IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/finlet/v37y2020ics1544612320315968.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Spillover effects of RMB exchange rate among B&R countries: Before and during COVID-19 event

Author

Listed:
  • Wei, Zhixi
  • Luo, Yu
  • Huang, Zili
  • Guo, Kun

Abstract

The proposal of "The Belt and Road" (The B&R) Initiative has promoted regional economic cooperation and financial integration. It is crucial to measure the volatility spillover effects among "The B&R" currency market. Results from the time-varying spillover model show that "The B&R" system spillover index reflects some sudden regional crises. Likewise, the spillover of RMB exchange rate is affected by internal financial reforms as well as external economic shocks. Further, the recent outbreak of the COVID-19 has disrupted this system and the influence of RMB.

Suggested Citation

  • Wei, Zhixi & Luo, Yu & Huang, Zili & Guo, Kun, 2020. "Spillover effects of RMB exchange rate among B&R countries: Before and during COVID-19 event," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:37:y:2020:i:c:s1544612320315968
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2020.101782
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1544612320315968
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101782?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Francis X. Diebold & Kamil Yilmaz, 2009. "Measuring Financial Asset Return and Volatility Spillovers, with Application to Global Equity Markets," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 119(534), pages 158-171, January.
    2. Stockman, Alan C, 1980. "A Theory of Exchange Rate Determination," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 88(4), pages 673-698, August.
    3. Bubák, Vít & Kocenda, Evzen & Zikes, Filip, 2011. "Volatility transmission in emerging European foreign exchange markets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(11), pages 2829-2841, November.
    4. Shu, Chang & He, Dong & Cheng, Xiaoqiang, 2015. "One currency, two markets: the renminbi's growing influence in Asia-Pacific," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 163-178.
    5. Yan Liang, 2020. "RMB Internationalization and Financing Belt-Road Initiative: An MMT Perspective," Chinese Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(4), pages 317-328, July.
    6. Lai, Lin & Guo, Kun, 2017. "The performance of one belt and one road exchange rate: Based on improved singular spectrum analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 483(C), pages 299-308.
    7. Jianxu Liu & Mengjiao Wang & Songsak Sriboonchitta, 2019. "Examining the Interdependence between the Exchange Rates of China and ASEAN Countries: A Canonical Vine Copula Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(19), pages 1-20, October.
    8. Philippe Bacchetta & Eric Van Wincoop, 2006. "Can Information Heterogeneity Explain the Exchange Rate Determination Puzzle?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 96(3), pages 552-576, June.
    9. Fan Zhang & Miaojie Yu & Jiantuo Yu & Yang Jin, 2017. "The Effect of RMB Internationalization on Belt and Road Initiative: Evidence from Bilateral Swap Agreements," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(12), pages 2845-2857, December.
    10. Diebold, Francis X. & Yilmaz, Kamil, 2012. "Better to give than to receive: Predictive directional measurement of volatility spillovers," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 57-66.
    11. Subramanian Arvind & Kessler Martin, 2013. "The Renminbi Bloc is Here: Asia Down, Rest of the World to Go?1)," Journal of Globalization and Development, De Gruyter, vol. 4(1), pages 49-94, August.
    12. Huang, Yiping, 2016. "Understanding China's Belt & Road Initiative: Motivation, framework and assessment," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 314-321.
    13. McMillan, David G. & Speight, Alan E.H., 2010. "Return and volatility spillovers in three euro exchange rates," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 62(2), pages 79-93, March.
    14. Zhewen Liao & Zhongxing Wang & Kun Guo, 2019. "The dynamic evolution of the characteristics of exchange rate risks in countries along “The Belt and Road” based on network analysis," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(9), pages 1-18, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Salisu, Afees A. & Ayinde, Taofeek O. & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2022. "Global evidence of the COVID-19 shock on real equity prices and real exchange rates: A counterfactual analysis with a threshold-augmented GVAR model," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
    2. Dai, Yanke & Li, Baoxin & Xu, Yangfei, 2023. "International transmission of exchange rate volatility: Evidence from FIEs’ investments in China," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    3. Xu, Yingying & Lien, Donald, 2022. "COVID-19 and currency dependences: Empirical evidence from BRICS," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    4. Mohd Ziaur Rehman & Shabeer Khan & Ghulam Abbas & Mohammed Alhashim, 2023. "Novel COVID-19 Outbreak and Global Uncertainty in the Top-10 Affected Countries: Evidence from Wavelet Coherence Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-20, March.
    5. Dai, Zhifeng & Zhu, Haoyang, 2022. "Time-varying spillover effects and investment strategies between WTI crude oil, natural gas and Chinese stock markets related to belt and road initiative," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    6. Wang, Yu-Min & Lin, Che-Chun & Tsai, I-Chun, 2023. "State transformation of information spillover in asset markets and effective dynamic hedging strategies," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    7. Al-Shboul, Mohammad & Assaf, Ata & Mokni, Khaled, 2023. "Does economic policy uncertainty drive the dynamic spillover among traditional currencies and cryptocurrencies? The role of the COVID-19 pandemic," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    8. Chai, Li & Wang, Yuqi & Qi, Xiaohong, 2024. "Cross-category connectedness between Shanghai crude oil futures and Chinese stock markets related to the Belt and Road Initiative," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    9. Runumi Das & Arabinda Debnath, 2022. "Analyzing the COVID-19 Pandemic Volatility Spillover Influence on the Collaboration of Foreign and Indian Stock Markets," Revista Finanzas y Politica Economica, Universidad Católica de Colombia, vol. 14(2), pages 411-452, June.
    10. He, Qing & Wang, Wenqing & Yu, Jishuang, 2023. "Exchange rate co-movements and corporate foreign exchange exposures: A study on RMB," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    11. Xie, Qiwei & Cheng, Lu & Liu, Ranran & Zheng, Xiaolong & Li, Jingyu, 2023. "COVID-19 and risk spillovers of China's major financial markets: Evidence from time-varying variance decomposition and wavelet coherence analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    12. Aloui, Donia, 2021. "The COVID-19 pandemic haunting the transmission of the quantitative easing to the exchange rate," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    13. Naveed, Hafiz Muhammad & HongXing, Yao & Memon, Bilal Ahmed & Ali, Shoaib & Alhussam, Mohammed Ismail & Sohu, Jan Muhammad, 2023. "Artificial neural network (ANN)-based estimation of the influence of COVID-19 pandemic on dynamic and emerging financial markets," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 190(C).
    14. Naidu, Dharmendra & Ranjeeni, Kumari, 2021. "Effect of coronavirus fear on the performance of Australian stock returns: Evidence from an event study," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    15. Iyer, Subramanian Rama & Simkins, Betty J., 2022. "COVID-19 and the Economy: Summary of research and future directions," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB).
    16. Azzam, Islam & El-Masry, Ahmed A. & Yamani, Ehab, 2023. "Foreign exchange market efficiency during COVID-19 pandemic," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 717-730.
    17. Chang, Ya-Ting & Gau, Yin-Feng & Hsu, Chih-Chiang, 2022. "Liquidity spillover in foreign exchange markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 44(C).
    18. Paresh Kumar Narayan & Syed Aun R. Rizvi & Ali Sakti, 2022. "Did green debt instruments aid diversification during the COVID-19 pandemic?," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-15, December.
    19. Umar, Zaghum & Polat, Onur & Choi, Sun-Yong & Teplova, Tamara, 2022. "Dynamic connectedness between non-fungible tokens, decentralized finance, and conventional financial assets in a time-frequency framework," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    20. Chowdhury, Kushal Banik & Garg, Bhavesh, 2022. "Has COVID-19 intensified the oil price–exchange rate nexus?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 280-298.
    21. Mo, Wan-Shin & Yang, J. Jimmy & Chen, Yu-Lun, 2023. "Exchange rate spillover, carry trades, and the COVID-19 pandemic," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    22. Devendra Kumar Jain & Naqeeb Ur-Rehman & Omonjon Ganiev & Kapil Arora, 2023. "Currencies of greater interest for central Asian economies: an analysis of exchange market pressure amid global and regional interdependence," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-18, December.
    23. Lu, Changrong & Li, Jiaxiang & Liu, Lian & Yu, Fandi, 2023. "Spillover effect of the RMB and Non-USD currencies after the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence captured from 30-minute high frequency data," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 527-552.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Dai, Zhifeng & Zhu, Haoyang, 2022. "Time-varying spillover effects and investment strategies between WTI crude oil, natural gas and Chinese stock markets related to belt and road initiative," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    2. Ngo Thai Hung, 2020. "Market integration among foreign exchange rate movements in central and eastern European countries," Society and Economy, Akadémiai Kiadó, Hungary, vol. 42(1), pages 1-20, March.
    3. Atenga, Eric Martial Etoundi & Mougoué, Mbodja, 2021. "Return and volatility spillovers to African currencies markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    4. Afees A. Salisu & Taofeek O. Ayinde, 2018. "Testing for spillovers in naira exchange rates: The role of electioneering & global financial crisis," Borsa Istanbul Review, Research and Business Development Department, Borsa Istanbul, vol. 18(4), pages 341-348, December.
    5. Kočenda, Evžen & Moravcová, Michala, 2019. "Exchange rate comovements, hedging and volatility spillovers on new EU forex markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 42-64.
    6. Baruník, Jozef & Kočenda, Evžen & Vácha, Lukáš, 2016. "Asymmetric connectedness on the U.S. stock market: Bad and good volatility spillovers," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 55-78.
    7. Baruník, Jozef & Kočenda, Evžen & Vácha, Lukáš, 2017. "Asymmetric volatility connectedness on the forex market," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 39-56.
    8. Su, Xianfang, 2020. "Measuring extreme risk spillovers across international stock markets: A quantile variance decomposition analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    9. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Breitenlechner, Max & Scharler, Johann, 2015. "Business cycle and financial cycle spillovers in the G7 countries," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 154-162.
    10. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Max Breitenlechner & Johann Scharler, 2014. "How Strongly are Business Cycles and Financial Cycles Linked in the G7 Countries?," Working Papers 2014-07, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, Universität Innsbruck.
    11. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Dragouni, Mina & Filis, George, 2015. "How strong is the linkage between tourism and economic growth in Europe?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 142-155.
    12. Liu, Tao & Wang, Xiaosong & Woo, Wing Thye, 2022. "The rise of Renminbi in Asia: Evidence from Network Analysis and SWIFT dataset," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    13. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Filis, George, 2017. "Oil shocks and stock markets: Dynamic connectedness under the prism of recent geopolitical and economic unrest," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 1-26.
    14. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Ioannis Chatziantoniou & David Gabauer, 2020. "Refined Measures of Dynamic Connectedness based on Time-Varying Parameter Vector Autoregressions," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-23, April.
    15. Diebold, Francis X. & Yilmaz, Kamil, 2015. "Financial and Macroeconomic Connectedness: A Network Approach to Measurement and Monitoring," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199338306.
    16. Bajo-Rubio, Oscar & Berke, Burcu & McMillan, David, 2017. "The behaviour of asset return and volatility spillovers in Turkey: A tale of two crises," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 577-589.
    17. Prasad, Nalin & Grant, Andrew & Kim, Suk-Joong, 2018. "Time varying volatility indices and their determinants: Evidence from developed and emerging stock markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 115-126.
    18. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Ioannis Chatziantoniou & George Filis, 2016. "Business Cycle Spillovers in the European Union: What is the Message Transmitted to the Core?," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 84(4), pages 437-481, July.
    19. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Gabauer, David, 2017. "Refined Measures of Dynamic Connectedness based on TVP-VAR," MPRA Paper 78282, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    20. Sachapon Tungsong & Fabio Caccioli & Tomaso Aste, 2017. "Relation between regional uncertainty spillovers in the global banking system," Papers 1702.05944, arXiv.org.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:37:y:2020:i:c:s1544612320315968. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/frl .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.