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Effects of monetary policy announcements on term premia in the euro area during the COVID-19 pandemic

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  • Moessner, Richhild
  • de Haan, Jakob

Abstract

We study the effects of the announcement of the ECB's Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme (PEPP) on ten-year government bond term premia in eleven euro-area countries, while controlling for other ECB statements. We find that the term premia of government bonds in euro area countries with higher sovereign risk, as measured by sovereign CDS spreads, decreased more in response to the announcement of the PEPP. This occurred after these term premia had risen in response to a prior monetary policy press conference statement by the ECB president that the ECB was “not here to close spreads”.

Suggested Citation

  • Moessner, Richhild & de Haan, Jakob, 2022. "Effects of monetary policy announcements on term premia in the euro area during the COVID-19 pandemic," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 44(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:44:y:2022:i:c:s1544612321001367
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2021.102055
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Richhild Moessner, 2018. "Effects of asset purchases and financial stability measures on term premia in the euro area," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(43), pages 4617-4631, September.
    2. Alan S. Blinder & Michael Ehrmann & Marcel Fratzscher & Jakob De Haan & David-Jan Jansen, 2008. "Central Bank Communication and Monetary Policy: A Survey of Theory and Evidence," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 46(4), pages 910-945, December.
    3. Carlo Altavilla & Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza, 2016. "The Financial and Macroeconomic Effects of the OMT Announcements," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 12(3), pages 29-57, September.
    4. Adrian, Tobias & Crump, Richard K. & Moench, Emanuel, 2013. "Pricing the term structure with linear regressions," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(1), pages 110-138.
    5. Alan S. Blinder & Michael Ehrmann & Marcel Fratzscher & Jakob De Haan & David-Jan Jansen, 2008. "Central Bank Communication and Monetary Policy: A Survey of Theory and Evidence," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 46(4), pages 910-945, December.
    6. repec:pri:cepsud:161blinder is not listed on IDEAS
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    Cited by:

    1. Kiss, Gábor Dávid & Alipanah, Sabri, 2024. "Sovereign spread divergence owing to inflation and redenomination risk countered by unconventional monetary policy in the Eurozone," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    2. Karoline Bax & Giovanni Bonaccolto & Sandra Paterlini, 2023. "Do lower environmental, social, and governance (ESG) rated companies have higher systemic impact? Empirical evidence from Europe and the United States," Corporate Social Responsibility and Environmental Management, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 30(3), pages 1406-1420, May.
    3. Giordano, Matteo & Goghie, Alexandru-Stefan, 2023. "From Policy to Regime: the changing posture of the ECB between liquidity and collateral through the lens of Monetary Regime," SocArXiv rw3ms_v1, Center for Open Science.
    4. M'beirick, Abdallahi & Haddou, Samira, 2024. "The asymmetric response of sovereign credit default swaps spreads to risk aversion, investor sentiment and monetary policy shocks," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PB), pages 244-272.
    5. Giordano, Matteo & Goghie, Alexandru-Stefan, 2023. "From Policy to Regime: the changing posture of the ECB between liquidity and collateral through the lens of Monetary Regime," SocArXiv rw3ms, Center for Open Science.
    6. Berardi, Andrea, 2023. "Term premia and short rate expectations in the euro area," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Monetary policy; Asset purchases; Term premia; Sovereign risk;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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