, and China are the most credit risk emitter and receiver during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Suggested Citation

  • Naifar, Nader & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2022. "Tail event-based sovereign credit risk transmission network during COVID-19 pandemic," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:45:y:2022:i:c:s1544612321002543
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2021.102182
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Nekhili, Ramzi & Foglia, Matteo & Bouri, Elie, 2023. "European bank credit risk transmission during the credit Suisse collapse," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PB).
    2. Lin, Weinan & Ouyang, Ruolan & Zhang, Xuan & Zhuang, Chengkai, 2023. "Network analysis of international financial markets contagion based on volatility indexes," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    3. Ozcan Ceylan, 2023. "Analysis of Dynamic Connectedness among Sovereign CDS Premia," World Journal of Applied Economics, WERI-World Economic Research Institute, vol. 9(1), pages 33-47, June.
    4. Esma Nur Cinicioglu & Gül Huyugüzel Kışla & A. Özlem Önder & Y. Gülnur Muradoğlu, 2024. "The Changing Behavior of the European Credit Default Swap Spreads During the Covid-19 Pandemic: A Bayesian Network Analysis," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 63(3), pages 1213-1254, March.
    5. Shahzad, Umer & Ghaemi Asl, Mahdi & Khalfaoui, Rabeh & Tedeschi, Marco, 2024. "Extreme contributions of conventional investments vis-à-vis Islamic ones to renewables," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 189(PB).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Sovereign credit risk; Credit default swap; Tail event; Network risk; COVID-19 pandemic;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • C1 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General

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